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2004 United States presidential election in Ohio

none

Field	Value
election_name	2004 United States presidential election in Ohio
country	Ohio
type	presidential
ongoing	no
previous_election	2000 United States presidential election in Ohio
previous_year	2000
next_election	2008 United States presidential election in Ohio
next_year	2008
election_date	November 2, 2004
turnout	71.77%
image_size	x200px
image1	George-W-Bush (cropped).jpeg
nominee1	George W. Bush
party1	Republican Party (United States)
home_state1	Texas
running_mate1	Dick Cheney
electoral_vote1	20
popular_vote1	2,859,768
percentage1	50.81%
image2	John F. Kerry (wide crop).jpg
nominee2	John Kerry
party2	Democratic Party (United States)
home_state2	Massachusetts
running_mate2	John Edwards
electoral_vote2	0
popular_vote2	2,741,167
percentage2	48.71%
map_image	{{Switcher
title	President
before_election	George W. Bush
before_party	Republican Party (United States)
after_election	George W. Bush
after_party	Republican Party (United States)

| [[File:Ohio Presidential Election Results 2004.svg|250px]] | County results |[[File:2004 United States presidential election in Ohio by congressional district.svg|250px]] | Congressional district results Bush Kerry Main article: 2004 United States presidential election

The 2004 United States presidential election in Ohio took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 20 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president. Ohio was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 2.11% margin of victory. Prior to the election, most news organizations considered Ohio as a swing state. The state's economic situation gave hope for John Kerry. In the end, the state became the deciding factor of the entire election. Kerry conceded the state, and the entire election, the morning following election night, as Bush won the state and its 20 electoral votes.

The close contest was the subject of the 2006 documentary film ...So Goes the Nation, the title of which is a reference to Ohio's 2004 status as a crucial swing state. Had Kerry won the state, he would have won the presidency with 272 electoral votes despite losing the popular vote, and would have been the first Democrat to achieve this feat; this also meant that if Bush lost the state, he would have lost re-election with 266 electoral votes, and been a one-term president despite winning the popular vote, which would have made him the first Republican to achieve this feat.

As of the 2024 U.S. presidential election, this is the last time Ohio voted more Democratic than the nation as a whole, as well as the last time where Hamilton County, the home of Cincinnati, voted for a Republican presidential candidate. Bush became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying Stark County since Benjamin Harrison in 1888.

Primaries

2004 Ohio Democratic presidential primary

Campaign

Predictions

There were 12 news organizations that made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.

Source	Ranking
D.C. Political Report
Associated Press
CNN
Cook Political Report
Newsweek
New York Times
Rasmussen Reports
Research 2000
Washington Post
Washington Times
Zogby International
Washington Dispatch

Polling

Pre-election polling showed a lot of volatility throughout the general election. In September, Bush was gaining momentum here, reaching over 50% in several polls and even reaching double digit margins in some. By October, Kerry gained back momentum as he started winning many of the polls, leading with from 48% to as high as 50%. The last 3 polls averaged Kerry leading 49% to 48%.

Fundraising

Bush raised $7,349,944, while Kerry raised $3,428,504.

Advertising and visits

Both candidates campaigned heavily. Bush visited the state 18 times to Kerry's 23 times. Almost every week, over $10 million was spent on television advertising.

Analysis

CNN's exit polling showed that Bush barely won the state. He won with 52% among male voters, while it was tied 50–50 among female voters. 53% of the voters approved of Bush's job as president. Bush dominated in the rural areas, while Kerry dominated and won most of the counties with large populations. Overall, Bush won most of the counties and congressional districts in the state. All the congressional districts Kerry won were in the northern section of the state.

Results

2004 United States presidential election in Ohio	Party	Candidate	Votes	Percentage
Republican	George W. Bush (incumbent)	2,859,768	50.81%	20
Democratic	John Kerry	2,741,167	48.71%	0
Independent	Michael Badnarik	14,676	0.26%	0
Independent	Michael Peroutka	11,939	0.21%	0
Others	Others	358	0.01%	0
Totals	5,627,908	100.00%	20
Voter turnout (Voting age population)	65.3%

By county

County	George W. Bush
Republican	John Kerry
Democratic	Various candidates
Other parties	Margin	Total	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	Totals	2,859,768	50.81%	2,741,167	48.71%	26,973	0.48%	118,601	2.10%	5,627,908
	Adams		7,653		63.78%		4,281		35.67%		66		0.55%		3,372		28.11%		12,000
	Allen		32,580		66.14%		16,470		33.44%		206		0.42%		16,110		32.70%		49,256
	Ashland		16,209		64.89%		8,576		34.33%		194		0.78%		7,633		30.56%		24,979
	Ashtabula		21,038		46.33%		24,060		52.99%		309		0.68%		-3,022		-6.66%		45,407
	Athens		10,847		36.10%		18,998		63.23%		200		0.67%		-8,151		-27.13%		30,045
	Auglaize		17,016		73.87%		5,903		25.63%		115		0.50%		11,113		48.24%		23,034
	Belmont		15,589		46.78%		17,576		52.75%		157		0.47%		-1,987		-5.97%		33,322
	Brown		12,647		63.58%		7,140		35.89%		105		0.53%		5,507		27.69%		19,892
	Butler		109,872		65.86%		56,243		33.72%		704		0.42%		53,629		32.14%		166,819
	Carroll		7,695		54.53%		6,300		44.64%		117		0.83%		1,395		9.89%		14,112
	Champaign		11,718		62.41%		6,968		37.11%		90		0.48%		4,750		25.30%		18,776
	Clark		34,941		50.78%		33,535		48.74%		331		0.48%		1,406		2.04%		68,807
	Clermont		62,949		70.67%		25,887		29.06%		243		0.27%		37,062		41.61%		89,079
	Clinton		12,938		70.26%		5,417		29.42%		59		0.32%		7,521		40.84%		18,414
	Columbiana		25,753		52.06%		23,429		47.37%		283		0.57%		2,324		4.69%		49,465
	Coshocton		9,839		56.86%		7,378		42.64%		86		0.50%		2,461		14.22%		17,303
	Crawford		13,885		63.69%		7,773		35.65%		143		0.66%		6,112		28.04%		21,801
	Cuyahoga		221,600		32.89%		448,503		66.57%		3,674		0.54%		-226,903		-33.68%		673,777
	Darke		18,306		69.57%		7,846		29.82%		161		0.61%		10,460		39.75%		26,313
	Defiance		11,397		61.55%		6,975		37.67%		144		0.78%		4,422		23.88%		18,516
	Delaware		53,143		66.05%		27,048		33.62%		265		0.33%		26,095		32.43%		80,456
	Erie		18,597		46.39%		21,421		53.44%		67		0.17%		-2,824		-7.05%		40,085
	Fairfield		42,715		62.92%		24,783		36.51%		384		0.57%		17,932		26.41%		67,882
	Fayette		7,376		62.74%		4,334		36.86%		47		0.40%		3,042		25.88%		11,757
	Franklin		237,253		45.12%		285,801		54.35%		2,773		0.53%		-48,548		-9.23%		525,827
	Fulton		13,640		62.13%		8,224		37.46%		90		0.41%		5,416		24.67%		21,954
	Gallia		8,576		61.29%		5,366		38.35%		51		0.36%		3,210		22.94%		13,993
	Geauga		30,370		60.21%		19,850		39.35%		222		0.44%		10,520		20.86%		50,442
	Greene		48,388		61.03%		30,531		38.51%		363		0.46%		17,847		22.52%		79,282
	Guernsey		9,962		55.84%		7,768		43.54%		110		0.62%		2,194		12.30%		17,840
	Hamilton		222,616		52.50%		199,679		47.09%		1,730		0.41%		22,937		5.41%		424,025
	Hancock		25,105		70.48%		10,352		29.06%		162		0.45%		14,753		41.42%		35,619
	Hardin		8,441		63.03%		4,891		36.52%		60		0.45%		3,550		26.51%		13,392
	Harrison		4,274		52.71%		3,780		46.61%		55		0.68%		494		6.10%		8,109
	Henry		9,902		65.55%		5,111		33.84%		92		0.61%		4,791		31.71%		15,105
	Highland		12,211		66.07%		6,194		33.52%		76		0.41%		6,017		32.55%		18,481
	Hocking		6,936		52.55%		6,175		46.78%		88		0.67%		761		5.77%		13,199
	Holmes		8,468		75.47%		2,697		24.02%		55		0.51%		5,771		51.45%		11,220
	Huron		14,817		57.97%		10,568		41.35%		173		0.68%		4,249		16.62%		25,558
	Jackson		8,585		59.89%		5,700		39.77%		49		0.34%		2,885		20.12%		14,334
	Jefferson		17,185		47.25%		19,024		52.30%		163		0.45%		-1,839		-5.05%		36,372
	Knox		17,068		63.11%		9,820		36.31%		157		0.58%		7,248		26.80%		27,045
	Lake		62,193		51.05%		59,049		48.47%		581		0.48%		3,144		2.58%		121,823
	Lawrence		15,455		55.77%		12,120		43.74%		135		0.49%		3,335		12.03%		27,710
	Licking		49,016		61.72%		30,053		37.84%		351		0.44%		18,963		23.88%		79,420
	Logan		14,471		67.63%		6,825		31.90%		102		0.48%		7,646		35.73%		21,398
	Lorain		61,203		43.49%		78,970		56.11%		569		0.40%		-17,767		-12.62%		140,742
	Lucas		87,160		39.54%		132,715		60.21%		555		0.25%		-45,555		-20.67%		220,430
	Madison		11,117		63.90%		6,203		35.65%		78		0.45%		4,914		28.25%		17,398
	Mahoning		48,761		36.69%		83,194		62.60%		949		0.71%		-34,433		-25.91%		132,904
	Marion		17,171		58.69%		11,930		40.78%		157		0.54%		5,241		17.91%		29,258
	Medina		48,196		56.78%		36,272		42.73%		410		0.49%		11,924		14.05%		84,878
	Meigs		6,272		58.23%		4,438		41.20%		61		0.57%		1,834		17.03%		10,771
	Mercer		15,650		74.92%		5,118		24.50%		122		0.58%		10,532		50.42%		20,890
	Miami		33,992		65.67%		17,606		34.01%		162		0.32%		16,386		31.66%		51,760
	Monroe		3,424		44.30%		4,243		54.90%		62		0.80%		-819		-10.60%		7,729
	Montgomery		138,371		48.97%		142,997		50.60%		1,216		0.43%		-4,626		-1.63%		282,584
	Morgan		3,758		56.06%		2,875		42.89%		70		1.04%		883		13.17%		6,703
	Morrow		10,474		64.15%		5,775		35.37%		79		0.48%		4,699		28.78%		16,328
	Muskingum		22,254		57.26%		16,421		42.25%		191		0.49%		5,833		15.01%		38,866
	Noble		3,841		58.73%		2,654		40.58%		45		0.69%		1,187		18.15%		6,540
	Ottawa		12,073		51.91%		11,118		47.80%		68		0.29%		955		4.11%		23,259
	Paulding		6,206		62.82%		3,610		36.54%		63		0.64%		2,596		26.28%		9,879
	Perry		7,856		51.72%		7,257		47.78%		76		0.50%		599		3.94%		15,189
	Pickaway		14,161		61.97%		8,579		37.54%		112		0.49%		5,582		24.43%		22,852
	Pike		6,520		51.84%		5,989		47.63%		67		0.53%		531		4.21%		12,576
	Portage		35,583		46.42%		40,675		53.07%		389		0.51%		-5,092		-6.65%		76,647
	Preble		13,734		65.01%		7,274		34.43%		119		0.56%		6,460		30.58%		21,127
	Putnam		14,370		76.24%		4,392		23.30%		87		0.46%		9,978		52.94%		18,849
	Richland		36,872		59.62%		24,638		39.84%		330		0.53%		12,234		19.78%		61,840
	Ross		17,231		54.41%		13,978		44.14%		462		1.46%		3,253		10.27%		31,671
	Sandusky		16,224		55.92%		12,686		43.72%		104		0.36%		3,538		12.20%		29,014
	Scioto		18,259		51.87%		16,827		47.80%		117		0.33%		1,432		4.07%		35,203
	Seneca		15,886		58.86%		10,957		40.60%		148		0.55%		4,929		18.26%		26,991
	Shelby		16,204		70.90%		6,535		28.59%		116		0.51%		9,669		42.31%		22,855
	Stark		92,215		48.93%		95,337		50.59%		907		0.48%		-3,122		-1.66%		188,459
	Summit		118,558		42.91%		156,587		56.67%		1,175		0.42%		-38,029		-13.76%		276,320
	Trumbull		40,977		37.89%		66,673		61.65%		495		0.46%		-25,696		-23.76%		108,145
	Tuscarawas		23,829		55.54%		18,853		43.94%		224		0.52%		4,976		11.60%		42,906
	Union		15,870		70.13%		6,665		29.45%		96		0.42%		9,205		40.68%		22,631
	Van Wert		10,678		72.02%		4,095		27.62%		54		0.36%		6,583		44.40%		14,827
	Vinton		3,249		54.82%		2,651		44.70%		28		0.47%		598		10.12%		5,928
	Warren		68,037		72.06%		26,044		27.58%		341		0.36%		41,993		44.48%		94,422
	Washington		17,532		58.02%		12,538		41.49%		146		0.48%		4,994		16.53%		30,216
	Wayne		31,879		61.49%		19,786		38.16%		183		0.35%		12,093		23.33%		51,848
	Williams		12,040		64.60%		6,481		34.77%		118		0.63%		5,559		29.83%		18,639
	Wood		33,592		53.03%		29,401		46.41%		353		0.56%		4,191		6.62%		63,346
	Wyandot		7,254		65.69%		3,708		33.58%		81		0.73%		3,546		32.11%		11,043

County Flips: {{col-begin}}

Democratic Republican ]]

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Clark (largest municipality: Springfield)

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Stark (largest municipality: Canton)

By congressional district

Bush won 13 of 18 congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat.

District	Bush	Representative
50%	49%	Steve Chabot
64%	36%	Rob Portman
	Jean Schmidt
54%	45%	Mike Turner
65%	34%	Mike Oxley
61%	39%	Paul Gillmor
50%	49%	Ted Strickland
57%	42%	David Hobson
64%	35%	John Boehner
42%	58%	Marcy Kaptur
41%	58%	Dennis Kucinich
18%	81%	Stephanie Tubbs Jones
51%	48%	Pat Tiberi
44%	55%	Sherrod Brown
53%	47%	Steven LaTourette
50%	49%	Deborah Pryce
54%	46%	Ralph Regula
37%	63%	Tim Ryan
57%	42%	Bob Ney

Electors

Main article: List of 2004 United States presidential electors

Technically the voters of Ohio cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Ohio is allocated 20 electors because it has 18 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 20 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 20 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector. The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols. The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 20 were pledged for Bush/Cheney.

Spencer R. Raleigh
Joyce M. Houck
Betty Jo Sherman
Gary C. Suhadolnik
Randy Law
Leslie J. Spaeth
David Whipple Johnson
Robert S. Frost
Alex R. Arshinkoff
Phil A. Bowman
Jon Allison
Katharina Hooper
Pernel Jones
Henry M. Butch O'Neill
William O. Dewitt
Karyle Mumper
Owen V. Hall
Merom Brachman
Kirk Schuring
Billie Jean Fiore

Objection to certification of Ohio's electoral votes

On January 6, 2005, Senator Barbara Boxer joined Representative Stephanie Tubbs Jones of Ohio in filing a congressional objection to the certification of Ohio's Electoral College votes due to alleged irregularities including disqualification of provisional ballots, alleged misallocation of voting machines, and disproportionately long waits in predominantly African-American communities. Ohio's polling locations and equipment are determined by two Democrats and two Republicans serving on the county's Board of Elections, which ensures that any decision made about polling resources is bipartisan. The Senate voted the objection down 74–1; the House voted the objection down 267–31. At the time, it was only the second congressional objection to an entire U.S. state's electoral delegation in American history; the first instance was in 1877, when all the electors from three Southern states in the 1876 United States presidential election were challenged, and one from Oregon. The third instance was in 2021, when Republicans objected to the certification of the electors from Arizona and Pennsylvania. An objection to a single faithless elector was also filed in 1969.

References

tags and see "Wikipedia:Citation templates" for proper citation formats--

Ohio Election Results Spreadsheets

References

"Voter Turnout in General Elections".
{{usurped
[http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=39 2004 Presidential Election Polls. Ohio polls] US Election Atlas
"George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President".
"John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democratic Party, President".
"CNN.com Specials".
"CNN.com Specials".
"CNN.com Election 2004".
Leip, David. "Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections".
"Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - County Data".
Ted, Barrett. (January 6, 2005). "Bush carries Electoral College after delay". CNN.
Barbara, Boxer. (January 6, 2005). "Press Release of Senator Boxer: Statement On Her Objection To The Certification Of Ohio's Electoral Votes".
"Secure Elections".
"Electoral Commission Deliberation". HarpWeek.

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