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2004 United States presidential election in Massachusetts

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2004 United States presidential election in Massachusetts

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FieldValue
election_name2004 United States presidential election in Massachusetts
countryMassachusetts
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2000 United States presidential election in Massachusetts
previous_year2000
next_election2008 United States presidential election in Massachusetts
next_year2008
election_dateNovember 2, 2004
turnout71.41% ( 3.21%)
image_sizex200px
image1John F. Kerry (wide crop).jpg
nominee1**John Kerry**
party1Democratic Party (United States)
home_state1Massachusetts
running_mate1**John Edwards**
electoral_vote1**12**
popular_vote1**1,803,800**
percentage1**61.94%**
image2File:George-W-Bush (cropped).jpeg
nominee2George W. Bush
party2Republican Party (United States)
home_state2Texas
running_mate2Dick Cheney
electoral_vote20
popular_vote21,071,109
percentage236.78%
map_image{{switcher
default1
map_size401px
titlePresident
before_electionGeorge W. Bush
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionGeorge W. Bush
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)

Main article: 2004 United States presidential election

|[[File:Massachusetts Presidential Election Results 2004.svg|350px]] |County results |[[File:2004 Presidential Election in Massachusetts By Municipality.svg|350px]] |Municipality results |[[File:2004 United States presidential election in Massachusetts by congressional district.svg|350px]] |Congressional district results |[[File:Mass04Pres.svg|350px]] |Precinct results Kerry Bush The 2004 United States presidential election in Massachusetts took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 12 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Massachusetts was won by Democratic nominee and its U.S. Senator John Kerry by a 25.2% margin of victory. Kerry took 61.94% of the vote to Republican George W. Bush's 36.78%. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Kerry would win, or otherwise considered as a safe blue state. Kerry's vote share was later surpassed by Joe Biden in 2020, who won 65.60% of the vote that year.

Massachusetts had been a Democratic-leaning state since 1928, and a Democratic stronghold since 1960, and has kept up its intense level of the sizable Democratic margins since 1996. No Republican has won even a single county or congressional district in a presidential election since Bush's father George H. W. Bush in 1988, and no Republican has won statewide since Ronald Reagan's landslide victory in 1984. In the 2004 presidential election it was also the home state of Democratic candidate John Kerry, who at the time represented Massachusetts in the U.S. Senate.

Massachusetts weighed in as about 27% more Democratic than the national average in 2004, making it the most Democratic state in the union, and the only state where Kerry won with more than 60% of the vote.

To date, this is the last election where the towns of Orange, and Webster backed the national losing candidate, and the last time a Democrat won the towns of Dracut, Halifax, Hanson, Millville, and Rochester.

Primaries

Campaign

Predictions

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.

SourceRanking
D.C. Political Report
Cook Political Report
Research 2000
Zogby International
The Washington PostWashington Post
Washington Dispatch
Washington Times
The New York Times
CNN
Newsweek
Associated Press
Rasmussen Reports

Polling

Kerry won every pre-election poll, and each with a double-digit margin and with at least 50% of the vote. The final 3 poll average showed Kerry with a strong lead of 57% to 31%.

Fundraising

Bush raised $4,060,356. Kerry raised $18,565,872, which was 10% of all the money he raised in 2004, and the third highest amount below only New York and California.

Advertising and visits

Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall election.

Analysis

Massachusetts was (and is) one of the bluest states in the nation. Massachusetts has voted for the Democratic presidential nominee in every election since 1960 except for Ronald Reagan's landslide victories of 1980 and 1984. In 1972, only Massachusetts and the District of Columbia voted for Democratic U.S. Senator George McGovern as Republican Richard M. Nixon won reelection.

Kerry defeated George W. Bush in Massachusetts by 25%, a similar margin to that of Al Gore in 2000. He won every county and Congressional district easily. The 2004 Democratic National Convention took place at the TD Banknorth Garden, then called FleetCenter in Boston, the state capital.

Results

2004 United States presidential election in MassachusettsPartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
**Democratic****John Kerry****1,803,800****61.94%****12**
RepublicanGeorge W. Bush (incumbent)1,071,10936.78%0
LibertarianMichael Badnarik15,0220.52%0
Green-RainbowDavid Cobb10,6230.36%0
IndependentOthers (Write-In)7,0280.24%0
IndependentRalph Nader (Write-In)4,8060.17%0
Total votes2,912,388100.00%12

By county

CountyJohn Kerry
DemocraticGeorge W. Bush
RepublicanVarious candidates
Other partiesMarginTotal votes cast#%#%#%#%Totals1,803,80061.94%1,071,10936.78%37,4791.28%732,69125.16%2,912,388
Barnstable72,15654.60%58,52744.29%1,4651.11%13,62910.31%132,148
Berkshire47,74373.12%16,80625.74%7421.13%30,93747.38%65,291
Bristol147,85463.49%82,52435.44%2,5001.07%65,33028.05%232,878
Dukes7,26572.67%2,60226.03%1301.30%4,66346.64%9,997
Essex194,06858.24%135,11440.55%4,0511.41%58,95417.69%333,233
Franklin25,55068.35%11,05829.58%7732.07%14,49238.77%37,381
Hampden113,71060.93%70,92538.00%2,0041.07%42,78522.93%186,639
Hampshire51,68069.44%21,31528.64%1,4271.91%30,36540.80%74,422
Middlesex440,86263.99%237,81534.52%10,2831.49%203,04729.47%688,960
Nantucket3,60863.03%2,04035.64%761.32%1,56827.39%5,724
Norfolk199,39260.21%127,76338.58%3,9821.21%71,62921.63%331,137
Plymouth125,17853.66%105,60345.27%2,5161.08%19,5758.39%233,297
Suffolk182,59275.88%54,92322.82%3,1301.30%127,66953.06%240,645
Worcester192,14256.41%144,09442.30%4,4001.29%48,04814.11%340,636

By municipality

Results by municipality

]]

By congressional district

Kerry won all ten congressional districts.

DistrictBushKerryRepresentative
35%**63%**John Olver
40%**59%**Richard Neal
40%**59%**Jim McGovern
33%**65%**Barney Frank
41%**57%**Marty Meehan
41%**58%**John Tierney
33%**66%**Ed Markey
19%**79%**Mike Capuano
36%**63%**Stephen Lynch
43%**56%**William Delahunt

Electors

Main article: List of 2004 United States presidential electors

Technically the voters of Massachusetts cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Massachusetts is allocated 12 electors because it has 10 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 12 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 12 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 12 were pledged for Kerry/Edwards:

  1. Cathaleen L. Ashton
  2. Sharon M. Pollard
  3. Elizabeth Moroney
  4. Helen Covington
  5. Candice E. Lopes
  6. Susan Thomson
  7. Robert P. Cassidy
  8. William P. Dooling
  9. William Eddy
  10. Thomas V. Barbera
  11. Mushtaque A. Minza
  12. Calvin T. Brown

References

References

  1. "Voter Turnout Statistics".
  2. {{usurped
  3. "Election 2004 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections".
  4. "George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President".
  5. "John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democrat Party, President".
  6. "Specials: 2004 Campaign Ads". Cnn.com.
  7. "Specials: Candidate tracker". Cnn.com.
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