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2004 Hamburg state election
State election in Hamburg, Germany
State election in Hamburg, Germany
| Field | Value | |
|---|---|---|
| election_name | 2004 Hamburg state election | |
| country | Hamburg | |
| type | parliamentary | |
| ongoing | no | |
| previous_election | 2001 Hamburg state election | |
| previous_year | 2001 | |
| next_election | 2008 Hamburg state election | |
| next_year | 2008 | |
| seats_for_election | All 121 seats in the Hamburg Parliament | |
| majority_seats | 61 | |
| election_date | 29 February 2004 | |
| turnout | 824,317 (68.7%) | |
| 2.4% | ||
| image1 | [[File:Ole von Beust 3289c.JPG | 125px]] |
| leader1 | Ole von Beust | |
| party1 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany | |
| last_election1 | 33 seats, 26.2% | |
| seats1 | 63 | |
| popular_vote1 | 389,170 | |
| seat_change1 | 30 | |
| percentage1 | 47.2% | |
| swing1 | 21.0% | |
| leader2 | Thomas Mirow | |
| party2 | Social Democratic Party of Germany | |
| last_election2 | 46 seats, 36.5% | |
| seats2 | 41 | |
| popular_vote2 | 251,441 | |
| seat_change2 | 5 | |
| percentage2 | 30.5% | |
| swing2 | 6.0% | |
| party3 | Alliance 90/The Greens | |
| last_election3 | 11 seats, 8.6% | |
| seats3 | 17 | |
| popular_vote3 | 101,227 | |
| seat_change3 | 6 | |
| percentage3 | 12.3% | |
| swing3 | 3.7% | |
| party4 | Free Democratic Party (Germany) | |
| last_election4 | 6 seats, 5.1% | |
| seats4 | 0 | |
| popular_vote4 | 23,373 | |
| seat_change4 | 6 | |
| percentage4 | 2.8% | |
| swing4 | 2.3% | |
| leader5 | Mario Mettbach | |
| color5 | 63B8FF | |
| party5 | PRO | |
| last_election5 | 25 seats, 19.4% | |
| seats5 | 0 | |
| popular_vote5 | 3,046 | |
| seat_change5 | 25 | |
| percentage5 | 0.4% | |
| swing5 | 19.0% | |
| title | Mayor | |
| before_election | Ole von Beust | |
| before_party | Christian Democratic Union of Germany | |
| after_election | Ole von Beust | |
| after_party | Christian Democratic Union of Germany |
2.4%
The 2004 Hamburg state election was held on 29 February 2004 to elect the members of the 18th Hamburg Parliament. The election was triggered by the collapse of the coalition government between the Christian Democratic Union (CDU), Party for a Rule of Law Offensive (PRO), and Free Democratic Party (FDP). The election saw a collapse in support for PRO which had split after its leader Ronald Schill left in 2003. The original party and Schill's new party captured 3.5% of the vote between them, down from 19.4% in 2001. A huge amount of support flowed to the CDU, which won 63 of the 121 seats in Parliament, forming a majority government. First Mayor Ole von Beust continued in office.
Parties
The table below lists parties represented in the 17th Hamburg Parliament.
| Name | Ideology | Leader(s) | 2001 result | Votes (%) | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Social Democratic Party of Germany}} | **SPD** | Social Democratic Party of Germany | |||
| *Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands* | Social democracy | Thomas Mirow | 36.5% | ||
| Christian Democratic Union of Germany}} | **CDU** | Christian Democratic Union of Germany | |||
| *Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands* | Christian democracy | Ole von Beust | 26.2% | ||
| Party for a Rule of Law Offensive}} | **PRO** | Party for a Rule of Law Offensive | |||
| *Partei Rechtsstaatlicher Offensive* | Right-wing populism | Mario Mettbach | 19.4% | ||
| Alliance 90/The Greens}} | **GAL** | Green Alternative List | |||
| *Grün-Alternative-Liste Hamburg* | Green politics | 8.6% | |||
| Free Democratic Party (Germany)}} | **FDP** | Free Democratic Party | |||
| *Freie Demokratische Partei* | Classical liberalism | 5.1% |
Background
In August 2003, Mayor von Beust made moves to dismiss an Interior official suspected of corruption. In response, Senator of the Interior Ronald Schill threatened to spread rumours of an affair between von Beust and the Senator of Justice. Schill was subsequently dismissed from the government. In December of the same year, Schill left his own party along with five of its members of Parliament, depriving the government of its majority. He subsequently joined Pro DM.
Opinion polling
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| size | SPD | CDU | PRO | GAL | FDP | ProDM | Others | Lead | Social Democratic Party of Germany}};" | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};" | Party for a Rule of Law Offensive}};" | Alliance 90/The Greens}};" | Free Democratic Party (Germany)}};" | |||||
| [2004 state election](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 29 Feb 2004 | – | 30.5 | **47.2** | 0.4 | 12.3 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 3.7 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 16.7 | |||||||
| [Emnid](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 20–26 Feb 2004 | 1,009 | 30 | **44** | 1 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 3 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 14 | |||||||
| [Emnid](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 24 Feb 2004 | 1,000 | 30 | **46** | 1 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 4 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 16 | |||||||
| [Forsa](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 18–23 Feb 2004 | 1,005 | 29 | **45** | 1 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 4 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 16 | |||||||
| [Psephos](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 19–22 Feb 2004 | 1,003 | 30 | **46** | 1 | 12 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 4 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 16 | |||||||
| [Forschungsgruppe Wahlen](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 16–19 Feb 2004 | 1,008 | 29 | **47** | – | 13 | 4 | 3 | 4 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 18 | |||||||
| [Infratest dimap](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 12–16 Feb 2004 | 1,000 | 29 | **45** | 1 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 3 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 16 | |||||||
| [Forsa](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 10–14 Feb 2004 | 1,002 | 30 | **45** | 1 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 3 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 15 | |||||||
| [Forsa](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 6–9 Feb 2004 | 804 | 29 | **46** | 1 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 3 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 17 | |||||||
| [Infratest dimap](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 28 Jan–1 Feb 2004 | 1,000 | 30 | **45** | 1 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 15 | |||||||
| [Forsa](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 20–24 Jan 2004 | 1,001 | 28 | **48** | 1 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 3 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 20 | |||||||
| [Emnid](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 19 Jan 2004 | 1,000 | 31 | **46** | 2 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 3 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 15 | |||||||
| [Infratest dimap](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 8–12 Jan 2004 | 1,000 | 30 | **45** | 1 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 3 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 15 | |||||||
| [Psephos](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 9 Jan 2004 | 1,002 | 30 | **47** | 2 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 4 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 17 | |||||||
| [Forsa](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 17 Dec 2003 | ? | 31 | **46** | 3 | 13 | 4 | – | 3 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 15 | |||||||
| [Infratest](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 10–11 Dec 2003 | 1,000 | 33 | **43** | 4 | 12 | 4 | – | 4 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 10 | |||||||
| [Emnid](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 10 Dec 2003 | 1,000 | 37 | **43** | 2 | 12 | 4 | – | 2 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 6 | |||||||
| [Psephos](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 9–10 Dec 2003 | 808 | 36 | **41** | 5 | 11 | 3 | – | 4 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 5 | |||||||
| [Infratest dimap](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 8–9 Dec 2003 | 1,000 | 35 | **40** | 5 | 13 | 4 | – | 3 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 5 | |||||||
| [Emnid](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 2–3 Dec 2003 | 1,000 | 35 | **41** | 5 | 13 | 3 | – | 3 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 6 | |||||||
| [Psephos](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 10 Oct 2003 | ? | 37 | **39** | 6 | 10 | 4 | – | 4 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 2 | |||||||
| [Infratest dimap](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 5–9 Sep 2003 | 1,000 | 36 | **39** | 5 | 13 | 4 | – | 3 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 3 | |||||||
| [Psephos](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 23 Aug 2003 | 731 | 36 | **40** | 6 | 10 | 5 | – | 3 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 4 | |||||||
| [NFO Infratest](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 20–21 Aug 2003 | ~1,000 | 37 | **40** | 5 | 11 | 4 | – | 3 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 3 | |||||||
| [Emnid](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 20 Aug 2003 | 1,002 | 35 | **38** | 6 | 13 | 5 | – | 3 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 3 | |||||||
| [Emnid](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 4–5 Feb 2003 | 1,000 | 26 | **42** | 12 | 13 | 5 | – | 2 | Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 16 | |||||||
| [Psephos](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 25 Oct 2002 | 1,003 | **36** | 34 | 8 | 13 | 5 | – | 4 | Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 2 | |||||||
| [Emnid](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 7 Feb 2002 | ? | **37** | 32 | 12 | 9 | 6 | – | 4 | Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 5 | |||||||
| [Emnid](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 2–4 Feb 2002 | 1,008 | **40** | 32 | 10 | 11 | 4 | – | 3 | Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 8 | |||||||
| [Psephos](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 2 Feb 2002 | 1,003 | **36** | 32 | 14 | 9 | 5 | – | 4 | Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 4 | |||||||
| [Forsa](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 22–23 Jan 2002 | 1,001 | **35** | 31 | 15 | 10 | 4 | – | 5 | Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 4 | |||||||
| [2001 state election](http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm) | 23 Sep 2001 | – | **36.5** | 26.2 | 19.4 | 8.6 | 5.1 | 0.2 | 4.0 | Social Democratic Party of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 10.3 |
Election result
|- ! colspan="2" | Party ! Votes ! % ! +/- ! Seats ! +/- ! Seats %
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References
References
- "Mayor von Beust to govern alone after victory in Hamburg election". Deutsche Welle.
- (2003-08-21). "A scandal in Germany". bbc.co.uk.
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