2004 United States presidential election in Oregon

Primaries

• 2004 Oregon Democratic presidential primary
• 2004 Oregon Republican presidential primary

Campaign

Predictions

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.

Polling

Kerry won most pre-election polling. The final 3 poll average had Kerry leading 50% to 45% for Bush.

Fundraising

Bush raised $1,497,451. Kerry raised $1,937,916.

Advertising and visits

In the week of September 28, both tickets combined spent an estimated $546,000 on advertising. However, both tickets spent less and less money each week. Bush visited here 2 times. Kerry visited here 3 times. Both tickets visited the western part of the state.

Analysis

After the 2000 election, which saw a particularly close race, Oregon was largely considered a potential Republican target. However, Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry won 51% of Oregon's vote, narrowly defeating Republican incumbent George W. Bush. The rural and highly conservative eastern interior and Southern Oregon favored Bush, but Kerry's strong support in the more urban Willamette Valley allowed him to win the state. About 68% of the voting age population came out to vote.

Results

Results by county

By congressional district

Kerry won three of five congressional districts. Bush won two, including one held by a Democrat.

Electors

Main article: List of 2004 United States presidential electors

Technically the voters of Oregon cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Oregon is allocated 7 electors because it has 5 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 7 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 7 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All seven were pledged for Kerry/Edwards.

1. Michael J. Bohan
2. Shirley A. Cairns
3. James L. Edmunson
4. Moshe D. Lenske
5. Meredith Wood Smith
6. Judy A. Sugnet
7. Paul F. Zastrow

References

References

1. Levien, Andrea. (October 4, 2012). "How New Mexico Lost Its Swing". FairVote.
2. Sullivan, Robert David; [http://www.americamagazine.org/content/unconventional-wisdom/how-red-and-blue-map-evolved-over-past-century ‘How the Red and Blue Map Evolved Over the Past Century’]; ''America Magazine'' in ''The National Catholic Review''; June 29, 2016
3. {{usurped
4. "Election 2004 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections".
5. "George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President".
6. "John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democrat Party, President".
7. "CNN.com Specials".
8. "CNN.com Specials".
9. (December 15, 2008). "Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project".