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2004 United States presidential election in Montana

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Field	Value
election_name	2004 United States presidential election in Montana
country	Montana
type	presidential
ongoing	no
previous_election	2000 United States presidential election in Montana
previous_year	2000
next_election	2008 United States presidential election in Montana
next_year	2008
election_date	November 2, 2004
image_size	x200px
image1	George-W-Bush (cropped).jpeg
nominee1	George W. Bush
party1	Republican Party (United States)
home_state1	Texas
running_mate1	Dick Cheney
electoral_vote1	3
popular_vote1	266,063
percentage1	59.07%
image2	John F. Kerry (wide crop).jpg
nominee2	John Kerry
party2	Democratic Party (United States)
home_state2	Massachusetts
running_mate2	John Edwards
electoral_vote2	0
popular_vote2	173,710
percentage2	38.56%
map_image	[[File:Montana Presidential Election Results 2004.svg	350px]]
map_size	350px
map_caption	County results
title	President
before_election	George W. Bush
before_party	Republican Party (United States)
after_election	George W. Bush
after_party	Republican Party (United States)
turnout	70.6% (of registered voters)
64.2% (of voting age population)

Main article: 2004 United States presidential election

Bush Kerry 64.2% (of voting age population)

The 2004 United States presidential election in Montana took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose three representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Montana was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 20.5% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state.

Primaries

2004 Montana Democratic presidential primary

Campaign

Predictions

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.

Source	Ranking
D.C. Political Report
Cook Political Report
Research 2000
Zogby International
The Washington Post	Washington Post
Washington Dispatch
Washington Times
The New York Times
CNN
Newsweek
Associated Press
Rasmussen Reports

Polling

Only a few pre-election polls were taken here. Bush won each one of them with a double-digit margin and with at least 54% of the vote. The final 3 polling average showed him leading 55% to 35%.

Fundraising

Bush raised $385,635. Kerry raised $145,679.

Advertising and visits

Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall campaign.

Analysis

Bush's key to victory was winning the highly populated Yellowstone County with 60% along with the majority of other counties. Kerry only won six counties in the state, including swinging Missoula County and his best performance in the Democratic stronghold of Deer Lodge County.

Results

2004 United States presidential election in Montana	Party	Candidate	Votes	Percentage
Republican	George W. Bush (incumbent)	266,063	59.07%	3
Democratic	John Kerry	173,710	38.56%	0
Independent	Ralph Nader	6,168	1.37%	0
Constitution	Michael Peroutka	1,764	0.39%	0
Libertarian	Michael Badnarik	1,733	0.38%	0
Green	David Cobb	996	0.22%	0
Write Ins.	-	11	0.00%	0
Totals		450,445		100.00%	6
Voter turnout (Voting age population)		64.2%

By county

County	George W. Bush
Republican	John Kerry
Democratic	Various candidates
Other parties	Margin	Total	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	Totals	266,063	59.07%	173,710	38.56%	10,672	2.37%	92,353	20.51%	450,445
	Beaverhead		3,067		72.30%		1,103		26.00%		72		1.70%		1,964		46.30%		4,242
	Big Horn		2,028		47.04%		2,215		51.38%		68		1.58%		-187		-4.34%		4,311
	Blaine		1,424		51.45%		1,300		46.97%		44		1.59%		124		4.48%		2,768
	Broadwater		1,778		75.47%		533		22.62%		45		1.90%		1,245		52.85%		2,356
	Carbon		3,342		62.81%		1,847		34.71%		132		2.48%		1,495		28.10%		5,321
	Carter		623		87.87%		76		10.72%		10		1.41%		547		77.15%		709
	Cascade		19,028		56.87%		13,701		40.95%		730		2.18%		5,327		15.92%		33,459
	Chouteau		1,913		65.49%		946		32.39%		62		2.12%		967		33.10%		2,921
	Custer		3,297		65.31%		1,630		32.29%		121		2.40%		1,667		33.02%		5,048
	Daniels		764		68.28%		326		29.13%		29		2.59%		438		39.15%		1,119
	Dawson		2,884		64.32%		1,494		33.32%		106		2.36%		1,390		31.00%		4,484
	Deer Lodge		1,725		37.97%		2,700		59.43%		118		2.60%		-975		-21.46%		4,543
	Fallon		1,178		79.01%		289		19.38%		24		1.61%		889		59.63%		1,491
	Fergus		4,425		72.22%		1,582		25.82%		120		1.96%		2,843		46.40%		6,127
	Flathead		26,019		67.27%		11,587		29.96%		1,072		2.77%		14,432		37.31%		38,678
	Gallatin		22,392		56.20%		16,405		41.18%		1,045		2.62%		5,987		15.02%		39,842
	Garfield		590		90.08%		52		7.94%		13		1.98%		538		82.14%		655
	Glacier		1,828		40.07%		2,641		57.89%		93		2.04%		-813		-17.82%		4,562
	Golden Valley		396		75.86%		119		22.80%		7		1.34%		277		53.06%		522
	Granite		1,144		71.28%		404		25.17%		57		3.55%		740		46.11%		1,605
	Hill		3,505		52.65%		2,997		45.02%		155		2.33%		508		7.63%		6,657
	Jefferson		3,844		65.51%		1,881		32.06%		143		2.44%		1,963		33.45%		5,868
	Judith Basin		944		73.41%		322		25.04%		20		1.56%		622		48.37%		1,286
	Lake		7,245		57.61%		4,960		39.44%		371		2.95%		2,285		18.17%		12,576
	Lewis and Clark		16,494		55.27%		12,717		42.61%		632		2.12%		3,777		12.66%		29,843
	Liberty		734		71.06%		281		27.20%		18		1.74%		453		43.86%		1,033
	Lincoln		5,889		69.70%		2,320		27.46%		240		2.84%		3,569		42.24%		8,449
	Madison		2,868		72.92%		983		24.99%		82		2.08%		1,885		47.93%		3,933
	McCone		791		69.57%		320		28.14%		26		2.29%		471		41.43%		1,137
	Meagher		698		71.74%		247		25.39%		28		2.88%		451		46.35%		973
	Mineral		1,242		67.61%		542		29.50%		53		2.89%		700		38.11%		1,837
	Missoula		23,989		45.73%		26,983		51.44%		1,482		2.83%		-2,994		-5.71%		52,454
	Musselshell		1,663		74.01%		538		23.94%		46		2.05%		1,125		50.07%		2,247
	Park		4,771		58.06%		3,199		38.93%		248		3.02%		1,572		19.13%		8,218
	Petroleum		228		78.08%		55		18.84%		9		3.08%		173		59.24%		292
	Phillips		1,677		77.28%		456		21.01%		37		1.71%		1,221		56.27%		2,170
	Pondera		1,853		64.79%		956		33.43%		51		1.78%		897		31.36%		2,860
	Powder River		856		83.19%		154		14.97%		19		1.85%		702		68.22%		1,029
	Powell		1,993		70.42%		761		26.89%		76		2.69%		1,232		43.53%		2,830
	Prairie		546		74.18%		181		24.59%		9		1.22%		365		49.59%		736
	Ravalli		13,279		66.84%		6,144		30.93%		444		2.23%		7,135		35.91%		19,867
	Richland		3,110		72.19%		1,120		26.00%		78		1.81%		1,990		46.19%		4,308
	Roosevelt		1,762		43.74%		2,195		54.49%		71		1.76%		-433		-10.75%		4,028
	Rosebud		1,982		55.29%		1,520		42.40%		83		2.32%		462		12.89%		3,585
	Sanders		3,461		67.16%		1,502		29.15%		190		3.69%		1,959		38.01%		5,153
	Sheridan		1,159		56.87%		846		41.51%		33		1.62%		313		15.36%		2,038
	Silver Bow		6,381		39.67%		9,307		57.86%		396		2.46%		-2,926		-18.19%		16,084
	Stillwater		3,090		73.34%		1,025		24.33%		98		2.33%		2,065		49.01%		4,213
	Sweet Grass		1,509		76.10%		445		22.44%		29		1.46%		1,064		53.66%		1,983
	Teton		2,232		66.45%		1,047		31.17%		80		2.38%		1,185		35.28%		3,359
	Toole		1,583		68.50%		690		29.86%		38		1.64%		893		38.64%		2,311
	Treasure		348		72.20%		121		25.10%		13		2.70%		227		47.10%		482
	Valley		2,476		61.62%		1,431		35.61%		111		2.76%		1,045		26.01%		4,018
	Wheatland		706		72.11%		250		25.54%		23		2.35%		456		46.57%		979
	Wibaux		407		72.68%		144		25.71%		9		1.61%		263		46.97%		560
	Yellowstone		40,903		61.71%		24,120		36.39%		1,263		1.90%		16,783		25.32%		66,286

County Flips: {{col-begin}}

Democratic Republican ]]

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Missoula (Largest city: Missoula)

By congressional district

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, called the at-large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.

District	Bush	Kerry	Representative		At-large
59.1%	38.6%		Denny Rehberg

Electors

Main article: List of 2004 United States presidential electors

Technically the voters of Montana cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Montana is allocated 3 electors because it has 1 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 3 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and their running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 3 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than their candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All three were pledged for Bush/Cheney.

Jack Galt
Thelma Baker
John Brenden

References

Info: Wikipedia Source

This article was imported from Wikipedia and is available under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 License. Content has been adapted to SurfDoc format. Original contributors can be found on the article history page.

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