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1991 New Brunswick general election

Canadian provincial election

Field	Value
election_name	1991 New Brunswick general election
country	New Brunswick
type	parliamentary
party_colour	no
party_name	no
previous_election	1987 New Brunswick general election
previous_year	1987
outgoing_members	51st New Brunswick Legislative Assembly
election_date	September 23, 1991
elected_mps	[members](52nd-new-brunswick-legislative-assembly)
next_election	1995 New Brunswick general election
next_year	1995
seats_for_election	58 seats of the Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick
majority_seats	30
image1	[[Image:Frank_McKenna2.jpg	150x150px]]
colour1
leader1	Frank McKenna
leader_since1	1985
party1
leaders_seat1	Chatham
last_election1	58 seats, 60.39%
seats1	46
seat_change1	12
popular_vote1	193,890
percentage1	47.11%
swing1	13.28pp
image2	CoR
colour2
leader2	Arch Pafford
leader_since2	1989
party2
leaders_seat2	Ran in Miramichi-Newcastle (lost)
last_election2	New party
seats2	8
seat_change2	8
popular_vote2	87,256
percentage2	21.18%
swing2	New party
image4	PC
colour4
leader4	Dennis Cochrane
leader_since4	1990
party4
leaders_seat4	Petitcodiac
last_election4	0 seats, 28.59%
seats4	3
seat_change4	3
popular_vote4	85,210
percentage4	20.69%
swing4	7.89pp
image5	NDP
colour5
leader5	Elizabeth Weir
leader_since5	1988
party5
leaders_seat5	Saint John South
last_election5	0 seats, 10.55%
seats5	1
seat_change5	1
popular_vote5	44,384
percentage5	10.78%
swing5	0.23pp
map_image	New Brunswick general election, 1991 results by riding.svg
map_size	300px
map_caption	Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding.
title	Premier
before_election	Frank McKenna
before_party
after_election	Frank McKenna
posttitle	Premier after election
after_party
ongoing	No

]] The 1991 New Brunswick general election was held on September 23, 1991, to elect 58 members to the 52nd New Brunswick Legislative Assembly, the governing house of the province of New Brunswick, Canada.

As expected, the Liberal Party won a large majority. Many were surprised that the Confederation of Regions Party formed the official opposition. Though they ran even with the PCs in popular vote, their concentration of support in rural anglophone ridings gave them considerably more seats. Weir's personal popularity and name recognition was not enough to give her party more seats as she, and the Tories, had votes relatively evenly spread around the province.

Background

Though Frank McKenna's Liberals were expected to win a second term after sweeping all 58 seats in 1987, any of the other three parties were considered contenders for official opposition.

The New Democratic Party was led by Elizabeth Weir, who had been the strongest and most consistent voice of opposition to the Liberals since her election as party leader in 1988. In the ensuing three years, thanks to the lack of opposition members in the legislature (MLAs), her firebrand style had made her a well-known name in New Brunswick politics.

The fledgling Confederation of Regions Party had been created out of the ashes of the Hatfield Tories when the latter went from majority government to zero seats in 1987. CoR was running numerous former Tory MLAs and candidates, and even some former Tory cabinet ministers. Its base of support was in English-speaking regions of New Brunswick, where many conservatives had become alienated by Hatfield's close relationship with Acadians.

The Progressive Conservatives had been in power for the majority of years since confederation, and 17 straight years before 1987. Even so, the scandals of the final Hatfield years and the growing unpopularity of the federal Progressive Conservatives hindered their success. Additionally they had perceived internal problems having gone through four leaders since the last election: Hatfield, then two-year interim leader Malcolm MacLeod then Barbara Baird, and then Dennis Cochrane.

Opinion polls

Polling firm	Last day
of survey	Source	NBLA	CoR	NBPC	NBNDP	Other	ME	Sample	NB	Liberal}};" data-sort-type="number"		NB	CoR}};" data-sort-type="number"		NB	PC}};" data-sort-type="number"	NB	NDP}};" data-sort-type="number"	CA	Indépendant}};" data-sort-type="number"
Election 1991	September 23, 1991		47.11	21.18	20.69	10.78	0.24
Baseline Research	August 1991		51	15	19	13
Baseline Research	August 1991		51	15	22	10
Baseline Research	July 1991		53{{cite news	title=McKenna calls Sept. 23 vote	first=John	date=August 22, 1991	work=The Toronto Star	page=A2}}		18
Omnifacts	June 1991	{{cite news	title=Rallying around a political ghost	first=Robert	date=June 29, 1991	work=The Globe and Mail	page=A15}}	37		8	17
Baseline Research	January 1991		58	15	8	19
Baseline Research	March 1990	{{cite news	title=N.B. may head to polls within next year	first=Kevin	date=March 26, 1990	work=The Globe and Mail	page=A8}}	58	12	17	13
Baseline Research	January 1990	title=N.B. may head to polls within next year	first=Kevin	date=March 26, 1990	work=The Globe and Mail	page=A8}}	58	12	17	13			title=McKenna still on top, poll finds	date=February 14, 1990	work=The Globe and Mail	page=N18}}
Baseline Research	June 1989		63	9	17
New Brunswick Confederation of Regions Party founded (1989)
[Election 1987](1987-new-brunswick-general-election)	October 13, 1987		60.39	-	28.59	10.55	0.47

Close results

A number of races were close 2 or 3 way contests with only a small fraction of votes separating the winner from the losers. The tables below highlight the seats that the three major parties missed by less than 10 percentage points (pp) and the margins between them and the winner.

Results

Results by party

- style="background-color:#CCCCCC"
-
-
}

Results by region

Party Name	North	Central	South West	South East	Total	46	47.1	8	21.2	3	20.7	1	10.8	Total seats:	16	14	16	12	58
Liberal	Seats:	15	8	14	9	Popular Vote:	57.0	40.1	39.8	51.4	Confederation of Regions	Seats:	0	6	0	2	Popular Vote:	5.8	35.4

Results by riding

Legend

bold denotes party leader
† denotes an incumbent who is not running for re-election

North

Consisting of Victoria, Madawaska, Restigouche and Gloucester county ridings.

|- || |Larry R. Kennedy 2,854 | |Carl Skaarup 1,580 | |Neville J. Crabbe 1,664 | |Cheryl Ann Elizabeth Pelkey 308 | | ||

Larry Kennedy

Paul Duffie 3,617

| |Roy Simon Dee 197 | |Léo R. Thériault 1,209 | |Clyde Winchester 207 | | ||

Paul Duffie

Georges Corriveau 2,906

| | | |Raout Cyr 2,211 | |Gérard Caron 601 | | ||

Georges Corriveau

Gérald Clavette 2,942

| | | |Don Marmen 1,706 | |Jean-Marie St-Onge 412 | | ||

Gérald Clavette

Roland Beaulieu 3,686

| | | |Patrick Dalpé 1,156 | |Réal Couturier 719 | | ||

Roland Beaulieu

Pierrette Ringuette 2,843

| | | |Théo Poitras 1,715 | |Julien Tardif 209 | | ||

Pierrette Ringuette

Jean Paul Savoie 3,922

| |Robert A. Boudreau 517 | |Félix J. Dubé 2,524 | |Rino Pelletier 302 | | ||

Jean Paul Savoie

Edmond Blanchard 3,599

| |Ronald Rioux 1,062 | |Bill Ferguson 934 | |Douglas Gordon Kingston 593 | | ||

Edmond Blanchard

Allan Maher 2,804

| |Isabelle Ann Culverwell Davis 451 | |Scott Chedore 608 | |Aurele Ferlotte 1,927 | | ||

Allan Maher

Rayburn Doucett 3,023

| |Norman Shea 381 | |Richard Lapointe 294 | |Walter Gauthier, Jr. 1,241 | | ||

Rayburn Doucett

Albert Doucet 4,732

| | | |David Boudreau 466 | |Raoul Charest 1,696 | |Ulric DeGrace (Ind.) 714 ||

Albert Doucet

Frank Branch 3,752

| |Laurie Alan Daley 760 | |Robert Hornibrook 616 | |Karen Ann McCrea 1,172 | | ||

Frank Branch

Marcelle Mersereau 4,047

| |Laurie Joseph Robichaud 1,280 | |Claire Wilt 1,025 | |Colette Buttimer 832 | | ||

Paul Kenny†

Bernard Thériault 5,298

| | | |Gilbert Godin 2,279 | |Roger Duguay 2,167 | | ||

Bernard Thériault

| |Aldéa Landry 4,831 | | || |Jean Gauvin 4,881 | |John Gagnon 128 | | ||

Aldéa Landry

Denis Losier 6,374

| | | |Colette McGraw 2,103 | |Pierre Cousineau 1,427 | | || |Denis Losier |}

Central

Consisting of Carleton, York, Sunbury and Northumberland county ridings.

|- || |Fred Harvey 2,163 | |Jack Salmon 857 | |Dale Graham 2,032 | |Anna Marie Kilfoil 84 | | ||

Fred Harvey

Allison DeLong 2,087

| |Lois M. Clark 1,281 | |Mary Hatfield 1,387 | |Linda Marie Lawrence 104 | | ||

Allison DeLong

Bruce Smith 2,462

| |Jerry Covey 2,036 | |Bill Hamilton 890 | |Arthur L. Slipp 254 | | ||

Bruce Smith

| |Bob Simpson 3,825 || |Gregory James Hargrove 5,463 | |Mark A. Moir 1,174 | |Chris Orenstein 450 | | ||

Bob Simpson

| |Al Lacey 4,754 || |Danny Cameron 5,607 | |Marven Grant 1,797 | |Rita Hurley 602 | | ||

Al Lacey

Russ King 4,584

| |Meryl Sarty 3,295 | |Jamie Henderson 2,575 | |Pauline MacKenzie 1,463 | |Henry John Marshall (Ind.) 136 ||

Russ King

| |Jim Wilson 3,864 || |Ed Allen 6,052 | |Donald H. Parent 1,810 | |Richard Stephen DeSaulniers 553 | | ||

Jim Wilson

| |Shawn Perry 2,616 || |Max White 3,935 | |Keith Ashfield 799 | |Barbara Ann Fairley 306 | | ||

Doug Harrison†

| |Tom Gilbert 2,036 || |Albert Rector 2,197 | |Joe Mombourquette 939 | |Alton Shears 297 | | ||

Tom Gilbert

| |Claude Stewart 2,798 || |Brent Taylor 2,954 | |Donald Long 701 | |Larry Lynch 193 | | ||

Morris Green†

John McKay 2,583

| |Arch Pafford 2,252 | |Paul Dawson 2,573 | |Liane Tiboudeau-Doucet 315 | | ||

John McKay

Frank McKenna 3,147

| |Jim West 1,563 | |Richard Hilchey 598 | |Wera Baldwin 383 | | ||

Frank McKenna

Reg MacDonald 2,834

| |John J. Keating 604 | |Muriel Lamkey 1,608 | |Jeanne Thériault 220 | | ||

Reg MacDonald

Danny Gay 3,940

| |James Grant MacIntosh 638 | |Emilien LeBreton 2,117 | |Norman A. Richardson 493 | | || |Danny Gay |}

South West

Consisting of Queens, Kings, Saint John and Charlotte county ridings.

|- || |Doug Tyler 1,740 | |Constance Melissa Webber 1,654 | |Clayton Chase 256 | |Susan Barton 94 | | ||

Doug Tyler

Vaughn Blaney 1,543

| |Jarvis M. Ducey 1,205 | |Larry C. Black 676 | |Gordon Black 255 | | ||

Vaughn Blaney

Laureen Jarrett 6,219

| |Glendon F. Jones 3,810 | |Nancy E. Grant 3,267 | |Roger M. Olmstead 1,494 | | ||

Laureen Jarrett

Georgie Day 3,011

| |Colby Fraser 2,882 | |Charles Edward Murray 2,371 | |Marian Jefferies 1,133 | | ||

Kal Seaman†

| |Tim Wilson 2,843 | |Mel Stockford 2,098 || |Hazen Myers 2,871 | |Anne-Marie Dupuis 617 | | ||

Pete Dalton†

Stuart Jamieson 2,213

| |Gary William Vincent 1,868 | |Bev Harrison 2,033 | |Kathleen Fudge 907 | | ||

Stuart Jamieson

George J. Jenkins 2,785

| |Gary Ewart 2,650 | |Don Elliott 1,360 | |Ben Donaldson 1,868 | | ||

Peter Trites†

Louis Murphy 1,779

| |Marie Gerrior 844 | |Nargis Kheraj 496 | |Al Maund 968 | | ||

Louis Murphy

| |John Mooney 1,596 | |Ray McDevitt 549 | |Paddy Addison 514 || |Elizabeth Weir 1,675 | | ||

John Mooney

Shirley Dysart 1,743

| |Richard Condon Sullivan Kinsella 825 | |Shirley McAlary 733 | |Judith Meinert 777 | | ||

Shirley Dysart

Leo McAdam 1,892

| |Peter A. Whitebone 950 | |Doug Shippee 1,089 | |Julie Galbraith 966 | | ||

Leo McAdam

Jane Barry 3,527

| |Jim Webb 2,471 | |Gerry Maher 1,559 | |Robert W. Hickes 1,382 | | ||

Jane Barry

Eric Allaby 1,950

| |Keith B. Guptilt 957 | |Sharon Tucker 757 | |Dorothy Matthews 183 | | ||

Eric Allaby

Sheldon Lee 2,195

| |Connie M. Stewart 516 | |Stanley John Smith 471 | |Jean Stewart 162 | | ||

Sheldon Lee

Reid Hurley 1,796

| |Mabel Groom 768 | |Bev Lawrence 1,077 | |Ellen Smith 281 | | ||

Reid Hurley

Ann Breault 1,820

| |Robert Michael Booth 798 | |Ken Stevens 1,129 | |Irene Tobin 114 | | || |Ann Breault |}

South East

Consisting of Kent, Westmorland and Albert county ridings.

|- || |Conrad Landry 3,377 | | | |Dominique Babineau 939 | |Docile Doiron 1,011 | | ||

Conrad Landry

Alan Graham 3,025

| |Percy Beers 626 | |David MacDonald 347 | |Neil Gardner 379 | | ||

Alan Graham

Camille Thériault 5,573

| | | |Jean-Claude Cormier 2,023 | |Gérald Mazerolle 1,256 | | ||

Camille Thériault

Bernard Richard 7,298

| |Lester Russell Hyslop 481 | |Emile Goguen Dupré 1,240 | |Patrick Allain 830 | | ||

Azor LeBlanc†

Marilyn Trenholme 3,008

| |Clarke Edgar Sheppard 1,091 | |William R. Campbell 556 | |Robert Hall 1,419 | | ||

Marilyn Trenholme

Greg O'Donnell 6,393

| |Julia Elnora LeBlanc 407 | |Jean-Robert Gaudet 680 | |Martin Aubin 1,797 | | ||

Greg O'Donnell

J. Raymond Frenette 4,041

| |William André Joseph LeSage 1,120 | |John Hansen 1,026 | |Mary Elizabeth McLaughlin 1,416 | | ||

Ray Frenette

Mike McKee 4,797

| |Tom Taylor 1,780 | |John MacFarlane 1,262 | |J.C. Bourque 973 | | ||

Mike McKee

Jim Lockyer 3,558

| |Arthur M. Hayden 1,691 | |Ben D. Stymiest 1,483 | |Stephanie Day Domingue 726 | | ||

Jim Lockyer

| |Hollis S. Steeves 4,698 | |Leona May Geldart 4,786 || |Dennis Cochrane 4,879 | |Richard Hay 1,204 | | ||

Hollis Steeves

| |Hubert Seamans 3,115 || |Gordon B. Willden 3,139 | |Ross MacCallum 2,084 | |Wayne Brown 594 | | ||

Hubert Seamans

| |Lee Martin 1,432 || |Beverly M. Brine 2,328 | |Wayne Steeves 1,641 | |Elizabeth Venart 277 | | || |Harold Terris† |}

References

Cox, K. (1991, Sep 24). Liberals take N.B. as CoR surprises new party wins official opposition. ''The Globe and Mail ''
Spears, John. (September 20, 1991). "N.B. Liberals heading for massive win, new poll says". The Toronto Star.
Spears, John. (September 15, 1991). "N.B. opposition makes a fight of it - for 2nd place". The Toronto Star.
Flaherty, Elaine. (August 23, 1991). "Clear sailing for McKenna; Three opposition parties will scramble for few dissenting votes". The Globe and Mail.
Cox, Kevin. (April 9, 1991). "N.B. parties gearing up to slay giant: McKenna's Liberals in no hurry to end one-party government". The Globe and Mail.
(February 14, 1990). "McKenna still on top, poll finds". The Globe and Mail.
Spears, John. (September 10, 1989). "Anti-bilingual movement takes formal root in N.B". The Toronto Star.

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