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2004 United States presidential election in Mississippi

none

Field	Value
election_name	2004 United States presidential election in Mississippi
country	Mississippi
type	presidential
ongoing	no
previous_election	2000 United States presidential election in Mississippi
previous_year	2000
next_election	2008 United States presidential election in Mississippi
next_year	2008
election_date	November 2, 2004
image_size	x200px
image1	File:George-W-Bush (cropped).jpeg
nominee1	George W. Bush
party1	Republican Party (United States)
home_state1	Texas
running_mate1	Dick Cheney
electoral_vote1	6
popular_vote1	684,981
percentage1	59.44%
image2	John F. Kerry (wide crop).jpg
nominee2	John Kerry
party2	Democratic Party (United States)
home_state2	Massachusetts
running_mate2	John Edwards
electoral_vote2	0
popular_vote2	458,094
percentage2	39.75%
map_image
title	President
before_election	George W. Bush
before_party	Republican Party (United States)
after_election	George W. Bush
after_party	Republican Party (United States)
flag_year	2001

Bush Kerry Main article: 2004 United States presidential election

The 2004 United States presidential election in Mississippi took place on November 2, 2004, as part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose six representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president. It was the first presidential election since the 2000 United States census, after which Mississippi lost one electoral vote, reducing its elector count from seven to six, leaving Mississippi with the fewest electoral votes since 1848.

Mississippi was won by incumbent President George W. Bush of the Republican Party with a 19.69% margin of victory over Democratic nominee John Kerry. Prior to the election, Mississippi was considered a state Bush would win with ease, or a red state. Mississippi has not voted for a Democrat since 1976, when Jimmy Carter carried the state.

Campaign

Predictions

12 news organizations made state-by-state predictions of the election. These organizations published their predictions just prior to election day:

Source	Ranking
D.C. Political Report
Associated Press
CNN
Cook Political Report
Newsweek
New York Times
Rasmussen Reports
Research 2000
Washington Post
Washington Times
Zogby International
Washington Dispatch

Polling

Bush won pre-election polling by a double-digit margin.

Fundraising

Bush raised $866,580. Kerry raised $599,665.

Advertising and visits

Neither campaign spent or visited this state during the fall campaign.

Analysis

The last Democratic presidential nominee to win Mississippi was fellow Southerner Jimmy Carter in 1976. Due to its reliably conservative voting pattern, neither of the two major party candidates campaigned in the state.

Mississippi is one of the most racially polarized states in presidential elections. Black Mississippians almost uniformly vote Democratic, while white Mississippians vote Republican nearly as consistently. In 2004, 14% of white Mississippians voted for John Kerry and 10% of African Americans voted for Bush. Kerry's main support lay in the western counties on the Delta and next to the Mississippi River.

Pike County, Copiah County, Oktibbeha County, and Yazoo County would not vote Republican again until 2024.

Results

2004 United States presidential election in Mississippi	Party	Candidate	Votes	Percentage
Republican Party	George W. Bush (incumbent)	684,981	59.44%	6
Democratic Party	John Kerry	458,094	39.75%	0
Reform Party	Ralph Nader	3,177	0.28%	0
Libertarian Party	Michael Badnarik	1,793	0.16%	0
Constitution Party	Michael Peroutka	1,759	0.15%	0
Independent	Roger Calero	1,272	0.11%	0
Green Party	David Cobb	1,073	0.09%	0
Various parties	Write Ins	216	0.02%	0
Totals	-	100.00%	6
Voter turnout (Voting Age population)	54.4%

Results by county

County	George W. Bush
Republican	John Kerry
Democratic	Ralph Nader
Reform	Michael Badarnik
Libertarian	Michael Peroutka
Constitution	Roger Calero
Independent	Various candidates
Other parties	Margin	Total	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	Totals	684,981	59.44%	458,094	39.75%	3,177	0.28%	1,793	0.16%	1,759	0.15%	1,272	0.11%	1,289	0.11%	226,887	19.69%	1,152,365
	Adams		6,996		45.20%		8,423		54.42%		27		0.17%		14		0.09%		3		0.02%		3		0.02%		13		0.09%		-1,427		-9.22%		15,479
	Alcorn		8,634		60.64%		5,454		38.30%		69		0.48%		43		0.30%		20		0.14%		4		0.03%		15		0.11%		3,180		22.34%		14,239
	Amite		4,147		57.62%		3,012		41.85%		15		0.21%		6		0.08%		5		0.07%		9		0.13%		3		0.04%		1,135		15.77%		7,197
	Attala		5,014		61.09%		3,145		38.32%		14		0.17%		4		0.05%		11		0.13%		11		0.13%		8		0.10%		1,869		22.77%		8,207
	Benton		1,969		46.36%		2,245		52.86%		12		0.28%		6		0.14%		5		0.12%		2		0.05%		8		0.19%		-276		-6.50%		4,247
	Bolivar		5,535		36.16%		9,631		62.92%		32		0.21%		12		0.08%		66		0.43%		16		0.10%		15		0.10%		-4,096		-26.76%		15,307
	Calhoun		4,131		64.63%		2,234		34.95%		13		0.20%		2		0.03%		3		0.05%		5		0.08%		4		0.07%		1,897		29.68%		6,392
	Carroll		3,664		65.52%		1,900		33.98%		4		0.07%		15		0.27%		1		0.02%		1		0.02%		7		0.13%		1,764		31.54%		5,592
	Chickasaw		4,193		50.22%		4,078		48.84%		27		0.32%		15		0.18%		14		0.17%		9		0.11%		14		0.16%		115		1.38%		8,350
	Choctaw		2,694		66.00%		1,366		33.46%		7		0.17%		6		0.15%		4		0.10%		2		0.05%		3		0.07%		1,328		32.54%		4,082
	Claiborne		950		17.74%		4,362		81.46%		8		0.15%		13		0.24%		4		0.07%		15		0.28%		3		0.06%		-3,412		-63.72%		5,355
	Clarke		5,068		67.51%		2,402		32.00%		18		0.24%		6		0.08%		4		0.05%		3		0.04%		6		0.08%		2,666		35.51%		7,507
	Clay		4,342		47.50%		4,753		52.00%		12		0.13%		9		0.10%		10		0.11%		9		0.10%		6		0.06%		-411		-4.50%		9,141
	Coahoma		3,676		34.65%		6,805		64.15%		12		0.11%		78		0.74%		13		0.12%		14		0.13%		10		0.09%		-3,129		-29.50%		10,608
	Copiah		6,374		55.95%		4,961		43.54%		18		0.16%		13		0.11%		13		0.11%		7		0.06%		7		0.06%		1,413		12.41%		11,393
	Covington		5,044		61.12%		3,158		38.27%		22		0.27%		8		0.10%		7		0.08%		8		0.10%		5		0.06%		1,886		22.85%		8,252
	DeSoto		36,306		72.30%		13,583		27.05%		132		0.26%		88		0.18%		56		0.11%		20		0.04%		30		0.06%		22,723		45.25%		50,215
	Forrest		16,318		61.01%		10,220		38.21%		108		0.40%		33		0.12%		22		0.08%		22		0.08%		22		0.08%		6,098		22.80%		26,745
	Franklin		2,893		64.42%		1,574		35.05%		9		0.20%		3		0.07%		4		0.09%		6		0.13%		2		0.04%		1,319		29.37%		4,491
	George		6,223		77.78%		1,724		21.55%		19		0.24%		8		0.10%		12		0.15%		11		0.14%		4		0.05%		4,499		56.23%		8,001
	Greene		3,850		72.66%		1,421		26.82%		16		0.30%		4		0.08%		4		0.08%		3		0.06%		1		0.02%		2,429		45.84%		5,299
	Grenada		5,872		58.08%		4,180		41.34%		16		0.16%		12		0.12%		2		0.02%		9		0.09%		20		0.20%		1,692		16.74%		10,111
	Hancock		12,581		70.41%		5,107		28.58%		100		0.56%		35		0.20%		14		0.08%		21		0.12%		11		0.06%		7,474		41.83%		17,869
	Harrison		39,703		62.73%		23,076		36.46%		240		0.38%		104		0.16%		64		0.10%		42		0.07%		59		0.09%		16,627		26.27%		63,288
	Hinds		36,975		39.97%		54,845		59.29%		226		0.24%		126		0.14%		158		0.17%		84		0.09%		86		0.09%		-17,870		-19.32%		92,500
	Holmes		1,961		23.39%		6,366		75.94%		9		0.11%		4		0.05%		6		0.07%		22		0.26%		12		0.14%		-4,405		-52.55%		8,383
	Humphreys		1,679		34.27%		3,168		64.65%		13		0.27%		15		0.31%		2		0.04%		13		0.27%		10		0.20%		-1,489		-30.38%		4,900
	Issaquena		439		45.26%		516		53.20%		1		0.10%		5		0.52%		4		0.41%		2		0.21%		3		0.31%		-77		-7.94%		970
	Itawamba		6,833		70.34%		2,802		28.84%		36		0.37%		7		0.07%		13		0.13%		14		0.14%		9		0.09%		4,031		41.50%		9,714
	Jackson		35,134		68.79%		15,572		30.49%		180		0.35%		56		0.11%		45		0.09%		34		0.07%		54		0.10%		19,562		38.30%		51,075
	Jasper		3,855		48.13%		4,117		51.40%		16		0.20%		9		0.11%		1		0.01%		5		0.06%		6		0.07%		-262		-3.27%		8,009
	Jefferson		630		18.16%		2,821		81.32%		2		0.06%		4		0.12%		3		0.09%		0		0.00%		9		0.26%		-2,191		-63.16%		3,469
	Jefferson Davis		2,668		46.28%		2,959		51.33%		24		0.42%		15		0.26%		10		0.17%		53		0.92%		36		0.62%		-291		-5.05%		5,765
	Jones		19,125		71.72%		7,398		27.74%		68		0.26%		8		0.03%		46		0.17%		13		0.05%		8		0.03%		11,727		43.98%		26,666
	Kemper		2,109		45.82%		2,465		53.55%		10		0.22%		7		0.15%		6		0.13%		4		0.09%		2		0.04%		-356		-7.73%		4,603
	Lafayette		9,004		58.46%		6,218		40.37%		76		0.49%		50		0.32%		15		0.10%		6		0.04%		32		0.20%		2,786		18.09%		15,401
	Lamar		16,410		80.19%		3,923		19.17%		59		0.29%		28		0.14%		22		0.11%		15		0.07%		8		0.04%		12,487		61.02%		20,465
	Lauderdale		19,736		65.42%		10,292		34.11%		61		0.20%		28		0.09%		12		0.04%		25		0.08%		16		0.05%		9,444		31.31%		30,170
	Lawrence		3,956		62.73%		2,308		36.60%		20		0.32%		8		0.13%		5		0.08%		5		0.08%		4		0.06%		1,648		26.13%		6,306
	Leake		4,962		60.41%		3,212		39.10%		16		0.19%		7		0.09%		5		0.06%		5		0.06%		7		0.09%		1,750		21.31%		8,214
	Lee		20,254		66.11%		10,127		33.05%		108		0.35%		42		0.14%		54		0.18%		22		0.07%		32		0.11%		10,127		33.06%		30,639
	Leflore		4,635		37.19%		7,566		60.71%		35		0.28%		26		0.21%		143		1.15%		25		0.20%		33		0.26%		-2,931		-23.52%		12,463
	Lincoln		10,008		69.04%		4,418		30.48%		28		0.19%		13		0.09%		12		0.08%		10		0.07%		7		0.04%		5,590		38.56%		14,496
	Lowndes		13,690		56.41%		10,408		42.88%		68		0.28%		36		0.15%		26		0.11%		20		0.08%		22		0.09%		3,282		13.53%		24,270
	Madison		24,257		64.29%		13,268		35.17%		77		0.20%		48		0.13%		41		0.11%		21		0.06%		16		0.04%		10,989		29.12%		37,728
	Marion		7,999		66.95%		3,888		32.54%		26		0.22%		9		0.08%		4		0.03%		13		0.11%		8		0.07%		4,111		34.41%		11,947
	Marshall		5,975		40.79%		8,591		58.65%		24		0.16%		19		0.13%		15		0.10%		12		0.08%		13		0.09%		-2,616		-17.86%		14,649
	Monroe		9,308		59.54%		6,237		39.90%		44		0.28%		15		0.10%		15		0.10%		9		0.06%		4		0.03%		3,071		19.64%		15,632
	Montgomery		3,002		54.61%		2,473		44.99%		9		0.16%		3		0.05%		3		0.05%		6		0.11%		1		0.02%		529		9.62%		5,497
	Neshoba		7,780		74.67%		2,600		24.95%		15		0.14%		8		0.08%		2		0.02%		8		0.08%		6		0.06%		5,180		49.72%		10,419
	Newton		6,165		72.63%		2,280		26.86%		11		0.13%		5		0.06%		11		0.13%		6		0.07%		10		0.12%		3,885		45.77%		8,488
	Noxubee		1,723		28.26%		4,346		71.28%		5		0.08%		7		0.11%		10		0.16%		3		0.05%		3		0.05%		-2,623		-43.02%		6,097
	Oktibbeha		9,068		55.67%		7,015		43.06%		83		0.51%		37		0.23%		49		0.30%		14		0.09%		24		0.15%		2,053		12.61%		16,290
	Panola		6,769		50.36%		6,615		49.22%		21		0.16%		16		0.12%		3		0.02%		11		0.08%		5		0.04%		154		1.14%		13,440
	Pearl River		14,896		76.44%		4,472		22.95%		60		0.31%		23		0.12%		15		0.08%		13		0.07%		8		0.04%		10,424		53.49%		19,487
	Perry		3,747		74.49%		1,261		25.07%		5		0.10%		5		0.10%		5		0.10%		3		0.06%		4		0.08%		2,486		49.42%		5,030
	Pike		8,660		52.07%		7,881		46.38%		41		0.25%		19		0.11%		8		0.05%		14		0.08%		9		0.05%		779		4.69%		16,632
	Pontotoc		8,480		75.44%		2,660		23.67%		55		0.49%		16		0.14%		10		0.09%		17		0.15%		2		0.02%		5,820		51.77%		11,240
	Prentiss		6,538		65.83%		3,327		33.50%		38		0.38%		3		0.03%		6		0.06%		15		0.15%		5		0.05%		3,211		32.33%		9,932
	Quitman		1,360		39.79%		2,032		59.45%		3		0.09%		7		0.20%		3		0.09%		5		0.15%		8		0.24%		-672		-19.66%		3,418
	Rankin		43,054		78.67%		11,005		20.11%		178		0.33%		95		0.17%		238		0.43%		80		0.15%		76		0.14%		32,049		58.56%		54,726
	Scott		6,395		62.52%		3,802		37.17%		9		0.09%		7		0.07%		7		0.07%		3		0.03%		5		0.05%		2,593		25.35%		10,228
	Sharkey		1,120		36.21%		1,560		50.44%		52		1.68%		74		2.39%		48		1.55%		94		3.04%		145		4.69%		-440		-14.23%		3,093
	Simpson		7,138		68.15%		3,272		31.24%		8		0.08%		17		0.16%		28		0.27%		7		0.07%		4		0.04%		3,866		36.91%		10,474
	Smith		5,577		78.33%		1,496		21.01%		13		0.18%		6		0.08%		16		0.22%		11		0.15%		1		0.01%		4,081		57.32%		7,120
	Stone		4,146		72.29%		1,528		26.64%		20		0.35%		15		0.26%		14		0.24%		8		0.14%		4		0.07%		2,618		45.65%		5,735
	Sunflower		3,534		35.29%		6,359		63.49%		18		0.18%		53		0.53%		6		0.06%		31		0.31%		14		0.14%		-2,825		-28.20%		10,015
	Tallahatchie		2,737		44.02%		3,420		55.01%		11		0.18%		24		0.39%		4		0.06%		10		0.16%		11		0.18%		-683		-10.99%		6,217
	Tate		6,760		60.54%		4,347		38.93%		31		0.28%		6		0.05%		15		0.13%		5		0.04%		3		0.03%		2,413		21.61%		11,167
	Tippah		6,174		66.57%		3,016		32.52%		34		0.37%		15		0.16%		12		0.13%		19		0.20%		5		0.05%		3,158		34.05%		9,275
	Tishomingo		5,379		64.51%		2,846		34.13%		56		0.67%		16		0.19%		4		0.05%		16		0.19%		21		0.25%		2,533		30.38%		8,338
	Tunica		950		30.36%		2,140		68.39%		6		0.19%		14		0.45%		8		0.26%		7		0.22%		4		0.13%		-1,190		-38.03%		3,129
	Union		7,906		73.08%		2,839		26.24%		31		0.29%		17		0.16%		13		0.12%		8		0.07%		5		0.05%		5,067		46.84%		10,819
	Walthall		3,888		61.17%		2,435		38.31%		12		0.19%		14		0.22%		1		0.02%		4		0.06%		2		0.03%		1,453		22.86%		6,356
	Warren		11,356		57.69%		8,224		41.78%		40		0.20%		26		0.13%		12		0.06%		14		0.07%		11		0.06%		3,132		15.91%		19,683
	Washington		7,731		39.45%		11,569		59.03%		43		0.22%		18		0.09%		101		0.52%		60		0.31%		75		0.38%		-3,838		-19.58%		19,597
	Wayne		5,562		63.24%		3,193		36.30%		15		0.17%		3		0.03%		12		0.14%		3		0.03%		7		0.08%		2,369		26.94%		8,795
	Webster		3,708		73.16%		1,341		26.46%		6		0.12%		1		0.02%		5		0.10%		4		0.08%		3		0.06%		2,367		46.70%		5,068
	Wilkinson		1,563		35.64%		2,794		63.72%		6		0.14%		3		0.07%		10		0.23%		4		0.09%		5		0.11%		-1,231		-28.08%		4,385
	Winston		5,386		57.21%		3,978		42.25%		19		0.20%		3		0.03%		5		0.05%		14		0.15%		10		0.11%		1,408		14.96%		9,415
	Yalobusha		3,278		54.89%		2,656		44.47%		16		0.27%		6		0.10%		2		0.03%		11		0.18%		3		0.05%		622		10.42%		5,972
	Yazoo		5,672		51.62%		5,013		45.63%		30		0.27%		89		0.81%		46		0.42%		60		0.55%		77		0.70%		659		5.99%		10,987

County Flips: {{col-begin}}

Democratic Republican ]]

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Panola (Largest city: Sardis)
Yalobusha (Largest city: Water Valley)

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Jasper (Largest city: Bay Springs)

Results by congressional district

Bush won three out of Mississippi's four congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat.

District	Bush	Representative
62%	37%	Roger Wicker
40%	59%	Bennie G. Thompson
65%	34%	Chip Pickering
68%	31%	Gene Taylor

Electors

Main article: List of 2004 United States presidential electors

Mississippi was assigned six electors to cast votes to the Electoral college. Given that Mississippi voted for Bush, all electors were pledged to cast their ballots for Bush. The electors were:

Kelly Segars
John Phillips
Wayne Parker
Jimmy Creekmore
Victor Mavar
Billy Mounger

References

"Mississippi Presidential Election Voting History".
{{usurped
"2004 Presidential Election Polls. Mississippi Polls". US Election Atlas.
"George W Bush — $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President".
"John F Kerry — $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democratic Party, President".
"CNN.com Specials". CNN.
"CNN Election 2004". CNN.
Leip, Dave. "2004 Presidential General Election Results — Mississippi".
"MS US President Race, November 02, 2004". Our Campaigns.
https://swingstateproject.com/diary/4161
http://secure.sos.state.ms.us/ed_pubs/PressReleases/Articles/ElectoralCollegeMeets.asp {{Dead link. (July 2018)

Info: Wikipedia Source

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