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2011 Baden-Württemberg state election

State election in Germany


State election in Germany

FieldValue
election_name2011 Baden-Württemberg state election
countryBaden-Württemberg
typeparliamentary
turnout4,983,719 (66.2%)
12.8%
ongoingno
previous_election2006 Baden-Württemberg state election
previous_year2006
next_election2016 Baden-Württemberg state election
next_year2016
seats_for_electionAll 138 seats in the Landtag of Baden-Württemberg
majority_seats70
election_date27 March 2011
image1[[File:Stefan Mappus 2011 (cropped).jpg125px]]
leader1Stefan Mappus
party1Christian Democratic Union (Germany)
last_election169 seats, 44.2%
seats160
seat_change19
popular_vote11,942,404
percentage139.0%
swing15.2%
image2[[Image:Winfried Kretschmann 2012 (cropped).jpg125px]]
leader2Winfried Kretschmann
party2Alliance 90/The Greens
last_election217 seats, 11.7%
seats236
seat_change219
popular_vote21,205,508
percentage224.2%
swing212.5%
image4[[File:Nils Schmid 2012 (cropped).jpg125px]]
leader4Nils Schmid
party4Social Democratic Party of Germany
last_election438 seats, 25.2%
seats435
seat_change43
popular_vote41,151,859
percentage423.1%
swing42.1%
image5[[Image:Ulrich Goll 2008 (cropped).jpg125px]]
leader5Ullrich Goll
party5Free Democratic Party (Germany)
last_election515 seats, 10.7%
seats57
seat_change58
popular_vote5262,520
percentage55.3%
swing55.4%
map_image2011 Baden-Württemberg state election.svg
map_size300px
map_captionResults for the single-member constituencies.
titleMinister-President
before_electionStefan Mappus
before_partyChristian Democratic Union of Germany
after_electionWinfried Kretschmann
after_partyAlliance 90/The Greens

12.8%

The 2011 Baden-Württemberg state election was held on 27 March 2011 to elect the members of the 14th Landtag of Baden-Württemberg. The incumbent coalition government of the Christian Democratic Union and Free Democratic Party led by Minister-President Stefan Mappus lost its majority. The Greens achieved their best result in a state election up to this point at 24%, and became the second largest party in the Landtag. They subsequently formed a coalition with the Social Democratic Party (SPD), and Greens leader Winfried Kretschmann was elected Minister-President. He became the first Green politician to serve as a state head of government in Germany.

Campaign and issues

The Baden-Württemberg election was considered to have significant ramifications for Chancellor Angela Merkel; the state had been a CDU stronghold for almost 60 years. In a wiki-leaked diplomatic cable from the United States Embassy it was noted: "Chancellor Angela Merkel nominated Baden-Wuerttemberg (BW) Minister President Günther Oettinger as EU Energy Commissioner primarily to remove an unloved lame duck from an important CDU bastion." With Oettinger "going to Europe" in February 2010, Stefan Mappus took office.

Stuttgart 21

Stuttgart 21 was a major election issue. Work for this project, that sets out to transform the Stuttgart Main Station from a terminus station into a subterranean non-terminus station, was started in the summer of 2010 despite massive protests by the Stuttgart population, and those interested in railway travel. The main reasons for the protests are the questionable necessity of the transformation, i.e. the disproportionate costs (between 4 and 5 billion Euros) in relation to the (small) gains in travel time (the current station is a functioning station with 90% of the passengers ending their journey here anyway), the dismantling and partial destruction of the old station building (generally considered to be cultural heritage), the destruction of some of the inner-city's park ("Schlossgarten"), the geological risks posed by the tunnels that would have to be drilled into the Stuttgart ground, endangering Europe's second largest mineral water sources and spas, and the danger of some of the buildings above the tunnels collapsing.

Transparent government became an issue due to the controversy about Stuttgart 21.

The CDU-FDP coalition government of Stefan Mappus supported the project, but Mappus lost public support. He was considered to have linked his political fate to the success or failure of the project. According to polls, since July 2010 a Green-SPD coalition would win a majority. With construction work supposed to start immediately when cutting of trees is permitted in winter months, starting with October, the police was eager to remove protesters and tree huggers in advance. On "Black Thursday" 30 September 2010, demonstrations and civil disobedience campaigns against the project were broken up by force, with police using tear gas and water cannons on protestors. This caused bloody eye injuries to Dietrich Wagner, a symbolic figure of the events.

The SPD leadership also supported Stuttgart 21, but since early 2010 called for a referendum on the issue "to pacify the city" and end the ongoing protests. The party did not take a clear stance on the issue due to opposition of the project from much of its membership.

Opposition to Stuttgart 21 led to "unprecedented popularity" for the Alliance 90/The Greens in Baden-Württemberg and a major rise in the polls.

As a coalition partner of the CDU in the Mappus government, the FDP also supported Stuttgart 21. The party was criticized for its acceptance of the police force used against demonstrators in the late summer of 2010.

Nuclear power

The 11 March 2011 Tōhoku earthquake and tsunami killed thousands in Japan. Following the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster, Chancellor Angela Merkel, who in 2010 had partially reverted the German nuclear phase out plan of the former SPD-Green coalition, changed her stance once again. She announced the temporary shutdown of Germany's seven nuclear power stations built before 1980. Within the state, this affected the older parts of Neckarwestheim Nuclear Power Plant and Philippsburg Nuclear Power Plant. She also stated that she was committed to total withdrawal from nuclear power sooner than the revisited nuclear exit plan dates. The Anti-nuclear Green party already led in the polls, the Fukushima disaster just confirmed this, but did not cause a land slide.

Parties

The table below lists parties represented in the previous Landtag of Baden-Württemberg.

NameIdeologyLeader(s)2006 resultVotes (%)Seats
Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}CDUChristian Democratic Union of Germany
Christlich Demokratische Union DeutschlandsChristian democracyStefan Mappus44.2%
Social Democratic Party of Germany}}SPDSocial Democratic Party of Germany
Sozialdemokratische Partei DeutschlandsSocial democracyNils Schmid25.2%
Free Democratic Party (Germany)}}FDPFree Democratic Party
Freie Demokratische ParteiClassical liberalismUllrich Goll10.7%
Alliance 90/The Greens}}GrüneAlliance 90/The Greens
Bündnis 90/Die GrünenGreen politicsWinfried Kretschmann11.7%

Opinion polling

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
sizeCDUSPDGrüneFDPLinkeOthersLeadChristian Democratic Union of Germany}};"Social Democratic Party of Germany}};"Alliance 90/The Greens}};"Free Democratic Party (Germany)}};"The Left (Germany)}};"
2011 state election27 Mar 201139.023.124.25.32.85.6Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"14.8
YouGov20–24 Mar 20111,003362226655Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"10
Emnid18–24 Mar 20111,000382325545Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"13
Forsa16–22 Mar 20111,025382424545Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"14
Emnid17 Mar 2011500382225645Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen15–17 Mar 20111,3823822.52554.55Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"13
Infratest dimap14–17 Mar 20111,2503922245.54.55Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"15
Infratest dimap10–12 Mar 20111,001422221645Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"20
Emnid4–10 Mar 20111,000392420755Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"15
Forsa3–8 Mar 20111,004402620545Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"14
Emnid24 Feb – 1 Mar 20111,000382521844Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"13
Forsa21–25 Feb 20111,001392619646Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"13
Emnid18–24 Feb 20111,000402322645Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"17
Customer Research 428–19 Feb 201170535.021.621.25.25.911.1Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"13.4
Uni Freiburg31 Jan – 22 Feb 20111,12641.122.724.26.02.83.2Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"16.9
Emnid11–17 Feb 20111,000402023755Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"17
Emnid4–10 Feb 20111,000401925745Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"15
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen31 Jan – 2 Feb 20111,146411925645Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"16
Infratest dimap1–2 Feb 20111,000392124655Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"15
Emnid24–17 Jan 20111,022402027544Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"13
Emnid7–15 Dec 20101,001411929443Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"12
Infratest dimap1 Dec 20101,010391828555Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"11
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen22–24 Nov 20101,910391926547Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"13
Allensbach1–15 Oct 20101,09638.022.026.05.05.04.0Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"12.0
TNS Forschung6–7 Oct 20101,002341932654Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"2
abs Marktforschung5–6 Oct 201096828173687Alliance 90/The Greens}};color:#FFFFFF;"8
Infratest dimap2–7 Sep 20101,000352127557Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"8
Forsa16–27 Aug 20101,068372424645Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"13
Infratest Politikforschung12–15 Jul 20101,000372520756Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"12
Infratest Politikforschung23 Mar – 13 Apr 2010991412317856Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"18
Allensbach24 Feb – 8 Mar 20101,03043211885.54.5Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"22
Infratest dimap17 Feb 20101,0004320171145Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"23
2009 federal election27 Sep 200934.519.313.918.87.26.3Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"15.2
Infratest Sozialforschung20 Apr – 3 May 20091,0003922151464Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"17
Infratest dimap2–3 Jun 20091,0004021141546Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"19
Uni Halle/Uni Stuttgart8–20 Sep 20081,00039.926.017.210.24.81.9Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"13.9
Forsa2–24 Jul 20071,0344319131267Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"24
Forsa19 Apr 2007?4026131236Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"14
Infratest dimap16 Apr 20071,0004126161025Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"15
Infratest dimap26–27 Mar 20071,000412614944Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"15
Forsa20 Nov – 15 Dec 20061,2204420131247Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"24
Forsa12 Jun – 4 Jul 20061,4034323121255Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"20
2006 state election26 Mar 200644.225.211.710.73.15.3Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"19.0

Results

-
! colspan="2"
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-
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-
! align=right colspan=2
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}

Post-election

After the loss, outgoing Minister-President Stefan Mappus announced his resignation as chairman of the Christian Democratic Union in Baden-Württemberg. Federal Social Democratic Party leader Frank-Walter Steinmeier insisted that Chancellor Angela Merkel should call for new elections after the defeat of the Christian Democratic Union in Baden-Württemberg.

On 27 April 2011, the Greens and the Social Democratic Party announced that they had finalized their coalition agreement. Winfried Kretschmann and Social Democratic Party leader Nils Schmid presented an 83-page document titled The Change Begins. The only minister named was Nils Schmid, who became Deputy Minister-President and "super-minister" for finance and the economy. Other than Schmid, the coalition announced which parties were to receive each ministry, but did not name appointees. The Social Democrats acquired the majority of the ministerial positions, but the Greens had a majority in the cabinet. The Greens obtained the ministries of the environment, transportation, science, rural areas, consumer protection and a ministry for civil society. The Social Democrats got the ministries of the economy, finance, justice, labour, schools, welfare, and the interior. As part of the coalition agreement, the red-green alliance agreed to organize a referendum regarding Stuttgart 21. They also agreed on "radical changes" to the education system and transport policy, and to accelerate the phasing out of nuclear power. Hermann Gröhe, the secretary general of the CDU, "condemned" the coalition agreement.

On 12 May 2011, Winfried Kretschmann was sworn in as Minister-President of Baden-Württemberg. Kretschmann became the first Minister-President in Germany from the Greens. In the Landtag vote for Minister-President, Kretschmann received at least two votes from the opposition.

Notes

References

References

  1. Pidd, Helen. (27 March 2011). "German Greens hail state victory in vote overshadowed by Fukushima". The Guardian.
  2. (29 November 2010). "CDU wary after Stuttgart rail project approval". Financial Times.
  3. (1 December 2010). "Taxpayers face rising cost for Stuttgart 21". The Local.
  4. (28 March 2011). "Mappus legt Parteivorsitz nieder". [[Hamburger Morgenpost]].
  5. (28 March 2011). "SPD-Chef Steinmeier fordert Neuwahlen in Deutschland". [[Hamburger Morgenpost]].
  6. Jones, Timothy. (27 April 2011). "Greens and SPD present coalition agreement in Baden-Württemberg". [[Deutsche Welle]].
  7. Moore, Michael Scott. (28 April 2011). ["'A Green Leader Has Risen' inBaden-Württemberg". [[Der Spiegel]].
  8. Werkhäuser, Nina. (12 May 2011). "Greens make history as they take over Germany's conservative south-west". [[Deutsche Welle]].
  9. (12 May 2011). "Kretschmann erhält sogar zwei Oppositionsstimmen". [[Die Welt]].
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