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1992 Catalan regional election
Election in the Spanish region of Catalonia
Election in the Spanish region of Catalonia
| Field | Value | |
|---|---|---|
| election_name | 1992 Catalan regional election | |
| country | Catalonia | |
| type | parliamentary | |
| ongoing | no | |
| previous_election | 1988 Catalan regional election | |
| previous_year | 1988 | |
| next_election | 1995 Catalan regional election | |
| next_year | 1995 | |
| seats_for_election | All 135 seats in the Parliament of Catalonia | |
| majority_seats | 68 | |
| opinion_polls | #Opinion polls | |
| registered | 4,839,071 6.0% | |
| turnout | 2,655,051 (54.9%) | |
| 4.5 pp | ||
| election_date | 15 March 1992 | |
| image1 | [[File:Jordi Pujol 1996 (cropped).jpg | 170x170px]] |
| leader1 | Jordi Pujol | |
| party1 | Convergence and Union | |
| leader_since1 | 17 November 1974 | |
| leaders_seat1 | Barcelona | |
| last_election1 | 69 seats, 45.7% | |
| seats1 | 70 | |
| seat_change1 | 1 | |
| popular_vote1 | 1,221,233 | |
| percentage1 | 46.2% | |
| swing1 | 0.5 pp | |
| image2 | [[Image:Raimon Obiols 1989 (cropped).jpg | 170x170px]] |
| leader2 | Raimon Obiols | |
| party2 | PSC–PSOE | |
| leader_since2 | 12 July 1983 | |
| leaders_seat2 | Barcelona | |
| last_election2 | 42 seats, 29.8% | |
| seats2 | 40 | |
| seat_change2 | 2 | |
| popular_vote2 | 728,311 | |
| percentage2 | 27.5% | |
| swing2 | 2.3 pp | |
| image3 | [[File:Àngel Colom 2010 (cropped).jpg | 170x170px]] |
| leader3 | Àngel Colom | |
| party3 | Republican Left of Catalonia | |
| leader_since3 | 19 November 1989 | |
| leaders_seat3 | Barcelona | |
| last_election3 | 6 seats, 4.1% | |
| seats3 | 11 | |
| seat_change3 | 5 | |
| popular_vote3 | 210,366 | |
| percentage3 | 8.0% | |
| swing3 | 3.9 pp | |
| image4 | [[File:Rafael Ribó 1996 (cropped).jpg | 170x170px]] |
| leader4 | Rafael Ribó | |
| party4 | IC | |
| leader_since4 | 23 February 1987 | |
| leaders_seat4 | Barcelona | |
| last_election4 | 9 seats, 7.8% | |
| seats4 | 7 | |
| seat_change4 | 2 | |
| popular_vote4 | 171,794 | |
| percentage4 | 6.5% | |
| swing4 | 1.3 pp | |
| image5 | [[Image:Alejo Vidal-Quadras 2008 (cropped).jpg | 170x170px]] |
| leader5 | Alejo Vidal-Quadras | |
| party5 | People's Party of Catalonia | |
| leader_since5 | 9 January 1991 | |
| leaders_seat5 | Barcelona | |
| last_election5 | 6 seats, 5.3% | |
| seats5 | 7 | |
| seat_change5 | 1 | |
| popular_vote5 | 157,772 | |
| percentage5 | 6.0% | |
| swing5 | 0.7 pp | |
| map | {{Switcher | |
| title | President | |
| before_election | Jordi Pujol | |
| before_party | CDC (CiU) | |
| after_election | Jordi Pujol | |
| after_party | CDC (CiU) |
4.5 pp
| [[File:CataloniaProvinceMapParliament1992.png|x300px]] | Vote winner strength by constituency | [[File:1992 Catalan regional parliamentary election.svg|x325px]] | Election results by constituency
A regional election was held in Catalonia on Sunday, 15 March 1992, to elect the 4th Parliament of the autonomous community. All 135 seats in the Parliament were up for election.
Overview
Electoral system
The Parliament of Catalonia was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Catalonia, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Catalan Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president. Transitory Provision Fourth of the Statute established a specific electoral procedure for elections to the Parliament of Catalonia, of application for as long as a regional electoral law was not approved, to be supplemented by the provisions within the national electoral law. Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Catalonia and in full enjoyment of their political rights.
The 135 members of the Parliament of Catalonia were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Barcelona, Girona, Lleida and Tarragona, with each being allocated a fixed number of seats:
| Seats | Constituencies |
|---|---|
| **85** | Barcelona |
| **18** | Tarragona |
| **17** | Girona |
| **15** | Lleida |
In smaller constituencies, the use of the electoral method resulted in an effective threshold based on the district magnitude and the distribution of votes among candidacies.
Election date
The term of the Parliament of Catalonia expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The regional president was required to call an election fifteen days prior to the date of expiry of parliament, with election day taking place within sixty days after the call. The previous election was held on 29 May 1988, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 29 May 1992. The election was required to be called no later than 5 May 1992, with it taking place on the sixtieth day from the call, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Monday, 13 July 1992.
The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Catalonia and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since a previous one under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.
Parties and candidates
The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:
| Candidacy | Parties and | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| alliances | Leading candidate | Ideology | Previous result | Gov. | Ref. | Vote % | Seats | |||
| Convergence and Union}}" | **CiU** | {{Collapsible list | title = List | bullets = on | Democratic Convergence of Catalonia (CDC) | Democratic Union of Catalonia (UDC) | [[File:Jordi Pujol 1996 (cropped).jpg | 50px]] | Jordi Pujol | |
| Socialists' Party of Catalonia}}" | **PSC–PSOE** | {{Collapsible list | title = List | bullets = on | Socialists' Party of Catalonia (PSC–PSOE) | [[File:Raimon Obiols 1989 (cropped).jpg | 50px]] | Raimon Obiols | Social democracy | |
| Initiative for Catalonia}}" | **IC** | {{Collapsible list | title = List | bullets = on | Unified Socialist Party of Catalonia (PSUC) | Agreement of Left Nationalists (ENE) | [[File:Rafael Ribó 1996 (cropped).jpg | 50px]] | Rafael Ribó | |
| People's Party of Catalonia}}" | **PP** | {{Collapsible list | title = List | bullets = on | People's Party (PP) | [[File:Alejo Vidal-Quadras 2008 (cropped).jpg | 50px]] | Alejo Vidal-Quadras | Conservatism | |
| Christian democracy | ||||||||||
| Republican Left of Catalonia}}" | **ERC** | {{Collapsible list | title = List | bullets = on | Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC) | [[File:Àngel Colom 2010 (cropped).jpg | 50px]] | Àngel Colom | Catalan independence | |
| Left-wing nationalism | ||||||||||
| Social democracy | ||||||||||
| Democratic and Social Centre (Spain)}}" | **CDS** | {{Collapsible list | title = List | bullets = on | Democratic and Social Centre (CDS) | [[File:Portrait placeholder.svg | 50px]] | Teresa Sandoval | Centrism | |
| Liberalism |
Opinion polls
The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 68 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Catalonia.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | [[File:Ciu 1980s.png | 35px | link=Convergence and Union | CiU]] | [[File:Logo PSC 1982-2003.svg | 22px | link=Socialists' Party of Catalonia | PSC]] | IC | [[File:AP logo (1983–1989).svg | 30px | link=People's Alliance (Spain) | AP]] | [[File:Logo de ERC (antiguo).svg | 27px | link=Republican Left of Catalonia | ERC]] | [[File:Centro Democrático y Social (corto).png | 27px | link=Democratic and Social Centre (Spain) | CDS]] | [[File:People's Party (Spain) Logo (1989-1993).svg | 35px | link=People's Party of Catalonia | PP]] | Lead | Convergence and Union}};" | Socialists' Party of Catalonia}};" | Initiative for Catalonia}};" | People's Alliance (Spain)}};" | Republican Left of Catalonia}};" | Democratic and Social Centre (Spain)}};" | People's Party of Catalonia}};" | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| **1992 regional election** | 15 Mar 1992 | 54.9 | **46.2** | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 27.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 18.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| title=Sondejos | url=http://governacio.gencat.cat/ca/pgov_ambits_d_actuacio/pgov_eleccions/pgov_totes_les_convocatories/pgov_parlament_de_catalunya/pgov_any_1992_pc/sondejos/ | language=ca | work=Generalitat de Catalunya | access-date=5 July 2017}} | 8 Mar 1992 | 2,400 | ? | **46.1** | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 29.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 17.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RGR/Avui | 8 Mar 1992 | 1,000 | ? | **47.5** | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 27.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 19.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Gabise/El Observador | 8 Mar 1992 | 800 | ? | **46.6** | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 30.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 15.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| title=Colom explica que doblará diputados y CiU puede tener 78, según su sondeo | url=http://hemeroteca.lavanguardia.com/preview/1992/03/08/pagina-18/33503795/pdf.html | language=es | work=La Vanguardia | date=8 March 1992}} | 8 Mar 1992 | 4,780 | 55 | ? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| – | ? | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | ? | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| title=La campaña no logra modificar la mayoría absoluta de Pujol | url=http://archivo.elperiodico.com/ed/19920309/pag_003.html | language=es | work=El Periódico de Catalunya | date=9 March 1992}} | 3–5 Mar 1992 | 2,000 | 57 | **46.4** | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 29.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| – | 6.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 17.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| title=Pujol mantiene la mayoría absoluta, con una ligera tendencia al alza del voto nacionalista | url=http://hemeroteca.lavanguardia.com/preview/1992/03/08/pagina-20/33503797/pdf.html | language=es | work=La Vanguardia | date=8 March 1992}} | 2–4 Mar 1992 | 2,004 | ? | **47.9** | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 28.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 19.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| title=Convergència i Unió incrementa su mayoría absoluta | url=https://elpais.com/diario/1992/03/08/espana/700009211_850215.html | language=es | work=El País | date=8 March 1992}} | 29 Feb–4 Mar 1992 | 1,600 | 58 | **46.5** | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 27.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 18.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| title=Sólo un aumento de la abstención puede arrebatar la mayoría absoluta a Pujol | url=http://hemeroteca.lavanguardia.com/preview/1992/02/23/pagina-16/33507435/pdf.html | language=es | work=La Vanguardia | date=23 February 1992}} | 17–19 Feb 1992 | 2,000 | 60–65 | **47.5** | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 28.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 19.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| title=Pujol conservará la mayoría absoluta | url=https://elpais.com/diario/1992/02/23/espana/698799615_850215.html | language=es | work=El País | date=23 February 1992}} | 8–14 Feb 1992 | 1,600 | 58 | **46.4** | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 30.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 16.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| title=Pujol mantendrá la mayoría absoluta en las elecciones del 15 de marzo | url=http://archivo.elperiodico.com/ed/19920216/pag_003.html | language=es | work=El Periódico de Catalunya | date=16 February 1992}} | 8–11 Feb 1992 | 2,000 | ? | **46.6** | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 27.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 18.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Producciones 5/Avui | 19 Jan 1992 | 2,900 | ? | **46.8** | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 28.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 18.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| title=Encuestas socialistas "quitan" a Pujol la mayoría absoluta | url=http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/madrid/abc/1992/01/03/046.html | language=es | work=ABC | date=3 January 1992}} | 3 Jan 1992 | ? | ? | **40.0** | 32.0 | – | – | – | – | Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 8.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| **1991 local elections** | 26 May 1991 | 57.7 | 33.4 | **37.5** | 9.6 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 6.7 | Socialists' Party of Catalonia}}; color:white;" | 4.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| **1989 general election** | 29 Oct 1989 | 67.6 | 32.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| **35.6** | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Socialists' Party of Catalonia}}; color:white;" | 2.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| **1989 EP election** | 15 Jun 1989 | 51.5 | 27.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| **36.4** | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Socialists' Party of Catalonia}}; color:white;" | 8.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| **[1988 regional election](1988-catalan-regional-election)** | 29 May 1988 | 59.4 | **45.7** | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 29.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| – | Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 15.9 |
Victory preferences
The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | [[File:Ciu 1980s.png | 35px | link=Convergence and Union | CiU]] | [[File:Logo PSC 1982-2003.svg | 22px | link=Socialists' Party of Catalonia | PSC]] | IC | [[File:Logo de ERC (antiguo).svg | 27px | link=Republican Left of Catalonia | ERC]] | [[File:Centro Democrático y Social (corto).png | 27px | link=Democratic and Social Centre (Spain) | CDS]] | [[File:People's Party (Spain) Logo (1989-1993).svg | 35px | link=People's Party of Catalonia | PP]] | Other/ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | Lead | Convergence and Union}};" | Socialists' Party of Catalonia}};" | Initiative for Catalonia}};" | Republican Left of Catalonia}};" | Democratic and Social Centre (Spain)}};" | People's Party of Catalonia}};" | |||||||||||||||||
| title=El 48% de los catalanes prefiere a Pujol como presidente | url=https://elpais.com/diario/1992/03/08/espana/700009213_850215.html | language=es | work=El País | date=8 March 1992}} | 29 Feb–4 Mar 1992 | 1,600 | **43.0** | 17.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 28.0 | Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 26.0 | |||||||||
| title=División de opiniones sobre la eficacia de un gobierno de coalición | url=https://hemeroteca.lavanguardia.com/preview/1992/02/23/pagina-18/33507435/pdf.html | language=es | work=La Vanguardia | date=23 February 1992}} | 17–19 Feb 1992 | 2,000 | **42.9** | 22.3 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 13.5 | Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 20.6 | ||||||||
| title=El 45% de los electores votaría a Pujol para presidente, y un 16%, a Obiols | url=https://elpais.com/diario/1992/02/23/espana/698799610_850215.html | language=es | work=El País | date=23 February 1992}} | 8–14 Feb 1992 | 1,600 | **38.0** | 23.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 25.0 | Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 15.0 | |||||||||
| title=Situación social y política de Cataluña (XIII). Preelectoral (II) (Estudio nº 1987. Enero 1992) | url=https://www.cis.es/documents/d/cis/es1987mar_catpdf | language=es | work=CIS | date=25 January 1992}} | 11–25 Jan 1992 | 2,484 | **37.7** | 21.5 | 3.2 | 4.8 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 28.5 | Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 16.2 | ||||||||
| title=Situación social y política de Cataluña (XII). Preelectoral (I) (Estudio nº 1978. Octubre 1991) | url=https://www.cis.es/documents/d/cis/es1978mar_catpdf | language=es | work=CIS | date=1 October 1991}} | 1 Oct 1991 | 2,496 | **32.6** | 25.2 | 5.3 | 4.8 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 27.7 | Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 7.4 |
Victory likelihood
The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | [[File:Ciu 1980s.png | 35px | link=Convergence and Union | CiU]] | [[File:Logo PSC 1982-2003.svg | 22px | link=Socialists' Party of Catalonia | PSC]] | IC | [[File:Logo de ERC (antiguo).svg | 27px | link=Republican Left of Catalonia | ERC]] | [[File:Centro Democrático y Social (corto).png | 27px | link=Democratic and Social Centre (Spain) | CDS]] | [[File:People's Party (Spain) Logo (1989-1993).svg | 35px | link=People's Party of Catalonia | PP]] | Other/ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | Lead | Convergence and Union}};" | Socialists' Party of Catalonia}};" | Initiative for Catalonia}};" | Republican Left of Catalonia}};" | Democratic and Social Centre (Spain)}};" | People's Party of Catalonia}};" | |||||||||||||||||
| title=Situación social y política de Cataluña (XV). Preelectoral (IV) (Estudio nº 1994. Febrero 1992) | url=https://www.cis.es/documents/d/cis/es1994mar_catpdf | language=es | work=CIS | date=9 March 1992}} | 28 Feb–9 Mar 1992 | 2,500 | **71.6** | 5.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 21.8 | Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 66.0 | ||||||||
| Demoscopia/El País | 29 Feb–4 Mar 1992 | 1,600 | **74.0** | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 19.0 | Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 68.0 | |||||||||||||
| Opina/La Vanguardia | 17–19 Feb 1992 | 2,000 | **72.6** | 9.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 16.2 | Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 63.0 | ||||||||||||
| Demoscopia/El País | 8–14 Feb 1992 | 1,600 | **63.0** | 14.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 19.0 | Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 49.0 | |||||||||||||
| title=Situación social y política de Cataluña (XIV). Preelectoral (III) (Estudio nº 1995. Enero 1992) | url=https://www.cis.es/documents/d/cis/es1995mar_catpdf | language=es | work=CIS | date=1 February 1992}} | 27 Jan–1 Feb 1992 | 2,498 | **66.1** | 12.7 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 19.1 | Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 53.4 | ||||||||
| CIS | 11–25 Jan 1992 | 2,484 | **63.7** | 8.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | – | 0.5 | 0.1 | 27.0 | Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 55.5 | ||||||||||||
| CIS | 1 Oct 1991 | 2,496 | **58.4** | 9.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | – | 0.2 | 0.1 | 31.4 | Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 49.4 |
Preferred President
The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Government of Catalonia.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | [[File:Jordi Pujol 1996 (cropped).jpg | 50px]] | [[File:Raimon Obiols 1989 (cropped).jpg | 50px]] | [[File:Rafael Ribó 1996 (cropped).jpg | 50px]] | [[File:Àngel Colom 2010 (cropped).jpg | 50px]] | [[File:Portrait placeholder.svg | 50px]] | [[File:Alejo Vidal-Quadras 2008 (cropped).jpg | 50px]] | Other/ | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None/ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Not | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| care | Lead | Convergence and Union}};" | Socialists' Party of Catalonia}};" | Initiative for Catalonia}};" | Republican Left of Catalonia}};" | Democratic and Social Centre (Spain)}};" | People's Party of Catalonia}};" | Pujol | ||||||||||||||||
| CiU | Obiols | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| PSC | Ribó | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| IC | Colom | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| ERC | Sandoval | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| CDS | Vidal-Quadras | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| PP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Demoscopia/El País | 29 Feb–4 Mar 1992 | 1,600 | **48.0** | 15.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 27.0 | Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 33.0 | |||||||||||||
| Demoscopia/El País | 8–14 Feb 1992 | 1,600 | **45.0** | 16.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 32.0 | Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 29.0 |
Results
Overall
| Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Convergence and Union}}" | Convergence and Union (CiU) | 1,221,233 | 46.19 | +0.47 | **70** | +1 | ||||
| Socialists' Party of Catalonia}}" | Socialists' Party of Catalonia (PSC–PSOE) | 728,311 | 27.55 | −2.23 | **40** | −2 | ||||
| Republican Left of Catalonia}}" | Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC) | 210,366 | 7.96 | +3.82 | **11** | +5 | ||||
| Initiative for Catalonia Greens}}" | Initiative for Catalonia (IC) | 171,794 | 6.50 | −1.26 | **7** | −2 | ||||
| People's Party of Catalonia}}" | People's Party (PP)1 | 157,772 | 5.97 | +0.66 | **7** | +1 | ||||
| Democratic and Social Centre (Spain)}}" | Democratic and Social Centre (CDS) | 24,033 | 0.91 | −2.92 | 0 | −3 | ||||
| Party of the Communists of Catalonia}}" | Party of the Communists of Catalonia (PCC) | 22,181 | 0.84 | *New* | 0 | ±0 | ||||
| The Greens–Green Union}}" | The Greens–Green Union (EV–UV) | 14,041 | 0.53 | *New* | 0 | ±0 | ||||
| Ruiz-Mateos Group}}" | Ruiz-Mateos Group (ARM) | 13,067 | 0.49 | *New* | 0 | ±0 | ||||
| Green Alternative–Ecologist Movement of Catalonia}}" | Green Alternative–Ecologist Movement of Catalonia (AV–MEC) | 10,323 | 0.39 | −0.22 | 0 | ±0 | ||||
| Workers' Socialist Party (Spain)}}" | Workers' Socialist Party (PST) | 10,270 | 0.39 | +0.18 | 0 | ±0 | ||||
| The Ecologist Greens (Spain)}}" | The Ecologists (LVE) | 9,879 | 0.37 | +0.05 | 0 | ±0 | ||||
| Ecologist Party of Catalonia}}" | Ecologist Party of Catalonia–VERDE (PEC–VERDE) | 7,786 | 0.29 | +0.07 | 0 | ±0 | ||||
| Catalunya Lliure}}" | Free Catalonia (CLL) | 5,241 | 0.20 | *New* | 0 | ±0 | ||||
| Revolutionary Workers' Party (Spain)}}" | Revolutionary Workers' Party of Spain (PORE) | 2,258 | 0.09 | −0.01 | 0 | ±0 | ||||
| Coalition for a New Socialist Party}}" | Independent Socialists (SI)2 | 2,080 | 0.08 | +0.04 | 0 | ±0 | ||||
| Humanist Party (Spain)}}" | Humanist Party (PH) | 1,752 | 0.07 | −0.01 | 0 | ±0 | ||||
| Lleida Republican Youth (JRLL) | 431 | 0.02 | *New* | 0 | ±0 | |||||
| Blank ballots | 31,092 | 1.18 | +0.55 | |||||||
| Total | 2,643,910 | 135 | ±0 | |||||||
| Valid votes | 2,643,910 | 99.58 | +0.09 | |||||||
| Invalid votes | 11,141 | 0.42 | −0.09 | |||||||
| Votes cast / turnout | 2,655,051 | 54.87 | −4.50 | |||||||
| Abstentions | 2,184,020 | 45.13 | +4.50 | |||||||
| Registered voters | 4,839,071 | |||||||||
| Sources | ||||||||||
| {{hidden | ta1=left | title=Footnotes: | content={{ubl | 1 People's Party results are compared to People's Alliance totals in the 1988 election. | 2 Independent Socialists results are compared to Alliance for the Republic totals in the 1988 election.}}}} |
Distribution by constituency
| Constituency | CiU | PSC | ERC | IC | PP | Convergence and Union}}" | Socialists' Party of Catalonia}}" | Republican Left of Catalonia}}" | Initiative for Catalonia}}" | People's Party of Catalonia}}" | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | Sources | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 44.6 | **41** | 28.9 | **27** | 7.2 | **6** | 7.4 | **6** | 5.9 | **5** | |||||||||||||||
| Girona | Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 54.3 | **11** | 21.8 | **4** | 11.6 | **2** | 3.4 | − | 4.0 | − | |||||||||||||||
| Lleida | Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 53.6 | **9** | 21.8 | **4** | 9.8 | **1** | 2.9 | − | 6.9 | **1** | |||||||||||||||
| Tarragona | Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 45.8 | **9** | 26.5 | **5** | 9.2 | **2** | 4.7 | **1** | 7.7 | **1** | |||||||||||||||
| **Total** | Convergence and Union}}; color:white;" | 46.2 | **70** | 27.5 | **40** | 8.0 | **11** | 6.5 | **7** | 6.0 | **7** |
Aftermath
| Ballot → | 9 April 1992 | Required majority → | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 out of 135 | |||
| {{Collapsible list | title = Yes | • CiU (70) | |
| {{Collapsible list | title = No | • PSC (40) | • ERC (11) |
| {{Collapsible list | title = Abstentions | • PP (7) | |
| Absentees | |||
| Sources |
Notes
References
;Opinion poll sources
;Other
References
- (18 December 1979). ["[Statute of Autonomy of Catalonia of 1979".
- Gallagher, Michael. (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin.
- (23 March 1982). "Ley 3/1982, de 23 de marzo, del Parlamento, del Presidente y del Consejo Ejecutivo de la Generalidad".
- (24 May 1985). "Ley 8/1985, de 24 de mayo, de modificación de la Ley 3/1982, de 25 de marzo, del Parlamento, del Presidente y del Consejo Ejecutivo de la Generalidad de Cataluña".
- (19 June 1985). "Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General".
- (21 November 1989). "Independentistas radicales se hacen con el control de Esquerra Republicana". El País.
- "Electoral results. Parliament of Catalonia election 1992". [[Generalitat de Catalunya.
- "Eleccions al Parlament de Catalunya (1980 - 2021)".
- "Election Results. Parliament of Catalonia Election 1992. Barcelona". Generalitat of Catalonia.
- "Election Results. Parliament of Catalonia Election 1992. Girona". Generalitat of Catalonia.
- "Election Results. Parliament of Catalonia Election 1992. Lleida". Generalitat of Catalonia.
- "Election Results. Parliament of Catalonia Election 1992. Tarragona". Generalitat of Catalonia.
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