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1998 California gubernatorial election

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FieldValue
election_name1998 California gubernatorial election
countryCalifornia
typepresidential
ongoingno
previous_election1994 California gubernatorial election
previous_year1994
next_election2002 California gubernatorial election
next_year2002
election_dateNovember 3, 1998
turnout41.43%
image1Gray Davis, portrait.jpg
nominee1**Gray Davis**
party1Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote1**4,860,702**
percentage1**57.97%**
image2File:Dan Lungren (3x4a).jpg
nominee2Dan Lungren
party2Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote23,218,030
percentage238.38%
map_image
map_caption**Davis**:
**Lungren**:
titleGovernor
before_electionPete Wilson
before_partyRepublican Party (United States)
after_electionGray Davis
after_partyDemocratic Party (United States)

Lungren:
The 1998 California gubernatorial election was an election that occurred on November 3, 1998, resulting in the election of Lieutenant Governor Gray Davis as the state's first Democratic governor in 16 years. Davis won the general election by an almost 20% margin over his closest opponent, Republican Attorney General Dan Lungren. Davis succeeded Pete Wilson, who was term limited. The 1998 California gubernatorial election featured the state's only gubernatorial blanket primary, a practice which was later struck down in United States Supreme Court in California Democratic Party v. Jones in 2000.

The primary occurred on June 2, 1998. Davis defeated fellow Democrats Jane Harman and Al Checchi for the Democratic nomination. Davis received more votes than Lungren, who ran against less well-known opponents in the Republican primary. The primary set a record for spending in a California gubernatorial primary. Davis won 30 of California's 58 counties; no Democrat would win a majority of the counties again until Gavin Newsom in 2018. Davis carried Mono County by a single vote, becoming the first Democratic candidate to ever carry that county in a gubernatorial election. This is the most recent gubernatorial election in which a Democrat carried Amador County, Kings County, Riverside County, and Trinity County. San Bernardino County would not back a Democrat again until 2018.

Primary election

The Democratic field for the race became open when the state's most well-known and popular politician, Senator Dianne Feinstein, decided in January 1998 not to run for governor despite a request from President Bill Clinton. She decided not to run in the race because of the difficulty of campaigning, the "deteriorated" nature of California statewide campaigns, and her desire to continue her work in the Senate. Former White House Chief of Staff Leon Panetta also decided not to run.

Al Checchi, a Democratic airline executive and political newcomer, was among the first to declare for the race. Gray Davis also declared around the same time. Congresswoman Jane Harman joined the contest in early April 1998. In early polling the three candidates were within 12 points of each other, with Davis in last. Harman spent $14.4 million in her race for governor. Checchi spent just under $39 million on his campaign. The airline executive's campaign included numerous advertisings, one of which included school children trying to pronounce his name and another with his wife speaking Spanish. Checchi did not identify himself as a Democrat in most of his early campaign advertisings. Harman briefly overtook Checchi in state polls but declined after Checchi launched a series of negative campaign advertisings against her. Many of Feinstein's top campaign advisers worked for Harman during the Gubernatorial primary. Harman's campaign ran a biographical ad of her at the 1960 Democratic National Convention.

Davis ran on the campaign slogan "experience money can't buy", and he promised to make education his top priority, which matched voters' concerns in exit polls. All three major Democratic candidates made education one of their top priorities in the campaign. Davis was third in polling until the final week of the campaign, and because he had trouble raising money during the early months of the campaign, he did not run campaign advertisings early in the race as did Harman and Checchi. Davis spent 9 million in total campaign funds in the primary, and later criticized Checchi for giving money to Republicans Steve Forbes and Bob Dole in 1996. Davis finished first in the primary, followed by Lungren, Checchi, and Harman. Lungren spent $7.7 million in the primary.

Candidates

Democratic

  • Gray Davis, incumbent lieutenant governor
  • Jane Harman, U.S. Representative
  • Al Checchi, businessman
  • Chuck Pineda Jr.
  • Pia Jensen
  • Michael Palitz

Republican

  • Dan Lungren, incumbent attorney general
  • Dennis Peron, businessman, veteran, and activist
  • James D. Crawford
  • Eduardo M. Rivera
  • Jeff Williams

Green

  • Dan Hamburg, former U.S. Representative

Libertarian

  • Steve Kubby, businessman

Peace and Freedom

  • Gloria La Riva, activist and perennial candidate
  • Marsha Feinland, perennial candidate

American Independent

  • Nathan E. Johnson

Natural Law

  • Harold H. Bloomfield, author

Results

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administeredSample
sizeMargin
of errorDan
Lungren (R)Gray
Davis (D)Undecided
The Field InstituteOctober 26–28, 1998809 (LV)± 3.5%43%**50%**7%
The Field InstituteOctober 22–27, 1998678 (LV)± 4.0%39%**53%**8%
Los Angeles TimesOctober 17–21, 1998883 (LV)± 4.0%42%**53%**5%
Mason DixonOctober 11–13, 1998820 (LV)± 3.5%42%**48%**10%
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaOctober 1–6, 1998793 (LV)± 3.5%41%**49%**10%
The Fields InstituteSeptember 27 – October 5, 1998703 (LV)± 3.7%42%**48%**10%
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaSeptember 1–7, 19981,046 (LV)± 3.0%38%**47%**15%
The Field InstituteAugust 18–24, 1998625 (LV)± 4.1%37%**49%**14%
Mason DixonJuly 26–28, 1998832 (LV)± 3.5%39%**48%**13%
The Field InstituteMarch 5–15, 1998727 (LV)± 4.0%**42%**41%17%

Results

Results by county

CountyGray Davis
DemocraticDan Lungren
RepublicanDan Hamburg
GreenSteve Kubby
LibertarianGloria
La Riva
PFPNathan E. Johnson
AIPHarold H. Bloomfield
NLPMarginTotal votes cast#%#%#%#%#%#%#%#%Total4,860,70257.97%3,218,03038.38%104,1791.24%73,8450.88%59,2180.71%37,9640.45%31,2370.37%1,642,67219.59%8,385,196
Alameda282,29773.47%86,74522.58%6,9191.80%3,0410.79%2,7270.71%1,1300.29%1,3780.36%195,55250.89%384,237
Alpine28550.35%24743.64%142.47%30.53%81.41%30.53%61.06%386.71%566
Amador6,61449.20%6,47848.19%860.64%1120.83%640.48%570.42%320.24%1361.01%13,443
Butte30,18446.00%32,71749.86%1,1761.79%5450.83%3620.55%4000.61%2330.36%-2,533-3.86%65,617
Calaveras7,35845.46%8,15050.35%1490.92%2981.84%710.44%1010.62%590.36%-792-4.89%16,186
Colusa2,13643.60%2,62153.50%360.73%390.80%330.67%270.55%70.14%-485-9.90%4,899
Contra Costa190,20062.82%103,68634.25%3,2391.07%2,2410.74%1,3990.46%9670.32%1,0200.34%86,51428.58%302,753
Del Norte3,82051.34%3,08741.49%2423.25%871.17%540.73%1031.38%470.63%7339.85%7,440
El Dorado25,42943.84%30,53452.64%7271.25%5750.99%2600.45%2830.49%1920.33%-5,105-8.80%58,000
Fresno82,29347.68%85,36949.46%9620.56%1,2570.73%1,4210.82%9180.53%3880.22%-3,076-1.78%172,608
Glenn3,15041.74%4,14054.86%570.76%540.72%460.61%771.02%220.29%-990-13.12%7,546
Humboldt23,88051.22%17,65837.88%3,9128.39%4891.05%2770.59%2040.44%1990.43%6,22213.35%46,619
Imperial13,26256.15%8,59236.38%2020.86%1610.68%1,0334.37%2250.95%1440.61%4,67019.77%23,619
Inyo3,08245.36%3,37749.70%1061.56%691.02%600.88%701.03%310.46%-295-4.34%6,795
Kern59,13241.80%78,21355.29%8400.59%8720.62%8940.63%1,0400.74%4570.32%-19,081-13.49%141,448
Kings11,37049.98%10,70447.06%1170.51%1160.51%2050.90%1840.81%510.22%6662.93%22,747
Lake11,07458.83%6,73435.77%5092.70%2081.10%1010.54%1180.63%810.43%4,34023.05%18,825
Lassen3,79245.85%4,06549.15%831.00%770.93%770.93%1301.57%460.56%-273-3.30%8,270
Los Angeles1,297,89665.69%615,64231.16%18,7360.95%15,9780.81%14,2650.72%7,0040.35%6,1400.31%682,25434.53%1,975,672
Madera10,86941.10%14,86456.20%1500.57%1960.74%1330.50%1620.61%730.28%-3,995-15.11%26,447
Marin70,10868.94%27,39226.94%2,1712.13%9380.92%4810.47%2590.25%3440.34%42,71642.00%101,693
Mariposa3,00541.86%3,85553.70%881.23%1031.43%380.53%700.98%200.28%-850-11.84%7,179
Mendocino16,45057.37%8,65930.20%2,5318.83%4561.59%2290.80%1930.67%1540.54%7,79127.17%28,672
Merced21,20053.39%17,53544.16%2420.61%1870.47%2550.64%1940.49%950.24%3,6659.23%39,708
Modoc1,42840.74%1,85652.95%451.28%411.17%391.11%712.03%250.71%-428-12.21%3,505
Mono1,64147.35%1,64047.32%601.73%551.59%210.61%240.69%250.72%10.03%3,466
Monterey54,46459.76%33,05336.27%1,1091.22%7.930.87%7150.78%5050.55%4970.55%21,41123.49%91,136
Napa25,80959.86%15,19335.24%1,0212.37%4190.97%2630.61%2080.48%2010.47%10,61624.62%43,114
Nevada17,52244.98%19,72050.62%8752.25%3991.02%1680.43%1460.37%1290.33%-2,198-5.64%38,959
Orange318,19844.69%370,73652.07%6,6220.93%6,5120.91%4,2350.59%2,9500.41%2,8070.39%-52,538-7.38%712,060
Placer38,73443.55%47,74553.68%7470.84%7100.80%3430.39%3700.42%2920.33%-9,011-10.13%88,941
Plumas3,76443.99%4,47252.26%1081.26%951.11%410.48%490.57%280.33%-708-8.27%8,557
Riverside173,56751.15%155,17545.73%2,4630.73%2,2750.67%2,7280.80%1,9360.57%1,2050.36%18,3925.42%339,349
Sacramento206,87057.37%142,97039.65%3,3440.93%2,5250.70%2,2900.64%1,5440.43%1,0180.28%63,90017.72%360,561
San Benito7,53157.42%4,96737.87%1270.97%1841.40%1411.08%830.63%830.63%2,56419.55%13,116
San Bernardino174,62952.60%144,05643.39%2,9820.90%3,1770.96%3,2290.97%2,4410.74%1,5070.45%30,5739.21%332,021
San Diego364,16949.45%340,83446.28%7,7421.05%8,4391.15%6,4510.88%4,3690.59%4,4200.60%23,3353.17%736,426
San Francisco192,49680.03%36,46415.16%5,9802.49%2,1430.89%2,1540.90%6660.28%6200.26%156,03264.87%240,527
San Joaquin64,37752.03%56,44745.62%7150.58%6530.53%7050.57%5230.42%3150.25%7,9306.41%123,735
San Luis Obispo42,54349.04%40,36346.53%1,6191.87%8290.96%5390.62%5020.58%3470.40%2,1802.51%86,743
San Mateo142,14468.43%59,24928.52%2,3821.15%1,7800.86%9470.46%6040.29%6070.29%82,89539.91%207,713
Santa Barbara65,93753.33%52,87342.76%1,8951.53%9550.77%8780.71%4950.40%6040.49%13,06410.57%123,637
Santa Clara270,10564.28%133,01531.66%4,9921.19%5,3951.28%3,0830.73%1,7200.41%1,8650.44%137,09032.63%420,176
Santa Cruz56,07865.62%23,69927.73%3,0073.52%1,1791.38%6870.80%3550.42%4520.53%32,37937.89%85,457
Shasta23,07643.28%28,13052.76%4790.90%5521.04%3510.66%5311.00%1960.37%-5,054-9.48%53,315
Sierra73441.70%92452.50%291.65%452.56%110.63%120.68%50.28%-190-10.80%1,760
Siskiyou7,49345.54%8,10049.23%2561.56%2301.40%1220.74%1741.06%790.48%-607-3.69%16,454
Solano63,79162.81%34,28833.76%1,0030.99%9660.95%6580.65%4580.45%3950.39%29,50329.05%101,559
Sonoma103,23564.29%46,61629.03%6,6314.13%1,6571.03%9440.59%7630.48%7280.45%56,61935.26%160,575
Stanislaus50,79350.69%47,09547.00%5490.55%5430.54%4570.46%5350.53%2380.24%3,6983.69%100,210
Sutter9,29642.07%12,31355.73%1310.59%1390.63%730.33%1010.46%420.19%-3,017-13.65%22,095
Tehama8,56146.02%9,34350.23%1520.82%1700.91%1410.76%1790.96%560.30%-782-4.20%18,602
Trinity2,44749.01%2,16843.42%1322.64%901.80%571.14%681.36%310.62%2795.59%4,993
Tulare32,18644.11%39,07253.54%3530.48%4930.68%3630.50%3730.51%1330.18%-6,886-9.44%72,973
Tuolumne9,73148.38%9,77148.58%2011.00%1610.80%700.35%1170.58%610.30%-40-0.20%20,112
Ventura110,22652.95%91,09343.73%2,0490.98%1,6160.78%1,4490.70%9110.44%8260.40%19,1339.19%208,170
Yolo31,93963.06%16,78333.14%9581.89%4170.82%2640.52%1620.32%1250.25%15,15629.92%50,648
Yuba6,30246.54%6,74349.79%1270.94%1060.78%1080.80%1000.74%560.41%-441-3.26%13,542

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Alpine
  • Amador
  • Contra Costa
  • Del Norte
  • Humboldt
  • Imperial
  • Kings
  • Lake
  • Los Angeles
  • Mendocino
  • Merced
  • Mono
  • Monterey
  • Napa
  • Riverside
  • Sacramento
  • San Benito
  • San Bernardino
  • San Diego
  • San Joaquin
  • San Luis Obispo
  • Santa Barbara
  • Santa Clara
  • Solano
  • Stanislaus
  • Trinity
  • Ventura

Analysis

Gray Davis won the general election by almost 20% over Dan Lungren. Davis outspent Lungren 28.6 million to 23.8 million. Davis tried to portray Lungren as too conservative. In one debate, Davis attacked Lungren for voting against a Safe Drinking Water Bill in the 1980s while Lungren tried to cast himself as the political heir of former California Governor Ronald Reagan. The policy differences between Davis and Lungren were substantial. Davis was pro-abortion rights in a staunchly pro-abortion-rights state, and Lungren was anti-abortion rights. Lungren favored giving children abstinence only education. Both candidates were Roman Catholic. Al Gore, Bill Clinton, Hillary Clinton, and Bob Kerrey made campaign stops in California on Davis's behalf.

Davis succeeded in casting Lungren as too far right for California. Even normally conservative San Diego County went for Davis, and – foreshadowing their Democratic trends in the 21st century — remote high mountain Mono County backed a Democratic Governor for the first time ever, and adjacent Alpine County for the first time since 1978. Upon his victory, Davis promised he would focus his attention on education and would convene a special session of the legislature. The race determined who would control reapportionment of congressional districts after the 2000 census.

Notes

References

References

  1. "No California Gubernatorial Bid For Sen. Feinstein".
  2. (1998-03-26). "California Governor's Race Gets Tougher". Cnn.com.
  3. (1998-04-06). "Millionaires Battle In California Governor's Primary". Cnn.com.
  4. (2017-12-13). "Spending in the 1998 Governor's race". Sos.ca.gov.
  5. "The "Inside Politics" Interview: The California Governor's Race". Cnn.com.
  6. (1998-06-03). "Lt. Governor Wins Primary in California". Washingtonpost.com.
  7. California Secretary of State. "Statement of Vote Primary Election June 2, 1998".
  8. "Engineered Finishing Systems | Robotics & Automation". CCIS.
  9. "CNN AllPolitics Election '98 - California 1998 Polls". [[CNN]].
  10. California Secretary of State. "Statement of Vote General Election November 3, 1998".
  11. (1998-10-16). "Lungren, Davis Feisty In Debate Democrat scoffs as GOP hopeful invokes Reagan". Sfgate.com.
  12. Carla Marinucci. (1998-07-28). "Lungren, Davis – Deep Divide Over Abortion: Candidates' religion is not common ground". Sfgate.com.
  13. (1998-11-05). "Democrats' Sweep in California Could Have Lasting Impact". Washingtonpost.com.
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