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2004 United States Senate election in Washington

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2004 United States Senate election in Washington

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FieldValue
election_name2004 United States Senate election in Washington
countryWashington
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election1998 United States Senate election in Washington
previous_year1998
next_election2010 United States Senate election in Washington
next_year2010
election_dateNovember 2, 2004
image_sizex145px
image1Patty Murray official portrait.jpg
nominee1**Patty Murray**
party1Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote1**1,549,708**
percentage1**54.98%**
image2George Nethercutt (high-resolution portrait).jpg
nominee2George Nethercutt
party2Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote21,204,584
percentage242.74%
map_image2004 United States Senate election in Washington results map by county.svg
map_size275px
map_captionCounty results
**Murray**:
**Nethercutt**:
titleU.S. Senator
before_electionPatty Murray
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionPatty Murray
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)

Murray:
Nethercutt:
The 2004 United States Senate election in Washington was held on November 2, 2004. Incumbent Democrat U.S. Senator Patty Murray won re-election to a third term, defeating Republican U.S. Representative George Nethercutt. She became only the fourth Washington senator to win 3 consecutive terms, just after fellow Democrats Warren G. Magnuson and Scoop Jackson. Nethercutt was known for having defeated Tom Foley, the sitting Speaker of the House of Representatives, as part of the 1994 Republican wave.

Term limits became an issue in the campaign, as Democrats seized on Nethercutt's broken term-limits pledge that he had made when he had unseated Foley in 1994. Geography was also against Nethercutt, who was severely hampered by his lack of name recognition in the more densely populated western part of the state, home to two-thirds of the state's population. Washington has not elected a Senator from east of the Cascades since Clarence Dill in 1928. Other important issues included national security and the war in Iraq. Nethercutt supported the invasion of Iraq, while Murray opposed it.

Nethercutt was considered a heavy underdog from the start, and his campaign never gained much traction. In November, he lost by 12 points, receiving 43 percent of the vote to Murray's 55 percent. He only carried two counties west of the Cascades.

Major candidates

Democratic

  • Patty Murray, incumbent U.S. Senator

Republican

  • George Nethercutt, U.S. Representative

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 1, 2004

Endorsements

Newspapers

  • The Seattle Times

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin
of errorPatty
Murray (D)George
Nethercutt (R)Undecided
SurveyUSAOctober 29–31, 2004622 (LV)± 4%**51%**45%3%
Strategic Vision (R)October 29–31, 2004801 (LV)± 3%**50%**42%8%
Strategic Vision (R)October 24–26, 2004801 (LV)± 3%**49%**41%10%
Mason-DixonOctober 25–26, 2004800 (RV)± 3.5%**53%**39%8%
SurveyUSAOctober 23–25, 2004618 (LV)± 4%**55%**41%4%
Strategic Vision (R)October 16–18, 2004801 (LV)± 3%**49%**41%10%
SurveyUSAOctober 15–17, 2004634 (LV)± 4%**56%**38%6%
Elway ResearchOctober 14–16, 2004405 (RV)± 5%**54%**37%9%
Strategic Vision (R)October 4–6, 2004801 (LV)± 3%**49%**41%10%
SurveyUSAOctober 2–4, 2004640 (LV)± 4%**57%**38%5%
Strategic Vision (R)September 20–22, 2004801 (LV)± 3%**48%**41%11%
SurveyUSASeptember 19–21, 2004627 (LV)± 4%**53%**41%6%
Elway ResearchSeptember 17–19, 2004405 (RV)± 5%**57%**37%6%
Strategic Vision (R)September 4–6, 2004801 (LV)± 3%**48%**41%11%
Strategic Vision (R)August 21–23, 2004801 (LV)± 3%**49%**41%10%
SurveyUSAAugust 15–17, 2004602 (LV)± 4.1%**53%**39%10%
Strategic Vision (R)August 9–11, 2004801 (LV)± 3%**49%**40%11%
SurveyUSAJul 31–Aug 2, 2004585 (LV)± 4.2%**51%**40%9%
Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin & Associates (D)June 23–28, 2004800 (RV)± 3.8%**56%**33%11%
Moore Information (R)June 23–24, 2004500 (RV)± 4%**51%**39%10%
Mason-Dixon (D)June 9–11, 2004625 (RV)± 4%**53%**34%13%
SurveyUSAJune 1–3, 2004654 (RV)± 4%**49%**34%17%
Tarrance Group (R)May 2–3, 2004500 (LV)± 4.5%**50.6%**41.1%8.3%
Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin & Associates (D)April 22–27, 2004800 (LV)± 3.8%**54%**31%15%
Tarrance Group (R)May 5–6, 2003504 (LV)± 4.5%**52%**37%11%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin
of errorPatty
Murray (D)George
Nethercutt (R)Reed
Davis (R)Undecided
Elway ResearchJanuary 27–29, 2004405 (V)± 5%**49%**19%5%27%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin
of errorPatty
Murray (D)Jennifer
Dunn (R)Undecided
for NRSC (R)January 2003500 (RV)± 4.4%**46%**42%12%

Results

The election was not close, with Murray winning by 12.24% of the vote. Although Murray failed to win any counties in the eastern part of the state, she pulled down big margins from the western part of the state, which is significantly more populated. Specifically, Murray trounced Nethercutt in King County, home of Seattle, the most populous county in the state. Murray was sworn in for a third term on January 3, 2005.

By county

CountyPatty Murray
DemocraticGeorge Nethercutt
RepublicanVarious candidates
Other partiesMarginTotal#%#%#%#%Totals1,549,70854.98%1,204,58442.74%64,3592.28%345,12412.24%2,818,651
Adams1,60731.75%3,36266.43%921.82%-1,755-34.68%5,061
Asotin3,51140.48%4,98557.48%1772.04%-1,474-17.00%8,673
Benton25,86339.20%38,69058.64%1,4302.17%-12,827-19.44%65,983
Chelan11,30739.34%16,87458.71%5611.95%-5,567-19.37%28,742
Clallam17,81749.38%17,29847.94%9672.68%5191.44%36,082
Clark80,13448.31%81,88849.36%3,8612.33%-1,754-1.06%165,883
Columbia74135.22%1,31862.64%452.14%-577-27.42%2,104
Cowlitz22,53553.95%18,30143.81%9362.24%4,23410.14%41,772
Douglas4,89336.93%8,12861.34%2301.74%-3,235-24.41%13,251
Ferry1,36241.12%1,84755.77%1033.11%-485-14.64%3,312
Franklin6,21538.93%9,49559.48%2531.58%-3,280-20.55%15,963
Garfield41731.93%87266.77%171.30%-455-34.84%1,306
Grant9,01535.05%16,09162.55%6182.40%-7,076-27.51%25,724
Grays Harbor15,83057.34%11,22040.64%5572.02%4,61016.70%27,607
Island19,18150.58%17,96947.39%7702.03%1,2123.20%37,920
Jefferson11,57362.70%6,41534.75%4712.55%5,15827.94%18,459
King573,50665.20%287,45632.68%18,6932.13%286,05032.52%879,655
Kitsap63,68454.32%50,57443.14%2,9742.54%13,11011.18%117,232
Kittitas7,18245.10%8,36752.54%3772.37%-1,185-7.44%15,926
Klickitat4,18446.38%4,60951.09%2282.53%-425-4.71%9,021
Lewis11,58336.33%19,47461.07%8302.60%-7,891-24.75%31,887
Lincoln1,95633.92%3,70364.21%1081.87%-1,747-30.29%5,767
Mason13,34953.29%10,99843.90%7032.81%2,3519.39%25,050
Okanogan6,61641.18%8,93155.58%5213.24%-2,315-14.41%16,068
Pacific5,85056.96%4,14940.40%2712.64%1,70116.56%10,270
Pend Oreille2,70344.07%3,24152.84%1903.10%-538-8.77%6,134
Pierce167,42853.99%136,08443.88%6,6152.13%31,34410.11%310,127
San Juan6,37664.28%3,16431.90%3793.82%3,21232.38%9,919
Skagit26,16250.60%24,36447.12%1,1812.28%1,7983.48%51,707
Skamania2,55050.76%2,31446.06%1603.18%2364.70%5,024
Snohomish160,40254.93%124,98642.80%6,6152.27%35,41612.13%292,003
Spokane94,44647.08%101,51150.60%4,6532.32%-7,065-3.52%200,610
Stevens7,70638.33%11,80458.71%5942.95%-4,098-20.38%20,104
Thurston63,36457.14%44,41740.06%3,1082.80%18,94717.09%110,889
Wahkiakum1,08650.12%1,01846.98%632.91%683.14%2,167
Walla Walla9,97243.99%12,24354.01%4542.00%-2,271-10.02%22,669
Whatcom48,07854.21%38,03642.88%2,5802.91%10,04211.32%88,694
Whitman8,15246.00%9,07351.20%4962.80%-921-5.20%17,721
Yakima31,37243.47%39,31554.48%1,4782.05%-7,943-11.01%72,165

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Asotin (Largest city: Clarkston)
  • Ferry (Largest city: Republic)
  • Kittitas (Largest city: Ellensburg)
  • Pend Oreille (Largest city: Newport)
  • Spokane (Largest city: Spokane)
  • Whitman (Largest city: Pullman)

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Skamania (Largest city: Carson)

| | | | | | | | |

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{{col-begin}}

Democratic Republican

Notes

References

References

  1. (November 2004). "The Final Predictions".
  2. Editorial Board, The Seattle Times. (October 31, 2004). "The Seattle Times endorses ...". [[The Seattle Times]].
  3. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. [https://www.surveyusa.com/2004Elec.html SurveyUSA]
  5. [https://web.archive.org/web/20041204040554/http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/washington.htm Strategic Vision (R)]
  6. [https://www.newspapers.com/clip/109296371/kitsap-sun/ Mason-Dixon]
  7. [https://web.archive.org/web/20060830093832/http://www.surveyusa.com/2004_Elections/WA041026presgovsenag.pdf SurveyUSA]
  8. [https://web.archive.org/web/20060109074350/http://www.king5.com/news/specials/politics/stories/NW_102604ELKpollSW.290520f0.html SurveyUSA]
  9. [https://www.newspapers.com/clip/109296371/kitsap-sun/ Elway Research]
  10. [https://www.newspapers.com/clip/109294205/kitsap-sun/ Elway Research]
  11. [https://web.archive.org/web/20041107140430/http://www.surveyusa.com/2004_Elections/WA040818pressen.pdf SurveyUSA]
  12. [https://web.archive.org/web/20040806043501/http://www.surveyusa.com/currentelectionpolls.html SurveyUSA]
  13. [https://www.newspapers.com/clip/109293672/the-spokesman-review/ Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin & Associates (D)]
  14. [https://www.newspapers.com/clip/109293672/the-spokesman-review/ Moore Information (R)]
  15. [https://www.newspapers.com/clip/109293672/the-spokesman-review/ Mason-Dixon (D)]
  16. [https://www.newspapers.com/clip/109293672/the-spokesman-review/ SurveyUSA]
  17. [https://www.newspapers.com/clip/109293051/the-spokesman-review/ Tarrance Group (R)]
  18. [https://www.newspapers.com/clip/109293051/the-spokesman-review/ Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin & Associates (D)]
  19. [https://rollcall.com/2003/05/14/illinois-republican-senate-field-starting-to-take-shape/ Tarrance Group (R)]
  20. [https://www.newspapers.com/clip/109292809/the-columbian/ Elway Research]
  21. [https://rollcall.com/2003/02/12/washington-dunn-deal-poll-shows-her-close-to-murray/ for NRSC (R)]
  22. Reed, Sam. (November 2, 2004). "Elections Search Results November 2004 General U. S. Senator". [[Secretary of State of Washington]].
Info: Wikipedia Source

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