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2002 United States Senate election in New Hampshire

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2002 United States Senate election in New Hampshire

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FieldValue
election_name2002 United States Senate election in New Hampshire
countryNew Hampshire
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election1996 United States Senate election in New Hampshire
previous_year1996
next_election2008 United States Senate election in New Hampshire
next_year2008
election_dateNovember 5, 2002
image_sizex150px
image1John E. Sununu (cropped).jpg
nominee1**John E. Sununu**
party1Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote1**227,229**
percentage1**51.12%**
image2File:Jeanne Shaheen, official Senate portrait cropped.jpg
nominee2Jeanne Shaheen
party2Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote2207,478
percentage246.67%
map{{switcher
map_caption**Sununu:**
**Shaheen:**
***Tie:***
titleU.S. Senator
before_electionBob Smith
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionJohn E. Sununu
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)

|x245px |County results |x245px |Municipality results}} Shaheen:
Tie: The 2002 United States Senate election in New Hampshire was held on November 5, 2002. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Bob Smith was defeated in the Republican primary by U.S. Representative John E. Sununu. Sununu won the open seat, defeating Democratic Governor Jeanne Shaheen. , this was the last time Republicans or a male candidate won the Class 2 Senate seat in New Hampshire; Shaheen defeated Sununu in their 2008 rematch for this seat and has held it since 2009. This was Shaheen’s only unsuccessful run for elected office. Smith later ran for this seat again in 2014 and lost the Republican primary.

Republican primary

Campaign

Senator Bob Smith, the incumbent Republican Senator, briefly left the party in 1999 to run for president as an independent, claiming that the Republican platform was "not worth the paper it's written on". He rejoined the GOP a few months later, saying he made a mistake. who would go on to win by more than eight percentage points.

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin
of errorBob
SmithJohn
SununuOtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire/WMURAugust 26 – September 3, 2002335 (LV)± 5.0%34%**56%**1%9%
University of New HampshireJune 23 – July 1, 2002230 (LV)± 6.0%40%**52%**3%9%
American Research GroupJune 21–25, 2002600 (LV)± 4.0%41%**48%**–11%
American Research GroupJune 3–5, 2002600 (LV)± 4.0%38%**55%**–7%
American Research GroupApril 30 – May 2, 2002600 (LV)± 4.0%29%**56%**–15%
University of New Hampshire/WMURApril 10–14 2002237 (LV)± 6.4%30%**59%**2%10%
American Research GroupApril 2002600 (LV)± 4.0%33%**51%**–16%
American Research GroupFebruary 6–10, 2002600 (LV)± 4.0%34%**44%**–22%
University of New HampshireJanuary 25 – February 5, 2002230 (LV)± 6.5%37%**51%**4%8%
American Research GroupJanuary 5, 2002600 (LV)± 4.0%27%**51%**–22%
American Research GroupNovember 16–20 2001600 (LV)± 4.0%**47%**39%–14%
University of New HampshireOctober 19–29, 2001202 (LV)± 6.7%35%**53%**4%8%
American Research GroupOctober 16–18, 2001600 (LV)± 4.0%**47%**41%–12%
Results by county:{{collapsible list

| | ]]

Results

General election

Candidates

  • Ken Blevens (Libertarian)
  • Jeanne Shaheen, Governor of New Hampshire (Democratic)
  • John E. Sununu, U.S. Representative (Republican)

Campaign

During the campaign, there was a major scandal that involved the use of a telemarketing firm hired by that state's Republican Party (NHGOP) for election tampering. The GOP Marketplace, based in Northern Virginia, jammed another phone bank being used by the state Democratic Party and the firefighters' union for efforts to turn out voters on behalf of then-governor Jeanne Shaheen on Election Day. The tampering involved using a call center to jam the phone lines of a Get Out the Vote (GOTV) operation. In the end, 900 calls were made for 45 minutes of disruption to the Democratic-leaning call centers. In addition to criminal prosecutions, disclosures in the case have come from a civil suit filed by the state's Democratic Party against the state's Republican Party (now settled). Four men have been convicted of, or pleaded guilty to, federal crimes and sentenced to prison for their involvement . One conviction has been reversed by an appeals court, a decision prosecutors are appealing. James Tobin, freed on appeal, was later indicted on charges of lying to the FBI during the original investigation.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 4, 2002

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin
of errorJohn
Sununu (R)Jeanne
Shaheen (D)OtherUndecided
American Research GroupNovember 2–3, 2002600 (LV)± 4.0%**48%**44%–8%
UNH/CNN/USA TodayOctober 30 – November 2, 2002644 (LV)± 3.8%**46%**45%6%2%
**47%**46%6%–
Concord MonitorOctober 29–31, 2002––46%**47%**–7%
American Research GroupOctober 28–30, 2002600 (LV)± 4.0%**48%**46%–6%
Franklin Pierce College/WNDS-TVOctober 27–30, 2002926 (RV)± 3.0%40%**45%**4%10%
University of New Hampshire/WMUROctober 23–29, 2002648 (LV)± 3.8%42%**46%**4%7%
American Research GroupOctober 20–22, 2002600 (LV)± 4.0%**48%**46%–6%
American Research GroupOctober 16, 2002600 (LV)± 4.0%**51%**43%–6%
University of New Hampshire/WMUROctober 3–10, 2002651 (LV)± 4.0%44%**47%**4%5%
American Research GroupOctober 2, 2002600 (LV)± 4.0%**55%**34%–11%
GQR (D)September 18–19, 2002––**46%**43%–11%
American Research GroupSeptember 14–18, 2002600 (LV)± 4.0%**47%**38%–15%
University of New HampshireJune 23 – July 1, 2002529 (LV)± 4.0%**51%**42%3%4%
American Research GroupJune 2002600 (LV)± 4.0%**37%**33%–30%
University of New HampshireApril 10–14, 2002526 (LV)± 4.3%**50%**42%2%6%
American Research GroupMarch 2002600 (LV)± 4.0%**40%**36%–24%
University of New HampshireJanuary 25 – February 5, 2002554 (RV)± 4.1%**49%**42%4%6%
American Research GroupDecember 2001600 (LV)± 4.0%**39%**29%–32%
University of New HampshireOctober 19–29, 2001505 (RV)± 4.4%**50%**38%3%9%
American Research GroupSeptember 2001600 (LV)± 4.0%**47%**39%–14%
American Research GroupJuly 2001600 (LV)± 4.0%**49%**35%–16%
American Research GroupJune 2001600 (LV)± 4.0%**50%**35%–15%

Bob Smith vs. Jeanne Shaheen

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin
of errorBob
Smith (R)Jeanne
Shaheen (D)OtherUndecided
University of New HampshireJune 23 – July 1, 2002529 (LV)± 4.0%45%**47%**3%4%
University of New HampshireApril 10–14 2002526 (LV)± 4.3%42%**49%**5%4%
University of New HampshireJanuary 25 – February 5, 2002558 (RV)± 4.1%43%**46%**4%6%
University of New HampshireOctober 19–29, 2001505 (RV)± 4.4%44%**45%**5%6%

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Grafton (largest city: Lebanon)

Notes

References

References

  1. Hulse, Carl. (September 12, 2002). "Campaign Season; G.O.P. Is Relieved At Republican's Loss". The New York Times.
  2. Cole, Jim. (September 10, 2002). "Sununu ousts Smith in New Hampshire primary". [[Associated Press]].
  3. Hulse, Carl. (September 12, 2002). "Campaign Season; G.O.P. Is Relieved At Republican's Loss". [[The New York Times]].
  4. Smith, Andrew E.. (September 4, 2002). "Sununu Holds Comfortable Lead".
  5. (June 26, 2002). "Keough Jumps to Second Place in Republican Race for Governor, Sununu Maintains Lead Over Smith in Republican Race for US Senate".
  6. (June 6, 2002). "Sununu Maintains Comfortable Lead Over Smith Following Giuliani Endorsement of Smith".
  7. (May 3, 2002). "Sununu Strengthens Lead Over Smith Among Likely Republican Primary Voters".
  8. (February 14, 2002). "Sununu Maintains Lead Over Smith Among Likely Republican Primary Voters".
  9. (January 17, 2002). "American Research Group".
  10. (November 21, 2001). "Smith Maintains Slight Edge Over Sununu Among Likely Republican Primary Voters".
  11. (October 19, 2001). "Likely Republican Primary Voters in NH Give Smith Slight Edge Over Sununu".
  12. "Election and voting information".
  13. (November 4, 2002). "Senate Races".
  14. Smith, Andrew E.. (November 3, 2002). "USA Today / CNN Poll - Too Close to Call".
  15. "Polling on 2002 Key Senate Races".
  16. (October 31, 2002). "N.H. Gubernatorial Race Nearly Even".
  17. (October 31, 2002). "Franklin Pierce College/WNDS-TV Poll Shows Shaheen Leading Senate Race".
  18. Smith, Andrew E.. (October 31, 2002). "WMUR / UNH Poll – NH Senate Race Down to the Wire".
  19. Belluck, Pam. (October 29, 2002). "THE 2002 CAMPAIGN: SENATE; New Hampshire Rivals Look to Independents".
  20. Smith, Andrew E.. (October 10, 2002). "Shaheen & Sununu, Neck and Neck".
  21. "Polling on 2002 Key Senate Races".
  22. Smith, Andrew E.. (July 2, 2002). "Senate Race Tightening".
  23. (November 4, 2002). "US Senate Race Remains Too Close To Call As Shaheen Slips".
  24. Smith, Andrew E.. (April 22, 2002). "Sununu Pulls Away from Smith".
  25. Smith, Andrew E.. (February 12, 2002). "Little Change in U.S. Senate Race in NH".
  26. Smith, Andrew E.. (November 14, 2001). "Tight Race for U.S. Senate in NH".
  27. [http://www.sos.nh.gov/general2002/sumuss.htm State of New Hampshire, Elections Division, State General Election - November 5, 2002] retrieved September 5, 2011
Info: Wikipedia Source

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