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2004 United States presidential election in Washington (state)

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2004 United States presidential election in Washington (state)

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FieldValue
election_name2004 United States presidential election in Washington (state)
countryWashington
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2000 United States presidential election in Washington (state)
previous_year2000
election_dateNovember 2, 2004
next_election2008 United States presidential election in Washington (state)
next_year2008
turnout82.05% (of registered voters)
6.59%<ref>{{cite weburlhttps://www.sos.wa.gov/elections/research/voter-turnout-by-election.aspxtitle=Voter Turnout by Electionauthor=Secretary of State: Kim Wymanwebsite=www.sos.wa.govaccess-date=2020-05-25}}
image_sizex200px
image1John F. Kerry (wide crop).jpg
nominee1**John Kerry**
party1Democratic Party (United States)
home_state1Massachusetts
running_mate1**John Edwards**
electoral_vote1**11**
popular_vote1**1,510,201**
percentage1**52.82%**
image2George-W-Bush (cropped).jpeg
nominee2George W. Bush
party2Republican Party (United States)
home_state2Texas
running_mate2Dick Cheney
electoral_vote20
popular_vote21,304,894
percentage245.64%
map_image{{Switcher
titlePresident
before_electionGeorge W. Bush
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionGeorge W. Bush
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)

Main article: 2004 United States presidential election

6.59% | [[File:Washington Presidential Election Results 2004.svg|350px]] | County results |[[File:2004 United States presidential election in Washington by congressional district.svg|350px]] |Congressional district results Kerry Bush

The 2004 United States presidential election in Washington took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 11 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

The State of Washington was considered a competitive swing state in 2004, and on election day, Kerry won the state with a margin of 7.2%. This is the most recent presidential election in which Washington was considered a swing state. , this remains the last time the state's margin of victory was in single digits and the last time a Republican received more than 45% of the state's vote. This was the only time since statehood that any president was elected twice without carrying Washington either time, a feat that lasted until 2024.

Caucuses

Campaign

Predictions

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.

SourceRanking
D.C. Political Report
Cook Political Report
Newsweek
Zogby International
The Washington PostWashington Post
Research 2000
Washington Times
Washington Dispatch
The New York Times
CNN
Associated Press
Rasmussen Reports

Polling

Kerry won every single pre-election except one tie. The final 3 poll average had Kerry winning with 50% to 45%.

Fundraising

Bush raised $3,263,363. Kerry raised $5,337,921.

Advertising and visits

Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall election.

Analysis

A Democratic leaning swing state at the time, Washington has voted for the Democratic presidential nominee in every presidential election since 1988. Like Oregon, the state is divided politically by the urban/rural divide and geographically by the Cascade Mountains. Most of the state's population resides in Western Washington along the Pacific Coast and in highly urbanized areas like Seattle; this part of the state votes overwhelmingly Democratic. The other side of the mountains in Eastern Washington is much more rural and conservative and therefore heavily Republican. While polling showed that voters trusted Bush more than Kerry on the issue of terrorism, the Iraq War and Bush's domestic policies were unpopular in the state. , this is the last election in which Clark County, Island County, and Skagit County voted for the Republican candidate.

Results

John Edwards Dick Cheney Peter Camejo Richard Campagna Chuck Baldwin Pat LaMarche Teresa Gutierrez Margaret Trowe Jim Lawrence

By county

CountyJohn Kerry
DemocraticGeorge W. Bush
RepublicanVarious candidates
Other partiesMarginTotal#%#%#%#%Totals1,510,20152.82%1,304,89445.64%43,9891.54%205,3077.18%2,859,084
Adams1,31525.65%3,75173.16%611.19%-2,436-47.51%5,127
Asotin3,31937.78%5,32060.55%1471.67%-2,001-22.77%8,786
Benton21,54932.22%44,35066.31%9871.48%-22,801-34.09%66,886
Chelan10,47135.62%18,48262.87%4431.51%-8,011-27.25%29,396
Clallam17,04946.37%18,87151.33%8462.30%-1,822-4.96%36,766
Clark79,53846.67%88,64652.01%2,2551.32%-9,108-5.34%170,439
Columbia60528.71%1,47069.77%321.52%-865-41.05%2,107
Cowlitz21,58950.83%20,21747.60%6671.57%1,3723.23%42,473
Douglas4,30632.20%8,90066.56%1661.24%-4,594-34.36%13,372
Ferry1,20135.95%2,01960.43%1213.62%-818-24.48%3,341
Franklin5,18832.11%10,75766.57%2141.32%-5,569-34.46%16,159
Garfield36527.65%93570.83%201.52%-570-43.18%1,320
Grant7,77929.92%17,79968.47%4171.60%-10,020-38.55%25,995
Grays Harbor14,58352.17%12,87146.05%4991.79%1,7126.12%27,953
Island18,21647.24%19,75451.23%5891.53%-1,538-3.99%38,559
Jefferson11,61062.37%6,65035.72%3561.91%4,96026.64%18,616
King580,37864.95%301,04333.69%12,1131.36%279,33531.26%893,534
Kitsap60,79651.32%55,60846.95%2,0491.73%5,1884.38%118,453
Kittitas6,73141.85%9,05256.28%3011.87%-2,321-14.43%16,084
Klickitat4,03643.69%5,01654.30%1852.00%-980-10.61%9,237
Lewis10,72633.08%21,04264.89%6602.04%-10,316-31.81%32,428
Lincoln1,70629.36%4,01569.09%901.55%-2,309-39.73%5,811
Mason12,89450.78%11,98747.20%5132.02%9073.57%25,394
Okanogan6,30938.61%9,63658.96%3972.43%-3,327-20.36%16,342
Pacific5,57053.40%4,63444.43%2272.18%9368.97%10,431
Pend Oreille2,31037.27%3,69359.58%1953.15%-1,383-22.31%6,198
Pierce158,23150.50%150,78348.12%4,3171.38%7,4482.38%313,331
San Juan6,58965.32%3,29032.61%2092.07%3,29932.70%10,088
Skagit25,13148.12%26,13950.05%9601.84%-1,008-1.93%52,230
Skamania2,37446.02%2,69552.24%901.74%-321-6.22%5,159
Snohomish156,46853.04%134,31745.53%4,2121.43%22,1517.51%294,997
Spokane87,49043.19%111,60655.09%3,4911.72%-24,116-11.90%202,587
Stevens6,82233.54%13,01563.99%5032.47%-6,193-30.45%20,340
Thurston62,65055.55%47,99242.55%2,1471.90%14,65813.00%112,789
Wahkiakum1,02145.68%1,17152.39%431.92%-150-6.71%2,235
Walla Walla8,25736.02%14,32362.48%3451.50%-6,066-26.46%22,925
Whatcom48,26853.40%40,29644.58%1,8302.02%7,9728.82%90,394
Whitman8,28746.01%9,39752.17%3281.82%-1,110-6.16%18,012
Yakima28,47439.12%43,35259.56%9641.32%-14,878-20.44%72,790

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Whatcom (Largest city: Bellingham)

| | | | | | |

| | | | | | | | |

{{col-begin}}

Democratic Republican

By congressional district

Kerry won six of nine congressional districts. Both candidates won a district held by the other party.

DistrictBushKerryRepresentative
42%**56%**Jay Inslee
47%**51%**Rick Larsen
**50%**48%Brian Baird
**63%**35%Doc Hastings
**57%**41%George Nethercutt
Cathy McMorris Rodgers
45%**53%**Norm Dicks
19%**79%**Jim McDermott
48%**51%**Jennifer Dunn
Dave Reichert
46%**53%**Adam Smith

Electors

Main article: List of 2004 United States presidential electors

Technically the voters of Washington cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Washington is allocated 11 electors because it has 9 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 11 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 11 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 11 were pledged for Kerry/Edwards:

  1. David Peterson
  2. Mary Ervin
  3. Valeria Ogden
  4. Patsy Whitefoot
  5. Larry Armstrong
  6. Ken Bumgarner
  7. Richard Kelley
  8. Sarah Chandler
  9. Greg Markley
  10. Alan Johanson
  11. Mary Crosby

References

References

  1. Secretary of State: Kim Wyman. "Voter Turnout by Election".
  2. Levien, Andrea. (October 4, 2012). "How New Mexico Lost Its Swing". FairVote.
  3. {{usurped. (July 2016)
  4. "2004 Presidential Election Polls. Washington Polls". US Election Atlas.
  5. "George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President".
  6. "John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democrat Party, President".
  7. "America votes 2004: Candidate tracker". [[CNN]].
  8. "America votes 2004: Campaign ad buys". CNN.
  9. (1970-04-13). "Election 2004: Exit polls". Cnn.com.
  10. Reed, Sam. (November 2, 2004). "Elections Search Results November 2004 General President/Vice President". [[Secretary of State of Washington]].
  11. "Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project".
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