1958 Canadian federal election

Overview

Diefenbaker called a snap election and capitalized on three factors:

• Nationally, the Liberals had just chosen a new leader, Lester Pearson, who had given an ill-advised maiden speech in Commons that asked Diefenbaker to resign and recommend the Governor General allow the Liberals to form a government without an election due to the recent economic downturn. Diefenbaker seized on the remark by describing a series of classified Liberal Cabinet documents stating that the economy would face a downturn in that year. This contrasted heavily with the Liberals' 1957 campaign promises. As election day drew near, the Liberals realized they had no chance of returning to power and hoped only to hold onto at least 100 seats. They were cut down to only 48, at the time the smallest seat count in their history.
• A turnaround in Quebec: Quebec had been largely Liberal since the Conscription Crisis of 1917, but upon the resignation of former Prime Minister Louis St. Laurent, the province had no favourite son leader, as they had since 1948, and its voters were open to new options. Seeking a greater voice in Ottawa, Quebec Premier Maurice Duplessis' Union Nationale used their party machine to ally with the Tories, allowing Diefenbaker's Progressive Conservatives to win two thirds of the seats in what had been a Liberal stronghold for a generation. While the Liberals finished only four percentage points behind the Tories in Quebec, much of their vote was wasted racking up large majorities in their traditional safest seats. Nevertheless, the 25 seats the Liberals won in Quebec accounted for more than half of their decimated caucus and, on a proportional basis, was their best performance after Newfoundland.
• A collapse in support for the Social Credit Party, which lost all 19 of its seats. While it took half the votes it had taken in 1957, third parties historically do not do well in landslides, especially in first-past-the-post voting systems. Prior to the 1957 election, the Socreds were seen as a credible threat to replace the Tories as the main right-wing party in the country, as they had done in British Columbia and Alberta, but the popularity of the Diefenbaker government persuaded many Social Credit supporters to abandon the party. That not only allowed the Tories to pick up Social Credit seats, but also proved decisive in many seats that were four-way races between the PCs, Social Credit, Liberals, and CCF. Notably, the Tories swept all seventeen seats in Alberta, where they had previously held just three seats to Social Credit's thirteen (and Liberal one seat). The election proved to be the start of a long decline for the federal Social Credit Party. It would never seriously challenge the PCs dominance again in federal politics (even in the West) although the BC Social Credit Party would govern that province for all but three years until 1991.

Opinion polling

During the 23rd Parliament of Canada

Regional polling

Quebec

Ontario

Maritime

Western Canada

National results

Notes:

"Previous" refers to standings at previous election, not to standings in the House of Commons at dissolution.

• The party did not nominate candidates in the previous election.

x - less than 0.005% of the popular vote

Vote and seat summaries

|File:Ternary CA1957.svg |1957 |File:Ternary CA1958.svg |1958

Results by province

xx - less than 0.05% of the popular vote

References

References

1. Pomfret, R.. "Voter Turnout at Federal Elections and Referendums". Elections Canada.
2. Blakely, Arthur. (August 20, 1957). "Polls indicate PCs due for big win". The Montreal Gazette.
3. (February 1, 1958). "Léger regain libéral depuis novembre; peu de changement". La Presse.
4. Swanson, Frank. (August 20, 1957). "The most popular party". The Ottawa Citizen.
5. (March 21, 1958). "Diefenbaker à Timmins". Le Nouvelliste.