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1986 Spanish NATO membership referendum
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| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| name | 1986 Spanish NATO membership referendum |
| title | The Government considers it convenient, for national interests, for Spain to remain in the Atlantic Alliance, and agrees that such permanence be established in the following terms: (1) Non-incorporation into NATO's military structure; (2) Prohibition on the installation, storage or entry of nuclear weapons on Spanish territory; (3) Gradual reduction of the United States' military presence in Spain. In your view, should Spain continue to be a member of the Atlantic Alliance subject to the terms agreed by the national Government? |
| date | 12 March 1986 |
| yes | 9054509 |
| no | 6872421 |
| total | 17246452 |
| electorate | 29024494 |
| map | SpainProvinceMapR1986.png |
| mapdivision | provinces |
| notes |
A referendum on the Spanish NATO membership was held in Spain on Wednesday, 12 March 1986. Voters were asked whether they ratified the national Government's proposal for the country remaining a member of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), which it had joined in 1982.
The question asked was "The Government considers it convenient, for national interests, for Spain to remain in the Atlantic Alliance, and agrees that such permanence be established in the following terms: (1) Non-incorporation into NATO's military structure; (2) Prohibition on the installation, storage or entry of nuclear weapons on Spanish territory; (3) Gradual reduction of the United States' military presence in Spain. Question: In your view, should Spain continue to be a member of the Atlantic Alliance subject to the terms agreed by the national Government?" ().
The referendum resulted in 56.9% of valid votes in favour of remaining within NATO on a turnout of 59.4%.
Opinion polls
The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading choice's colour. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the "Remain" and "Leave" choices in a given poll.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Remain | Leave | Invalid/ | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blank | Lead | Notes | |||||||||
| **[1986 referendum](1986-spanish-nato-membership-referendum-results)** | 12 Mar 1986 | **31.2** | 23.7 | 4.5 | 40.6 | – | |||||
| title=Referéndum Alianza Atlántica (Estudio nº 1.521. Marzo 1986) | url=http://www.cis.es/cis/export/sites/default/-Archivos/Marginales/1520_1539/1521/Es1521mar_s.pdf | language=es | work=CIS | date=11 March 1986}} | 10–11 Mar 1986 | 1,188 | **33.0** | 27.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 25.0 |
| title=Referéndum Alianza Atlántica. Marzo - 86 (Estudio nº 1.520) | url=http://www.cis.es/cis/export/sites/default/-Archivos/Marginales/1520_1539/1520/Es1520mar_s.pdf | language=es | work=CIS | date=7 March 1986}} | 7 Mar 1986 | 2,410 | **31.0** | 29.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 27.0 |
| title=Estudio ECO 1.519 (Marzo 1986) | url=http://www.cis.es/cis/export/sites/default/-Archivos/Marginales/1500_1519/1519/Es1519mar_s.pdf | language=es | work=CIS | date=4 March 1986}} | 3–4 Mar 1986 | 2,500 | 27.0 | **35.0** | – | 12.0 | 26.0 |
| title=Se mantiene estable la mayoría favorable al 'no' | url=https://elpais.com/diario/1986/03/06/espana/510447614_850215.html | language=es | work=El País | date=6 March 1986}} | 28 Feb–3 Mar 1986 | 3,000 | 26.2 | **36.2** | 37.6 | 10.0 | |
| title=Apretado margen para una decisión histórica | url=https://hemeroteca.lavanguardia.com/preview/1986/03/06/pagina-12/32878882/pdf.html | language=es | work=La Vanguardia | date=6 March 1986}} | 25–28 Feb 1986 | 3,100 | 24.8 | **35.5** | 2.6 | 12.3 | 24.8 |
| title=Referéndum OTAN (Estudio nº 1.514. 27 de Febrero de 1986) | url=http://www.cis.es/cis/export/sites/default/-Archivos/Marginales/1500_1519/1514/Es1514mar_s.pdf | language=es | work=CIS | date=27 February 1986}} | 27 Feb 1986 | ? | **29.0** | 28.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 24.0 |
| title=Disminuye la diferencia entre el 'sí' y el 'no' a la permanencia en la OTAN | url=https://elpais.com/diario/1986/02/23/espana/509497211_850215.html | language=es | work=El País | date=23 February 1986}} | 18–20 Feb 1986 | 1,525 | 25.2 | **34.2** | 3.6 | 19.1 | 17.9 |
| title=Estudio 1.511 (Febrero de 1986) | url=http://www.cis.es/cis/export/sites/default/-Archivos/Marginales/1500_1519/1511/Es1511mar_s.pdf | language=es | work=CIS | date=23 February 1986}} | 15–19 Feb 1986 | 2,500 | 27.0 | **31.0** | 2.0 | 12.0 | 29.0 |
| title=Estudio nº 1.510 (Febrero 1986) | url=http://www.cis.es/cis/export/sites/default/-Archivos/Marginales/1500_1519/1510/Es1510mar_s.pdf | language=es | work=CIS | date=15 February 1986}} | 15 Feb 1986 | ? | 25.0 | **32.0** | – | 12.0 | 32.0 |
| title=Referéndum Alianza Atlántica (Estudio nº 1.509) | url=http://www.cis.es/cis/export/sites/default/-Archivos/Marginales/1500_1519/1509/Es1509mar_s.pdf | language=es | work=CIS | date=10 February 1986}} | 10 Feb 1986 | ? | 25.0 | **27.0** | – | 15.0 | 33.0 |
| title=Post-debate parlamentario. Febrero '86 (Febrero 1986) | url=http://www.cis.es/cis/export/sites/default/-Archivos/Marginales/1500_1519/1506/Es1506mar_s.pdf | language=es | work=CIS | date=10 February 1986}} | 7–10 Feb 1986 | ? | 30.0 | **38.0** | – | 13.0 | 19.0 |
| title=Serias probabilidades de que el Gobierno pierda el referéndum | url=https://elpais.com/diario/1986/02/09/espana/508287610_850215.html | language=es | work=El País | date=9 February 1986}} | 2–4 Feb 1986 | 1,532 | 21.0 | **39.0** | 3.1 | 18.5 | 18.4 |
| title=Estudio sobre la OTAN (Enero 1986. Estudio 1502) | url=http://www.cis.es/cis/export/sites/default/-Archivos/Marginales/1500_1519/1502/Es1502mar_s.pdf | language=es | work=CIS | date=25 January 1986}} | 18–25 Jan 1986 | 10,632 | **30.0** | 28.0 | – | 10.0 | 32.0 |
| title="Barómetro enero 1986". Estudio C.I.S. nº 1.501 (Enero 1986) | url=http://www.cis.es/cis/export/sites/default/-Archivos/Marginales/1500_1519/1501/Es1501mar_s.pdf | language=es | work=CIS | date=1 January 1986}} | 1 Jan 1986 | ? | **29.0** | 27.0 | – | 12.0 | 32.0 |
| title=Estudio sobre la OTAN (Diciembre 85. Estudio 1498) | url=http://www.cis.es/cis/export/sites/default/-Archivos/Marginales/1480_1499/1498/Es1498mar_s.pdf | language=es | work=CIS | date=16 December 1985}} | 13–16 Dec 1985 | 2,457 | **32.0** | 27.0 | – | 10.0 | 31.0 |
| title=Barómetro. Estudio C.I.S. nº 1.478 (Octubre 1985) | url=http://www.cis.es/cis/export/sites/default/-Archivos/Marginales/1460_1479/1478/Es1478mar_s.pdf | language=es | work=CIS | date=1 October 1985}} | 1 Oct 1985 | 1,232 | **30.0** | 25.0 | – | 9.0 | 36.0 |
| title=Barómetro. Estudio C.I.S. nº 1471 (Julio 1985) | url=http://www.cis.es/cis/export/sites/default/-Archivos/Marginales/1460_1479/1471/Es1471mar_s.pdf | language=es | work=CIS | date=20 July 1985}} | 17–20 Jul 1985 | 2,479 | 26.0 | **34.0** | – | 7.0 | 33.0 |
| title=Cuestiones de política exterior. Estudio C.I.S. 1463 (Junio 1985) | url=http://www.cis.es/cis/export/sites/default/-Archivos/Marginales/1460_1479/1463/Es1463mar_s.pdf | language=es | work=CIS | date=11 June 1985}} | 7–11 Jun 1985 | 3,435 | 24.0 | **34.0** | – | 9.0 | 33.0 |
| CIS | 10 Sep 1984 | ? | 25.0 | **47.0** | – | 1.0 | 27.0 | ||||
| 31.0 | **42.0** | – | 9.0 | 18.0 | 11.0 | ||||||
| 19.0 | **57.0** | – | 9.0 | 15.0 | 38.0 | ||||||
| CIS | 1 Sep 1984 | 2,466 | 22.0 | **35.0** | – | 7.0 | 36.0 | ||||
| 22.0 | **34.0** | – | 7.0 | 37.0 | 12.0 | ||||||
| 15.0 | **44.0** | – | 7.0 | 34.0 | 29.0 | ||||||
| CIS | 25–28 Apr 1984 | 2,474 | 20.0 | **43.0** | – | 6.0 | 31.0 | ||||
| 19.0 | **46.0** | – | 7.0 | 29.0 | 27.0 | ||||||
| 11.0 | **54.0** | – | 6.0 | 29.0 | 43.0 | ||||||
| CIS | 1 Jan 1984 | 2,495 | 19.4 | **40.9** | – | 8.4 | 31.3 | ||||
| 21.6 | **38.5** | – | 8.5 | 31.5 | 16.9 | ||||||
| 13.6 | **50.3** | – | 7.6 | 28.4 | 36.7 | ||||||
| title=Estudio 1.371 | url=http://www.cis.es/cis/export/sites/default/-Archivos/Marginales/1360_1379/1371/Es1371mar_s.pdf | language=es | work=CIS | date=13 November 1983}} | 9–13 Nov 1983 | 2,476 | 15.0 | **44.0** | – | 9.0 | 32.0 |
| title=Barómetro de marzo (Estudio nº 1.344. Marzo 1983) | url=http://www.cis.es/cis/export/sites/default/-Archivos/Marginales/1340_1359/1344/Es1344mar_s.pdf | language=es | work=CIS | date=1 March 1983}} | 1 Mar 1983 | 2,488 | 12.6 | **49.2** | – | 8.1 | 30.2 |
| title=Estudio nº 1.285. Barómetro de Opinión Pública (Septiembre, 1981) | url=http://www.cis.es/cis/export/sites/default/-Archivos/Marginales/1280_1299/1285/Es1285mar_s.pdf | language=es | work=CIS | date=11 September 1981}} | 9–11 Sep 1981 | 1,193 | 12.0 | **37.0** | – | 11.0 | 40.0 |
Results
Overall
| Question |
|---|
Results by region
| Region | Electorate | Turnout | Yes | No | Votes | % | Votes | % | Sources |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andalusia | 4,810,221 | 61.55 | **1,868,623** | **67.38** | 904,635 | 32.62 | |||
| Aragon | 952,361 | 60.17 | **318,640** | **61.72** | 197,608 | 38.28 | |||
| Asturias | 907,599 | 56.36 | **273,074** | **57.28** | 203,622 | 42.72 | |||
| Balearic Islands | 524,710 | 52.03 | **151,881** | **61.11** | 96,663 | 38.89 | |||
| Basque Country | 1,644,108 | 65.41 | 336,518 | 32.45 | **700,539** | **67.55** | |||
| Canary Islands | 1,003,385 | 55.39 | 242,015 | 46.31 | **280,639** | **53.69** | |||
| Cantabria | 402,339 | 59.64 | **140,251** | **63.96** | 79,031 | 36.04 | |||
| Castile and León | 2,071,409 | 56.44 | **627,633** | **61.54** | 392,251 | 38.46 | |||
| Castilla–La Mancha | 1,283,563 | 58.30 | **451,729** | **68.42** | 208,484 | 31.58 | |||
| Catalonia | 4,614,731 | 62.80 | 1,263,416 | 46.28 | **1,466,639** | **53.72** | |||
| Extremadura | 823,281 | 61.96 | **305,219** | **65.79** | 158,723 | 34.21 | |||
| Galicia | 2,220,686 | 38.51 | **465,103** | **59.10** | 321,809 | 40.90 | |||
| La Rioja | 202,523 | 59.97 | **69,405** | **63.92** | 39,174 | 36.08 | |||
| Madrid | 3,591,044 | 60.91 | **1,135,636** | **56.77** | 864,700 | 43.23 | |||
| Murcia | 723,287 | 61.39 | **254,572** | **62.08** | 155,469 | 37.92 | |||
| Navarre | 396,841 | 62.64 | 99,815 | 43.28 | **130,828** | **56.72** | |||
| Valencian Community | 2,776,354 | 66.33 | **1,027,648** | **60.73** | 664,465 | 39.27 | |||
| Total | 29,024,494 | 59.42 | 9,054,509 | 56.85 | 6,872,421 | 43.15 |
Notes
References
;Opinion poll sources
;Other
References
- [[Dieter Nohlen. Nohlen, D]] & Stöver, P (2010) ''Elections in Europe: A data handbook'', p1817 {{ISBN. 978-3-8329-5609-7
- Vallès, Josep M.. (1986). "The referendum of 12 March 1986 on Spain's remaining in NATO". Electoral Studies.
- Rodrigo Luelmo, Francisco José. (8 July 2016). "The accession of Spain to NATO". CVCE.eu by University of Luxembourg.
- "Spain, 12 March 1986: Permanence within NATO". Direct Democracy.
- "Referéndum consultivo en relación con la Alianza Atlántica". Congress of Deputies.
- "Electoral Results Consultation. Referendum. March 1986. National totals". Ministry of the Interior.
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