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2010 Illinois's 17th congressional district election

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FieldValue
election_name2010 Illinois's 17th congressional district election
countryIllinois
typeCongressional
ongoingno
previous_year[2008](2008-united-states-house-of-representatives-elections-in-illinois-district-17)
next_year2012
election_dateNovember 2, 2010
image1[[File:BobbySchilling.jpg125px]]
candidate1**Bobby Schilling**
party1Republican Party (United States)
popular_vote1**104,583**
percentage1**52.5%**
image2[[File:Phil Hare, official 110th CPD photo portrait.jpg125px]]
candidate2Phil Hare
party2Democratic Party (United States)
popular_vote285,454
percentage242.9%
map_image2010 Illinois' 17th congressional district election results by county.svg
map_size250px
map_captionCounty results
**Shilling:**
**Hare:**
titleRepresentative
before_electionPhil Hare
before_partyDemocratic Party (United States)
after_electionBobby Schilling
after_partyRepublican Party (United States)

Shilling:
Hare:
The 2010 Illinois's 17th congressional district election was held on November 2, 2010 to determine who would represent Illinois's 17th District in the 112th United States Congress. The seat contested was located in western and parts of central Illinois. Democratic incumbent Phil Hare had held the seat since 2006 and was running for re-election. The Republican nominee was Bobby Schilling. The Green Party nominee was Roger K. Davis.

Schilling won the election in an upset with almost 53% of the vote.

Race

Background

Hare was elected in 2006 with 57% of the vote and was unopposed in United States elections, 2008. Schilling is a restaurateur and owns Saint Giuseppe's Heavenly Pizza in East Moline, Illinois, which he started in 1997. Both were unopposed in their respective primaries.

Once thought to be safe by political analysts, Hare's seat was in trouble in the summer of 2010 as Schilling made his challenge. *The New York Times'''s final rating was "Tossup", as was that of CQ Politics. RealClearPolitics's final rating was "Leans Democrat". FiveThirtyEight gave Schilling a 63% chance of winning. *Politico'' rated it #5 on its list of "hottest House races in the country".

Though both were unopposed in their respective primaries, primary elections were still held as voters went to the polls to vote in other races. Out of 64,141 total votes cast in each party for the February 2nd Illinois primary, Hare took 32,496 votes (50.66%) to Schilling's 31,645 (49.34%). "After the results of yesterday’s election, one thing is clear: voters are ready for a clean break from the failed ideas of the past," Schilling said after the primary. "Voter turnout shows that my Democrat opponent and I nearly had identical votes." Because of the close results, National Review said the race is "worth keeping an eye on."

General election campaign

National organizations were heavily involved in the race, with the National Republican Congressional Committee injecting $350,000 into the race and the conservative American Future Fund buying $500,000 worth of ads in the district, both on behalf of Schilling. The Republican National Committee funded the opening of a "Victory Center" similar to that used for the campaign of Sen. Scott Brown in 2010. On Hare's side, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee bought $90,000 worth of airtime and SEIU bought $317,000 for similar commercials alleging Schilling wants to send jobs overseas, which the Schilling campaign denies.

Schilling's campaign outraised Hare's by $51,000 in Q3 2010 and had more cash on hand than Hare as of September 30.

All three candidates participated in one televised debate on October 26, which covered topics ranging from social security, taxes, and job creation to abortion and stem cell research.

Endorsements

Schilling received the endorsements of the Illinois Federation for the Right to Life PAC, the Republican National Coalition for Life PAC, the Quincy Tea Party, Congressman Aaron Schock, Congressman John Shimkus, Sgt. John F. Baker, Jr., recipient of the Medal of Honor, Rep. Michele Bachmann, CatholicVote PAC, former Governor of Massachusetts Mitt Romney, John Deere PAC, the Chicago Tribune, and the United States Chamber of Commerce.

Hare was endorsed by the Sierra Club and Veterans of Foreign Wars.

Fundraising

Figures are final as of December 31, 2010.

Candidate (Party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash On HandDebt
Phil Hare (D)$1,364,578$1,759,078$1,837$11,487
Bobby Schilling (R)$1,127,490$1,117,731$9,759$54,039
Roger K. Davis (G)$0$0$0$0
Source: Federal Election Commission

Polling

Poll SourceDates AdministeredPhil Hare (D)Bobby Schilling (R)Roger K. Davis (G)Undecided
The HillOctober 12–14, 201038%**45%**-14%
NRCC internal poll via Washington PostUnavailable41%**44%**UnavailableUnavailable
Public Opinion StrategiesSeptember 26–27, 2010**38%**37%----
Tarrance Group via National JournalSeptember 23–25, 201043%**44%**----
We Ask AmericaSeptember 8, 201038%**41%**--17%
Magellan Strategies via NROJuly 12, 201032%**45%**--23%
Public Opinion Strategies via NROUnavailable**33%**31%7%30%
We Ask AmericaFebruary 18, 2010**39%**32%4%26%

General election results

References

References

  1. Eric Timmons. (2010-02-03). "Hare and Schilling ready for battle - News - The Register-Mail - Galesburg, IL". Galesburg.com.
  2. (2010-01-19). "Many state seats unopposed in primary - News - Journal Star - Peoria, IL". Pjstar.com.
  3. (2010-09-16). "Cook Political Report Upgrades IL-17 to Toss Up - Illinois Review". Illinoisreview.typepad.com.
  4. Brown, Theresa. (2010-12-10). "Illinois 17th District Race Profile - Election 2010 - The New York Times". Elections.nytimes.com.
  5. (2015-05-15). "Race Detail Display Page : Roll Call". Cqpolitics.com.
  6. (2010-03-18). "Election 2010 - Illinois 17th District - Schilling vs. Hare". RealClearPolitics.com.
  7. "12 hottest House races to watch - Mike Allen and Alexander Burns and Alexander Trowbridge". [[Politico]].
  8. (2010-02-04). "Schilling Competitive with Hare in Primary Turn-Out". Archive.constantcontact.com.
  9. (May 2015)
  10. (2012-12-23). "GOP hungrily eyes Hare's seat". [[The Hill (newspaper).
  11. "Bobby Schilling".
  12. Tibbetts, Ed. "On the Campaign Trail with Ed Tibbetts". Campaigntrail.qctimes.com.
  13. [http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2010/10/house_third_qua.php] {{webarchive. link. (October 18, 2010)
  14. (2014-06-02). "Constant Contact : Web Page Expired". Campaign.r20.constantcontact.com.
  15. (2010-10-26). "Hare, Schilling clash in television debate". Qctimes.com.
  16. "Illinois Federation for Right to Life Political Action Committee : 2010 Illinois Primary Election Page—Endorsements".
  17. (2010-11-05). "2010 Election Candidates responses to the RNC/Life Questionnaire". Rnclife.org.
  18. [http://www.whig.com/story/news/Schilling-010610] {{webarchive. link. (January 10, 2010)
  19. "mywebpal.com/news".
  20. [http://www.veterans4schilling.org/linked/final-baker.jpg]{{dead link. (May 2015)
  21. (February 2022). "YouTube". [[YouTube]].
  22. White, John. "CatholicVote.org". CatholicVote.org.
  23. (2010-09-24). "Mitt Romney Endorses Bobby Schilling for Congress". Aledotimesrecord.com.
  24. "Deere PAC chooses sides in tight congressional race".
  25. Tibbetts, Ed. "On the Campaign Trail with Ed Tibbetts". Campaigntrail.qctimes.com.
  26. (2010-10-13). "Page 2: Vote 2010 Elections: The Rookies From Pizza Parlor to the Halls of Congress". [[ABC News (United States).
  27. "SIERRA CLUB ENDORSES PHIL HARE FOR CONGRESS".
  28. (May 2015)
  29. "District by district - Illinois - TheHill.com".
  30. "The Fix - Democratic outside group launches Washington, West Virginia ads".
  31. "Scot Reader on Twitter".
  32. "Starting Lineup: Midwest Trouble For House Dems - Hotline On Call".
  33. "By request: Illinois CD 17 : weaskamerica.com".
  34. "GOP's Schilling Leads Democrat Incumbent Phil Hare, 45-32 {{!}} National Review Online".
  35. "Bobby Schilling Within 2 of Phil Hare in Illinois 17th District {{!}} National Review Online".
  36. "Illinois: an early compilation of key districts : weaskamerica.com".
  37. "General Election of November 2, 2010". Illinois State Board of Elections.
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