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2004 United States presidential election in Alaska

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2004 United States presidential election in Alaska

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FieldValue
election_name2004 United States presidential election in Alaska
countryAlaska
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election2000 United States presidential election in Alaska
previous_year2000
next_election2008 United States presidential election in Alaska
next_year2008
election_dateNovember 2, 2004
image_sizex200px
image1George-W-Bush (cropped).jpeg
nominee1**George W. Bush**
party1Republican Party (United States)
home_state1Texas
running_mate1**Dick Cheney**
electoral_vote1**3**
popular_vote1**190,889**
percentage1**61.07%**
image2John F. Kerry (wide crop).jpg
nominee2John Kerry
party2Democratic Party (United States)
home_state2Massachusetts
running_mate2John Edwards
electoral_vote20
popular_vote2111,025
percentage235.52%
map_image{{switcher400pxBorough and census area results (modern boundaries, estimated)
400pxBorough and census area resultsdefault2}}
titlePresident
before_electionGeorge W. Bush
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionGeorge W. Bush
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)

Main article: 2004 United States presidential election

|[[File:2004 United States presidential election in Alaska results map by borough and census area (concurrent).svg|400px]]|Borough and census area results (concurrent boundaries, estimated)|default=2}} Bush Kerry

The 2004 United States presidential election in Alaska took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 3 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Alaska was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 25.6% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all leading news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. It has voted for a Republican presidential nominee in every presidential election since statehood, except for 1964. As of the 2024 presidential election, this is the most recent time a presidential candidate has received over 60% of the vote in Alaska, as well as the last time that Bethel, Kusilvak, Yakutat, and Nome Census Areas voted for the Republican candidate.

Primaries

Campaign

Predictions

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.

SourceRanking
D.C. Political Report
Associated Press
CNN
Cook Political Report
Newsweek
New York Times
Rasmussen Reports
Research 2000
Washington Post
Washington Times
Zogby International
Washington Dispatch

Polling

Main article: Statewide opinion polling for the 2004 United States presidential election#Alaska

Only one pre-election poll was conducted in this state. Bush won the poll with 57% to 30%.

Fundraising

Bush raised $263,269. Kerry raised $169,533.

Advertising and visits

Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall campaign.

Analysis

The Democratic presidential ticket though did better here in 2004 compared to 2000, narrowing the Republican advantage from around 31 percentage points in 2000 to approximately 25 percentage points in 2004. John Kerry obtained nearly 36 percent of the vote, approximately 8 percentage points (or 32,021 votes) more than Al Gore's showing of around 28 percent in 2000. In comparison, incumbent President George W. Bush only increased his vote in Alaska by around 2 percent (or 23,491 votes) from nearly 59 percent in 2000 to approximately 61 percent in 2004.

Results

2004 United States presidential election in AlaskaPartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
**Republican****George W. Bush (incumbent)****190,889****61.07%****3**
DemocraticJohn Kerry111,02535.52%0
IndependentRalph Nader5,0691.62%0
Alaska IndependenceMichael Peroutka2,0920.67%0
LibertarianMichael Badnarik1,6750.54%0
GreenDavid Cobb1,0580.34%0
IndependentWrite-ins7900.25%0
**Totals****312,598****100.00%****3**
Voter turnout (Voting age)68%

Boroughs and census areas that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Juneau
  • Sitka
  • Skagway
  • Hoonah–Angoon Census Area (largest town: Hoonah)

Boroughs and census areas that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Bethel Census Area (largest town: Bethel)
County Flips: {{col-begin}}

Democratic Republican ]]

By congressional district

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, an at-large district because it covers the entire state, is thus equivalent to the statewide election results.

DistrictBushKerryRepresentativeAt-large
**61.1%**35.5%Don Young

Electors

Main article: List of 2004 United States presidential electors

Technically the voters of Alaska cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Alaska is allocated 3 electors because it has 1 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 3 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and their running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 3 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than their candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All were pledged to and voted for George W. Bush and Dick Cheney.

  1. Gloria J. Tokar
  2. Frederick H. Hahn
  3. Roberly R. Waldron

References

References

  1. (October 29, 2004). "D.C.'s Political Report 2004 Presidential Ratings".
  2. David Leip. "Election 2004 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections".
  3. "George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President".
  4. "John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democratic Party, President".
  5. "CNN.com Specials".
  6. "CNN.com Specials".
  7. Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. "Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election of November 2, 2004".
  8. "November 2, 2004 General Election". State of Alaska Division of Elections.
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