Mortality forecasting

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Method of predicting future mortality rates

title: "Mortality forecasting" type: doc version: 1 created: 2026-02-28 author: "Wikipedia contributors" status: active scope: public tags: ["actuarial-science", "death", "forecasting"] description: "Method of predicting future mortality rates" topic_path: "general/actuarial-science" source: "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mortality_forecasting" license: "CC BY-SA 4.0" wikipedia_page_id: 0 wikipedia_revision_id: 0

::summary Method of predicting future mortality rates ::

Mortality forecasting refers to the art and science of determining likely future mortality rates. It is especially important in rich countries with a high proportion of aged people, since populations with lower mortality accumulate more pensions.

References

References

References

  1. (2020-04-08). "Mortality Forecasting with the Lee–Carter Method: Adjusting for Smoothing and Lifespan Disparity". European Journal of Population.
  2. (1 October 2022). "How Does Mortality Contribute to Lifetime Pension Inequality? Evidence From Five Decades of Swedish Taxation Data". Demography.

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