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2004 United States presidential election in Idaho
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| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| election_name | 2004 United States presidential election in Idaho |
| country | Idaho |
| type | presidential |
| ongoing | no |
| previous_election | 2000 United States presidential election in Idaho |
| previous_year | 2000 |
| next_election | 2008 United States presidential election in Idaho |
| next_year | 2008 |
| election_date | November 2, 2004 |
| image_size | x200px |
| image1 | File:George-W-Bush (cropped).jpeg |
| nominee1 | **George W. Bush** |
| party1 | Republican Party (United States) |
| home_state1 | Texas |
| running_mate1 | **Dick Cheney** |
| electoral_vote1 | **4** |
| popular_vote1 | **409,235** |
| percentage1 | **68.38%** |
| image2 | John F. Kerry (wide crop).jpg |
| nominee2 | John Kerry |
| party2 | Democratic Party (United States) |
| home_state2 | Massachusetts |
| running_mate2 | John Edwards |
| electoral_vote2 | 0 |
| popular_vote2 | 181,098 |
| percentage2 | 30.26% |
| map_image | {{Switcher |
| title | President |
| before_election | George W. Bush |
| before_party | Republican Party (United States) |
| after_election | George W. Bush |
| after_party | Republican Party (United States) |
| turnout | 75.0% (of registered voters) |
| 60.2% (of voting age population) |
Main article: 2004 United States presidential election
| [[File:Idaho Presidential Election Results 2004.svg|200px]] | County results | [[File:2008 United States presidential election in Idaho by congressional district.svg|200px]] | Congressional district results | [[File:2004 US Presidential election in Idaho by precinct.svg|200px]] | Precinct results Bush Kerry No Data 60.2% (of voting age population) The 2004 United States presidential election in Idaho was held on November 2, 2004, as part of the 2004 presidential election. Voters chose four representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.
Idaho was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 38.1 point margin of victory. Prior to the election, all twelve news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. No Democratic presidential nominee won the state since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964, and even then, the race was closely contested. In 2004, President George W. Bush easily won the state and every congressional district and county, except the Democratic stronghold of Blaine County.
With 68.38 percent of the popular vote, Idaho would prove to be Bush's third strongest state in the 2004 election after neighboring Utah and Wyoming.
Caucuses
Campaign
Predictions
There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.
| Source | Ranking |
|---|---|
| D.C. Political Report | |
| Associated Press | |
| CNN | |
| Cook Political Report | |
| Newsweek | |
| New York Times | |
| Rasmussen Reports | |
| Research 2000 | |
| Washington Post | |
| Washington Times | |
| Zogby International | |
| Washington Dispatch |
Polling
Only one pre-election poll was taken, which gave Bush 59%, Kerry 30%, and Nader 3%.
Fundraising
Bush raised $371,495. Kerry raised $359,011.
Advertising and visits
Neither campaign visited or campaigned here during the fall election.
Analysis
With a substantial Mormon population, Idaho is one of the most reliable GOP bastions in the country. Both senators and representatives are Republican. It has not supported a Democratic presidential candidate since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964. Democrats have not held the state legislature since 1958, though Democrats held the governorship from 1971 to 1995.
Results
| 2004 United States presidential election in Idaho | Party | Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Electoral votes | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| **Republican** | **George W. Bush (incumbent)** | **409,235** | **68.38%** | **4** | ||||
| Democratic | John Kerry | 181,098 | 30.26% | 0 | ||||
| Libertarian | Michael Badnarik | 3,844 | 0.64% | 0 | ||||
| Constitution Party | Michael Peroutka | 3,084 | 0.52% | 0 | ||||
| Write In | Ralph Nader | 1,115 | 0.19% | 0 | ||||
| Write In | David Cobb | 58 | 0.01% | 0 | ||||
| Write In | John Joseph Kennedy | 9 | 0 | |||||
| Write In | Walt Brown | 3 | 0 | |||||
| **Totals** | **598,447** | **100.00%** | **4** | |||||
| Voter turnout (Voting age population) | 60.2% |
Results by county
| County | George W. Bush | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Kerry | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Democratic | Michael J. Badnarik | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Libertarian | Michael Anthony Peroutka | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Constitution | Various Other Candidates | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Write In | Margin | Total | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Totals | 409,235 | 68.38% | 181,098 | 30.26% | 3,844 | 0.64% | 3,084 | 0.52% | 1,186 | 0.20% | 228,137 | 38.12% | 598,447 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Ada | 94,641 | 61.05% | 58,523 | 37.75% | 1,041 | 0.67% | 449 | 0.29% | 376 | 0.24% | 36,118 | 23.30% | 155,030 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Adams | 1,468 | 71.16% | 555 | 26.90% | 14 | 0.68% | 24 | 1.16% | 2 | 0.10% | 913 | 44.26% | 2,063 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Bannock | 21,479 | 61.64% | 12,903 | 37.03% | 244 | 0.70% | 125 | 0.36% | 93 | 0.26% | 8,576 | 24.61% | 34,844 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Bear Lake | 2,506 | 82.43% | 494 | 16.25% | 12 | 0.39% | 22 | 0.72% | 6 | 0.20% | 2,012 | 66.18% | 3,040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Benewah | 2,823 | 69.70% | 1,148 | 28.35% | 34 | 0.84% | 35 | 0.86% | 10 | 0.25% | 1,675 | 41.35% | 4,050 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Bingham | 12,734 | 76.87% | 3,605 | 21.76% | 105 | 0.63% | 107 | 0.65% | 14 | 0.08% | 9,129 | 55.11% | 16,565 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Blaine | 4,034 | 39.76% | 5,992 | 59.05% | 80 | 0.79% | 23 | 0.23% | 18 | 0.18% | -1,958 | -19.29% | 10,147 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Boise | 2,501 | 70.91% | 970 | 27.50% | 31 | 0.88% | 15 | 0.43% | 10 | 0.28% | 1,531 | 43.41% | 3,527 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Bonner | 10,697 | 60.49% | 6,649 | 37.60% | 139 | 0.79% | 146 | 0.83% | 53 | 0.30% | 4,048 | 22.89% | 17,684 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Bonneville | 30,048 | 77.30% | 8,356 | 21.50% | 229 | 0.59% | 184 | 0.47% | 54 | 0.14% | 21,692 | 55.80% | 38,871 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Boundary | 3,012 | 68.78% | 1,268 | 28.96% | 51 | 1.16% | 31 | 0.71% | 17 | 0.39% | 1,744 | 39.82% | 4,379 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Butte | 1,077 | 76.60% | 321 | 22.83% | 4 | 0.28% | 4 | 0.28% | 0 | 0.00% | 756 | 53.77% | 1,406 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Camas | 450 | 75.63% | 139 | 23.36% | 1 | 0.17% | 5 | 0.84% | 0 | 0.00% | 311 | 52.27% | 595 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Canyon | 41,599 | 74.69% | 13,415 | 24.09% | 346 | 0.62% | 269 | 0.48% | 69 | 0.12% | 28,184 | 50.60% | 55,698 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Caribou | 2,753 | 83.91% | 491 | 14.96% | 21 | 0.64% | 8 | 0.24% | 8 | 0.24% | 2,262 | 68.95% | 3,281 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cassia | 6,562 | 83.90% | 1,153 | 14.74% | 48 | 0.61% | 54 | 0.69% | 4 | 0.05% | 5,409 | 69.16% | 7,821 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Clark | 302 | 85.55% | 46 | 13.03% | 2 | 0.57% | 3 | 0.85% | 0 | 0.00% | 256 | 72.52% | 353 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Clearwater | 2,839 | 70.38% | 1,117 | 27.69% | 40 | 0.99% | 35 | 0.87% | 3 | 0.07% | 1,722 | 42.69% | 4,034 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Custer | 1,762 | 74.72% | 559 | 23.71% | 18 | 0.76% | 13 | 0.55% | 6 | 0.25% | 1,203 | 51.01% | 2,358 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Elmore | 6,011 | 74.57% | 1,959 | 24.30% | 45 | 0.56% | 29 | 0.36% | 17 | 0.21% | 4,052 | 50.27% | 8,061 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Franklin | 4,527 | 89.57% | 456 | 9.02% | 19 | 0.38% | 51 | 1.01% | 1 | 0.02% | 4,071 | 80.55% | 5,054 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fremont | 4,965 | 86.06% | 741 | 12.84% | 22 | 0.38% | 34 | 0.59% | 7 | 0.12% | 4,224 | 73.22% | 5,769 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Gem | 5,416 | 75.92% | 1,628 | 22.82% | 34 | 0.48% | 37 | 0.52% | 19 | 0.27% | 3,788 | 53.10% | 7,134 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Gooding | 3,973 | 74.61% | 1,278 | 24.00% | 29 | 0.54% | 31 | 0.58% | 14 | 0.26% | 2,695 | 50.61% | 5,325 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Idaho | 6,017 | 75.50% | 1,689 | 21.19% | 49 | 0.61% | 202 | 2.53% | 13 | 0.16% | 4,328 | 54.31% | 7,970 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Jefferson | 7,703 | 86.49% | 1,084 | 12.17% | 41 | 0.46% | 72 | 0.81% | 6 | 0.07% | 6,619 | 74.32% | 8,906 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Jerome | 5,177 | 78.68% | 1,344 | 20.43% | 31 | 0.47% | 18 | 0.27% | 10 | 0.15% | 3,833 | 58.25% | 6,580 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Kootenai | 36,173 | 66.25% | 17,584 | 32.20% | 303 | 0.55% | 408 | 0.75% | 135 | 0.25% | 18,589 | 34.05% | 54,603 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Latah | 8,686 | 49.48% | 8,430 | 48.03% | 239 | 1.36% | 125 | 0.71% | 73 | 0.41% | 256 | 1.45% | 17,553 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Lemhi | 3,079 | 75.93% | 915 | 22.56% | 37 | 0.91% | 16 | 0.39% | 8 | 0.20% | 2,164 | 53.37% | 4,055 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Lewis | 1,359 | 74.67% | 440 | 24.18% | 7 | 0.38% | 10 | 0.55% | 4 | 0.22% | 919 | 50.49% | 1,820 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Lincoln | 1,388 | 73.99% | 466 | 24.84% | 9 | 0.48% | 9 | 0.48% | 4 | 0.21% | 922 | 49.15% | 1,876 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Madison | 10,693 | 91.89% | 826 | 7.10% | 35 | 0.30% | 69 | 0.59% | 14 | 0.12% | 9,867 | 84.79% | 11,637 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Minidoka | 5,797 | 80.50% | 1,331 | 18.48% | 33 | 0.46% | 35 | 0.49% | 5 | 0.07% | 4,466 | 62.02% | 7,201 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Nez Perce | 11,009 | 62.20% | 6,476 | 36.59% | 112 | 0.63% | 82 | 0.46% | 21 | 0.12% | 4,533 | 25.61% | 17,700 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Oneida | 1,789 | 83.87% | 304 | 14.25% | 9 | 0.42% | 30 | 1.41% | 1 | 0.05% | 1,485 | 69.62% | 2,133 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Owyhee | 2,859 | 79.64% | 685 | 19.08% | 27 | 0.75% | 17 | 0.47% | 2 | 0.06% | 2,174 | 60.56% | 3,590 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Payette | 6,256 | 76.47% | 1,848 | 22.59% | 39 | 0.48% | 34 | 0.42% | 4 | 0.05% | 4,408 | 53.88% | 8,181 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Power | 2,105 | 71.16% | 829 | 28.03% | 13 | 0.44% | 10 | 0.34% | 1 | 0.03% | 1,276 | 43.13% | 2,958 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Shoshone | 2,922 | 54.75% | 2,331 | 43.68% | 35 | 0.66% | 41 | 0.77% | 8 | 0.15% | 591 | 11.07% | 5,337 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Teton | 2,235 | 60.57% | 1,416 | 38.37% | 24 | 0.65% | 2 | 0.05% | 13 | 0.35% | 819 | 22.20% | 3,690 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Twin Falls | 19,672 | 74.42% | 6,458 | 24.43% | 146 | 0.55% | 119 | 0.45% | 40 | 0.15% | 13,214 | 49.99% | 26,435 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Valley | 2,863 | 59.97% | 1,843 | 38.60% | 29 | 0.61% | 18 | 0.38% | 21 | 0.44% | 1,020 | 21.37% | 4,774 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Washington | 3,274 | 75.11% | 1,033 | 23.70% | 17 | 0.39% | 33 | 0.76% | 2 | 0.05% | 2,241 | 51.41% | 4,359 |
By congressional district
Bush won both congressional districts.
| District | Bush | Kerry | Representative | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| **68%** | 30% | Butch Otter | |||||
| **68%** | 30% | Mike Simpson |
Electors
Main article: List of 2004 United States presidential electors
Technically the voters of Idaho cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Idaho is allocated 4 electors because it has 2 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 4 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 4 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.
The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.
The following were the members of the Electoral College from Idaho. All were pledged to and voted for George Bush and Dick Cheney.
- Pete T. Cenarrusa
- Debbie Field
- Sandra Patano
- John Sandy
Notes
References
References
- "2004 Presidential Election Statistics". Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
- "Archived copy".
- "Election 2004 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections".
- "George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President". Campaignmoney.com.
- "John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democratic Party, President". Campaignmoney.com.
- "Specials". Cnn.com.
- "Specials". Cnn.com.
- [http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2004/2004pres.pdf Official General Election Results For United States President November 2, 2004] {{webarchive. link. (May 13, 2009)
- Our Campaigns; [https://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=6112 ID US President, November 02, 2004]
- https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/data.php?year=2004&fips=16&f=0&off=0&elect=0&datatype=cd&def=1
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