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2002 Florida gubernatorial election

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2002 Florida gubernatorial election

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FieldValue
election_name2002 Florida gubernatorial election
countryFlorida
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election1998 Florida gubernatorial election
previous_year1998
next_election2006 Florida gubernatorial election
next_year2006
election_dateNovember 5, 2002
image1File:Jeb Bush 1999 (cropped).jpg
image_size150x150px
nominee1**Jeb Bush**
party1Republican Party of Florida
running_mate1**Frank Brogan**
popular_vote1**2,856,845**
percentage1**56.01%**
image23x4.svg
nominee2Bill McBride
party2Florida Democratic Party
running_mate2Tom Rossin
popular_vote22,201,427
percentage243.16%
map_image
map_caption**Bush**:
**McBride**:
titleGovernor
before_electionJeb Bush
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionJeb Bush
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)
turnout55.3%5.8

McBride:
The 2002 Florida gubernatorial election took place on November 5, 2002, for the post of Governor of Florida. Incumbent Republican governor Jeb Bush defeated Democratic candidate Bill McBride. Bush became the first Republican governor of Florida to win re-election to a second term. This election was the last time until 2022 that a Florida gubernatorial candidate won the general election by double digits or that a Republican won Miami-Dade County.

Republican nomination

Jeb Bush announced that he would run for re-election in June 2001 after first being elected in 1998. Bush was unopposed for the GOP nomination, and spent the summer amassing a war chest of over $5.6 million towards his re-election campaign.

Democratic primary

Candidates

  • Daryl Jones, State Senator from Miami
  • Bill McBride, Tampa attorney
  • Janet Reno, former United States Attorney General

Withdrew

  • Lois Frankel, State Representative from West Palm Beach

Campaign

Reno led throughout much of the campaign for the Democratic nomination, boasting name recognition and employing a grassroots strategy. In early June, she led McBride in the polls by a margin of 53%-25%, but trailed in a hypothetical head-to-head against Bush. Reno's primary campaign was dubbed the "Little red pickup truck tour", so-named because she toured the state in her 1999 Ford Ranger.

Over the summer, Reno's lead dwindled. McBride, backed by big money donors, was able to exploit Reno's paltry war chest, and sometime aloof campaign. Reno's connections to the Clinton Administration, and her handling of both the Waco siege and the Elián González affair were frequent topics in the primary.

In the final few weeks, McBride narrowed the gap to a dead heat going into the September 10 primary.

Results

County results

McBride won the nomination by less than 4,800 votes.

Aftermath

Reno disputed the results after the primary was marred by problems. Several areas had technical glitches and delayed openings of the poll especially in Miami-Dade and Broward counties, both of which Reno performed strongly in. As a result of the problems, Governor Bush kept the polls open for two additional hours.

McBride selected Tom Rossin, minority leader of the Florida Senate, as his running mate.

General election

Candidates

  • Jeb Bush, incumbent Governor (Republican)
  • Bob Kunst, gay rights activist (Independent)
  • Bill McBride, Tampa attorney (Democratic)

Campaign

McBride's campaign focused on the importance of public education, supporting policies such as teacher pay rises and less emphasis on standardized tests. McBride was helped towards the end of the campaign by visits from national Democratic figures such as former President Bill Clinton, former Vice President Al Gore and Jesse Jackson. Likewise Republicans saw this race a preview of 2004.

President George W. Bush made numerous visits to Florida to support his brother for re-election.

The two main candidates faced each other in two debates on 27 September and 22 October in the most expensive Florida gubernatorial election yet. Polls towards the end of the campaign showed Bush with a lead over McBride.

At the same time as the election, an initiative was passed to limit class sizes. This had been opposed by Bush due to the cost of implementing it but had been supported by McBride.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportOctober 31, 2002
Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 4, 2002

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin
of errorJeb
Bush (R)Bill
McBride (D)Other /
Undecided
SurveyUSANovember 2–4, 2002792 (LV)± 3.6%**45%**39%5%

Election results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Franklin (largest city: Eastpoint)
  • Liberty (largest city: Bristol)
  • Calhoun (Largest city: Blountstown)
  • Hamilton (Largest city: Jasper)
  • Wakulla (Largest city: Sopchoppy)
  • Jackson (Largest city: Marianna)
  • Madison (Largest city: Madison)

Notes

References

References

  1. "November 5, 2002 General Election".
  2. (2002-11-06). "Jeb Bush Makes History In Florida". [[CBS News]].
  3. Canedy, Dana. (2002-11-07). "THE 2002 ELECTIONS: FLORIDA; Bush Looks to 2nd Term As Analysts Point to 2004". [[The New York Times]].
  4. (2001-06-09). "Gov. Jeb Bush says he's eager for a second term".
  5. (12 Mar 2003). "Frankel beats Daves for West Palm Mayor". [[Boca Raton News]].
  6. (September 1, 2002). "Reno kicks off tour in red pickup once again". The Gainesville Sun.
  7. (February 26, 2002). "Reno Starts Little Red Pickup Tour". Fox News.
  8. (August 11, 2002). "Reno rocks". The Guardian.
  9. (2002-09-12). "McBride declares victory; Reno asks review". [[CNN]].
  10. "Florida Department of State - Election Results".
  11. (2002-09-10). "Gov. Bush extends voting in Florida primary". [[CNN]].
  12. (July 2022). "McBride introduces his running mate".
  13. Seelye, Katharine. (November 2, 2002). "The 2002 Campaign: The Governors; Cast Reassembled, Florida Revives a Drama From 2000". The New York Times.
  14. (2002-10-31). "Poll shows Bush with open road to victory". [[South Florida Sun-Sentinel]].
  15. (2002-09-27). "Bush, McBride debate tonight". [[St. Petersburg Times]].
  16. (2002-10-22). "Bush, McBride Face Off In Final Debate".
  17. (August 2021). "Bush Bets His Popularity And Scores a Big Victory". [[The Washington Post]] }}{{Dead link.
  18. Canedy, Dana. (2002-11-06). "THE 2002 ELECTIONS: THE FLORIDA VOTE; Bush Wins 2nd Term With Surge". [[The New York Times]].
  19. (October 31, 2002). "Governor Updated October 31, 2002 {{!}} The Cook Political Report".
  20. (November 4, 2002). "Governors Races".
  21. [https://www.surveyusa.com/2002Elec.html SurveyUSA]
  22. "2002 Gubernatorial General Election Results - Florida".
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